GA-SEN 2022 Megathread: Werewolves and Vampires

[new_patomic]

THE NEEDLE IS BACK!

And it's predicting...

Warnock +3.1

Lol.

Lmao even.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Needle is back, Warnock+3.1, >95%.

[Thunder98]

The Needle has return!

[Penn_Quaker_Girl]

For Warnock to only win by 1 would be a major disappointment, if obviously still a win in the end. Walker is barely coherent, and would lose by 20 without racial and partisan tribalism. It would be a sobering signal that Georgia ultimately still has a clear Republican lean.

Needle has jumped to Warnock +1.8. Seems to be adjusting to strong metro ATL margins for Warnock. Call me foolish, but I honestly still think it leans too far towards Walker. Currently they're predicting the Gwinnett and Chatham (Savannah) E-Day vote to be near even. While that could happen, it still seems not so plausible.

Needle was turned off and the race was virtually tied at 64% of the vote in when I started checking this thread. Reverend and Quarterback have been trading leads for the last hour or so, right now it's 50.07-49.93 Walker at 82% in.

Not following this too closely because I’m at a holiday party but based on skimming Twitter it looks like Warnock is massively underperforming??

That's a lie.  Atlas'ers don't go to parties

But y'all go on a ton of (in-person) dates- and if the LGBT caucus is any indication, clearly aren't lacking in sexual partners.

I don't understand why we even have the needle half the time.  ****Ing thing sucks! (We'll do it live!)

And y'all as in me or Atlas?

[Alben Barkley]

Kornacki knows Dave called it and wants to too, but isn't allowed to.

All because of f--king Florida in 2000.

[emailking]

Walker is ahead and Wass calls it the other way lol.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

The brass balls on Wasserman to call a race with the victorious candidate still technically "down."

If only the rest of the media shared them!

I think Wasserman's decision was driven by what is outstanding. A big chunk of the remaining vote has to be from metro Atlanta.

[Dani Rose]

I'm just Captain Peppered enough to fight the Needle. I raise the Needle. I see the Needle's Warnock+3.1 and stand firm by my Warnock+6!

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

It's important to note, as Wasserman does himself, that that tweet does not represent an official call by any TV network (and not one by DDNN either).
Personally, I don't believe in calling a race for one candidate when the other candidate is leading or may gain a lead.

[Atlas Force]

Houston done (pronounced how-ston) Warner Robins.


Margin shifts from 55-43 Walker to 54-46 Walker lol. Warnock lost about 1K from November, Walker, 3K.

[pppolitics]

According to the NYT needle:

Very likely Warnock
>95% CHANCE OF WINNING

[Oryxslayer]

Hall County in Walker +1

Walker loses 4K votes from November, Warnock 1.4K.

[GeorgiaModerate]

The 538 blog is openly wondering why no networks have called it yet.

[Alben Barkley]

Warnock technically more likely to win than Fetterman or Kelly according to PredictIt now LMAO!

[Comrade Funk]

Can we do away with these dumb run-offs now? Cmon corrupt Republicans...they don't help you anymore.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Needle is back, Warnock+3.1, >95%.

My prediction was Warnock+4. Let's see if he reaches that.

[Hammy]

The brass balls on Wasserman to call a race with the victorious candidate still technically "down."

If only the rest of the media shared them!

Networks have learned that the longer they hold out, the longer they can keep the idiots tuned in. At this point the calls are profit-driven

[new_patomic]

The 538 blog is openly wondering why no networks have called it yet.

I suppose there's no harm in waiting a bit for him to take the lead first.

[Comrade Funk]

The 538 blog is openly wondering why no networks have called it yet.

Ratings. MSNBC gets off on this garbage.

[Alben Barkley]

Warnock retook the lead, and Walker will probably never get it back.

GAME OVER.

[PSOL]

Georgia is a lean D state now, no way Republicans can ever recover in Georgia from this monumental loss, and it’s going to drift that way with no end in sight.

What should we drink tonight?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I'm just Captain Peppered enough to fight the Needle. I raise the Needle. I see the Needle's Warnock+3.1 and stand firm by my Warnock+6!

You are more brave than the great men who fought and died in the Battle of Atlanta.

[Hindsight was 2020]

It’s hilarious how all the online election nerds have this called for Warnock but the tv shows making it seem like Walker will win

[Kamala's side hoe]

Not following this too closely because I’m at a holiday party but based on skimming Twitter it looks like Warnock is massively underperforming??

That's a lie.  Atlas'ers don't go to parties

But y'all go on a ton of (in-person) dates- and if the LGBT caucus is any indication, clearly aren't lacking in sexual partners.

I don't understand why we even have the needle half the time.  ****Ing thing sucks! (We'll do it live!)

And y'all as in me or Atlas?

The Leipverse as a whole when we exclude asexuals and high schoolers. Judging from what I've seen on AAD, the Discord servers, and my own lived experience.

The needle must've come back a few minutes ago, I swear it wasn't there the last time I checked my phone.

[Alben Barkley]

MSNBC says "Warnock is leading" now.