NY - Z*gby: general election matchups, gubernatorial primary, recall election numbers (Cuomo wins)

[GALeftist]

But Stefanik could beat AOC!11!!!11!!

Minding that this is a Zogby poll, and has next to no value, how is that what you take away from this? This is a poll with AOC leading Stefanik 50-42 while we're still in Biden's honeymoon period, and with potential for Dems to fall a lot further before the midterms.

Stefanik (or any other New York Republican outside of maybe Katko) does not have a snowball's chance in hell against any Democrat including AOC. I really do not get this forum's obsession with Stefanik. Did y'all not see her all over the news selling out for Trump during his first impeachment, or supporting Trump's farcical lawsuit, or voting to overturn the electoral college? This stuff would be electoral poison in a swing state, let alone a state which has not voted for a Republican statewide since 2002 and just voted for Biden by north of 23 points, not to mention the incredibly polarized environment. There is really no analogue to this level of delusion on the opposing side, it would be like insisting that TN-GOV 2022 will be competitive if Jim Cooper is the nominee against some far right nutjob somehow, except that is probably significantly more realistic than NY-GOV since at least the relevant margin to overturn in Tennessee is "only" 700,000 votes as opposed to nearly 2 million.

[GALeftist]

But Stefanik could beat AOC!11!!!11!!

Minding that this is a Zogby poll, and has next to no value, how is that what you take away from this? This is a poll with AOC leading Stefanik 50-42 while we're still in Biden's honeymoon period, and with potential for Dems to fall a lot further before the midterms.

Stefanik (or any other New York Republican outside of maybe Katko) does not have a snowball's chance in hell against any Democrat including AOC. I really do not get this forum's obsession with Stefanik. Did y'all not see her all over the news selling out for Trump during his first impeachment, or supporting Trump's farcical lawsuit, or voting to overturn the electoral college? This stuff would be electoral poison in a swing state, let alone a state which has not voted for a Republican statewide since 2002 and just voted for Biden by north of 23 points, not to mention the incredibly polarized environment. There is really no analogue to this level of delusion on the opposing side, it would be like insisting that TN-GOV 2022 will be competitive if Jim Cooper is the nominee against some far right nutjob somehow, except that is probably significantly more realistic than NY-GOV since at least the relevant margin to overturn in Tennessee is "only" 700,000 votes as opposed to nearly 2 million.

That's all fine, but my only point was that this poll doesn't imply that. This poll implies a close race. You make a lot of points for why Stefanik can't win, but this poll says that that she isn't far behind, and so using it to say that Stefanik has no chance doesn't make sense.

Ah, I see, fair enough.