GA-SEN 2022 Megathread: Werewolves and Vampires

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1600314000943640576

SAY THE LINE DAVE!!!

[Dani Rose]

Warnock just took the lead again.

Based mostly on DeKalb, this is a sugar high. Warnock can still win, but this narrative that Walker was DOA in a runoff scenario was always BS.

Snow, buddy, take a look at the rest of the votes are. Walker has already lost. Everything is a lot more than fine.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

I'm not seeing any real indications that Warnock is likely to lose, and this is just one final data point in the argument that if your candidates really, really, really, really suck they're likely to lose regardless of the prevailing mood.

[Not Me, Us]

Everyone in the media and myself keep mixing up "Warnock" and "Walker." I swear it's not because they are black! It's because their names both begin with "Wa" and have two similarish-sounding syllables.

Stg, I keep freaking out when I see one of those tweets that show Warnock improving from November, only to realize it's talking about the candidate I want to win.

[Landslide Lyndon]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1600314708157833218

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://twitter.com/Uncrewed/status/1600311811869650944

Plains, GA: repeatedly closer than Maryland was in the first decade of the 20th century.

[Alben Barkley]

https://twitter.com/Uncrewed/status/1600311811869650944

It honestly is incredible that Plains is consistently that close. I genuinely believe it would be a deep red town without Carter's influence. Half the town probably goes to his church and knows him personally.

[Atlas Force]

Why is this thread named Werewolves and Vampires?

Tonight is a battle between Werewolves (Republicans) and Vampires (Democrats), duh.

This is actually the reverse of how it used to be. Traditionally in the southern states, vampires were able to assimilate will within society and became super wealthy (their pale skin helped) However they like to live in urban and suburban areas because they need humans to feed on for bloodmeals. Vampires traditionally were Republican due to their wealth but as suburbs have trended D so have vampires. I think Hillary was the first to win the vampire vote in Georgia by a plurality since Carter.

Werewolves on the other hand are far more rural due to historic marginalization and are far less well off/working class. They traditionally have voted like other minorities although recently the werewolf community has begun to trend right rapidly. While still D on the net, Walker needs to cut those margins from 2020 honestly due to vampire bleeding.

At this point both groups vote more D than humans but that could change.

I reposted this in the Atlas Hilarity thread in Forum Community btw: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=259314.msg8902917#msg8902917

[Dani Rose]

I wonder if Warnock will hold onto Fayette.  Warnock +10 with 69% reporting.

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[MT Treasurer]

Warnock can still win, but this narrative that Walker was DOA in a runoff scenario was always BS.

R turnout was very solid given that (a) it’s a runoff and (b) Senate control is already decided. While that is impressive, the real problem for Walker is that he barely persuaded any Warnock/Kemp voters to vote for him in the runoff.

There are states where Republicans running up the margins in rural/declining/stagnant/small-town areas is enough for them to win (MT/WV, for instance — I don’t think those 2024 Senate races got any less tough for Democrats than they were before Nov./Dec. 2022), but GA isn’t one of them.

[Landslide Lyndon]

https://twitter.com/dcg1114/status/1600314911972012033

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Why is this thread named Werewolves and Vampires?

Tonight is a battle between Werewolves (Republicans) and Vampires (Democrats), duh.

This is actually the reverse of how it used to be. Traditionally in the southern states, vampires were able to assimilate will within society and became super wealthy (their pale skin helped) However they like to live in urban and suburban areas because they need humans to feed on for bloodmeals. Vampires traditionally were Republican due to their wealth but as suburbs have trended D so have vampires. I think Hillary was the first to win the vampire vote in Georgia by a plurality since Carter.

Werewolves on the other hand are far more rural due to historic marginalization and are far less well off/working class. They traditionally have voted like other minorities although recently the werewolf community has begun to trend right rapidly. While still D on the net, Walker needs to cut those margins from 2020 honestly due to vampire bleeding.

At this point both groups vote more D than humans but that could change.

I reposted this in the Atlas Hilarity thread in Forum Community btw: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=259314.msg8902917#msg8902917

Nice. It belongs there. Incredible post, really.

[Atlas Force]

Why is this thread named Werewolves and Vampires?

Tonight is a battle between Werewolves (Republicans) and Vampires (Democrats), duh.

This is actually the reverse of how it used to be. Traditionally in the southern states, vampires were able to assimilate will within society and became super wealthy (their pale skin helped) However they like to live in urban and suburban areas because they need humans to feed on for bloodmeals. Vampires traditionally were Republican due to their wealth but as suburbs have trended D so have vampires. I think Hillary was the first to win the vampire vote in Georgia by a plurality since Carter.

Werewolves on the other hand are far more rural due to historic marginalization and are far less well off/working class. They traditionally have voted like other minorities although recently the werewolf community has begun to trend right rapidly. While still D on the net, Walker needs to cut those margins from 2020 honestly due to vampire bleeding.

At this point both groups vote more D than humans but that could change.

I reposted this in the Atlas Hilarity thread in Forum Community btw: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=259314.msg8902917#msg8902917

Nice. It belongs there. Incredible post, really.

Thank you!

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I wonder if Warnock will hold onto Fayette.  Warnock +10 with 69% reporting.

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It might be close, but I still have hope Warnock holds his lead in this county. Of course, I am ready to accept anything to the contrary...

[Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist]

Warnock just took the lead again.

Based mostly on DeKalb, this is a sugar high. Warnock can still win, but this narrative that Walker was DOA in a runoff scenario was always BS.

If either Fetterman or Shapiro win, I will leave this forum forever.

OR SHAPIRO

LOLOLOLOLOLOL

[Oryxslayer]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1600314708157833218

Walker lost more votes from November than Warnock in a Blue county lol.


Essentially, this means Walker's turnout of former voters was much less than Warnock, cause a smaller percent change causes larger impacts on larger overall numbers.

Like I said, the suburbs where he ran behind Kemp are ground zero for the 'hold your nose' Republicans, in addition to the previously known dropoff and swing Republicans.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Why is this thread named Werewolves and Vampires?

Tonight is a battle between Werewolves (Republicans) and Vampires (Democrats), duh.

This is actually the reverse of how it used to be. Traditionally in the southern states, vampires were able to assimilate will within society and became super wealthy (their pale skin helped) However they like to live in urban and suburban areas because they need humans to feed on for bloodmeals. Vampires traditionally were Republican due to their wealth but as suburbs have trended D so have vampires. I think Hillary was the first to win the vampire vote in Georgia by a plurality since Carter.

Werewolves on the other hand are far more rural due to historic marginalization and are far less well off/working class. They traditionally have voted like other minorities although recently the werewolf community has begun to trend right rapidly. While still D on the net, Walker needs to cut those margins from 2020 honestly due to vampire bleeding.

At this point both groups vote more D than humans but that could change.

I reposted this in the Atlas Hilarity thread in Forum Community btw: https://talkelections.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=259314.msg8902917#msg8902917

Nice. It belongs there. Incredible post, really.

Thank you!

My pleasure! You've been kind to me, only fair for me to reciprocate.

[roxas11]

The biggest surprise of the election so far is the fact that even the crazy people on predictit have not panicked at all any time walker has taken the lead lol

[Alben Barkley]

I think the illusions of Georgia possibly voting to the left of Michigan and Pennsylvania consistently any time soon, at least, are probably behind us now.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Raphael Warnock*incumbent
Democrat   1,422,232   +50.29%50.29%   
Herschel Walker
Republican   1,406,107   +49.71%49.71   
Total reported
2,828,339   

[Alben Barkley]

The biggest surprise of the election so far is the fact that even the crazy people on predictit have not panicked at all any time walker his taken the lead lol

And it's cost me a lot of money!

[Alben Barkley]

"We don't smoke marijuana in Muscogee." Wait a second...

[TodayJunior]

This will be Warnock +4 when everything comes in. There’s so much left from Gwinnett Cobb Fulton that overwhelmingly favor Warnock. I think we can say that MAGA is dead.

[Alben Barkley]

Warnock will almost surely win Georgia by more than Clinton 1992, which again was instacalled at poll close.

[Oryxslayer]

RIP Blue Fayette. Walker by 1% 50.5 to 49.5.