GA-SEN 2022 Megathread: Werewolves and Vampires

[Alben Barkley]

No, be careful about jumping to conclusions.  This certainly looks good for Warnock, but most or all of what's been reported is EV so far.

But he's doing better than even his EV in November, and all he needs to do to win is basically match it considering he won by a point despite coming up short of 50.

[Dr. Frankenstein]

Warnock won the EV in Pulaski County....

How did that look in November?

[GeorgiaModerate]

No, be careful about jumping to conclusions.  This certainly looks good for Warnock, but most or all of what's been reported is EV so far.

But he's doing better than even his EV in November, and all he needs to do to win is basically match it considering he won by a point despite coming up short of 50.

Oh, for sure; I just want people to remember that there's a long way to go.  538 just made the same point you did:

Warnock currently leads Walker 82 percent to 18 percent in Fulton County. As I mentioned, it’s not a surprise that Warnock is doing very well there — it’s an extremely Democratic area. And this is likely all early and mail votes, making it even bluer. But it’s worth noting that in the general election, Warnock beat Walker just 75 percent to 23 percent in Fulton County’s early and mail vote.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Christian hardcore form Georgia is definitely an appropriate soundtrack right?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Warnock won the EV in Pulaski County....

How did that look in November?

Well, Pulaski voted for Trump in 2020 by a margin of 69-30.

[Baki]

For all watching Kornacki with these comparisons with the GE, it's a comparison of EV now vs EV+ED in Nov.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Warnock won the EV in Pulaski County....

Good for Masters (I hope this Twitter joke lands)

[Ferguson97]

https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1600283422575976448

[Gracile]

I would be more confident calling the result when we get more full county results in.

[Horus]

Christian hardcore form Georgia is definitely an appropriate soundtrack right?

Georgia produced OutKast, Ray Charles, R.E.M. and James Brown and this is what you go with? Lol, never change BRTD.

[GM Team Member and Deputy PPT WB]

Everyone comfortably seated? Got their beverages?

What's everyone drinking tonight? Rum and Diet Coke for me.

Tea, as always

Dr. Pepper at my local sports bar. They might have the results on the TV, if not I'll have my phone with me.

[LimoLiberal]

Clinch County is 82% in and Warnock is doing 8 points better margin-wise than in November.

[ProgressiveModerate]

I really just want this to be a fairly lopsided Warnock win to cement the point people like Walker have no place in being a Senator.

It's still early, and obv I wouldn't call it, but there's nothing I can latch on to as good news for Walker.

Seeing how the vampires and werewolves vote will be interesting.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Warnock won the EV in Pulaski County....

Good for Masters (I hope this Twitter joke lands)

Somebody made that comment in a reply to Nate Cohn today, and he had to have it explained to him.

[Alben Barkley]

Can't wait until the whole South goes Democratic again, as it was always meant to be. Georgia is just the first domino to fall (well, second after Virginia).

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Brantley is the first county all in and Warnock outperformed by 1% with turnout down 6%.

[fluffypanther19]

It’s early but it’s looking real good for Warnock.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Can't wait until the whole South goes Democratic again, as it was always meant to be. Georgia is just the first domino to fall (well, second after Virginia).

Except Florida because that's the dumbest most epic fail state ever.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Warnock won the EV in Pulaski County....

Good for Masters (I hope this Twitter joke lands)

Somebody made that comment in a reply to Nate Cohn today, and he had to have it explained to him.

Please explain this to me. This is my first time seeing this joke.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Warnock won the EV in Pulaski County....

Good for Masters (I hope this Twitter joke lands)

Somebody made that comment in a reply to Nate Cohn today, and he had to have it explained to him.

Please explain this to me. This is my first time seeing this joke.

There was some guy who responded to every Garrett Archer tweet about Arizona that it was very good for Masters.

[Holmes]

What’s the point of having the needle if we’re almost 20% and it’s still not active

[Fancyarcher]

Can't wait until the whole South goes Democratic again, as it was always meant to be. Georgia is just the first domino to fall (well, second after Virginia).

Except Florida because that's the dumbest most epic fail state ever.

Florida will be underwater by that point anyway.

[Horus]

Brantley is the first county all in and Warnock outperformed by 2 points.

Brantley county is the most GOP in the state. Trump broke 90% there in 2020.

[It’s so Joever]

Brantley is the first county all in and Warnock outperformed by 1% with turnout down 6%.

Other way around, Walker outperformed by 1% in Brantley.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Correction from Nathaniel Rakich on the 538 blog:

Slight correction: The votes currently reporting in Fulton County are all early in-person votes. Warnock won the Fulton early in-person vote 75-24 in the general election.

This is the batch that Warnock leads 82-18 tonight.