TX-06: Dems in Disarray!
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  TX-06: Dems in Disarray!
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Author Topic: TX-06: Dems in Disarray!  (Read 23549 times)
Pericles
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« Reply #225 on: May 01, 2021, 09:55:44 PM »

How did that anti-Trump Republican do?
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #226 on: May 01, 2021, 09:56:23 PM »

How did that anti-Trump Republican do?

Horrible.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #227 on: May 01, 2021, 09:56:43 PM »


He did better than Big Dan at least!

Anyway, I wonder how the results will affect redistricting in the DFW area.
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Continential
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« Reply #228 on: May 01, 2021, 09:57:07 PM »

How did that anti-Trump Republican do?
Michael Wood is at 3.1%.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #229 on: May 01, 2021, 09:57:31 PM »

Ngl, I kind of assumed the suburbs would show a reversion after the Trump presidency. You saw it very slowly already in the GA runoffs before Trump was even out of office and now you see it even stronger post Trump entirely..

Yeah, some of the richest Atlanta suburbs were the one place where Loeffler and (especially) Perdue meaningfully outperformed Trump.
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Buffalo Mayor Young Kim
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« Reply #230 on: May 01, 2021, 10:09:42 PM »

A super-low turnout primary split like six ways tells us basically nothing other than no one was taking this seriously.

I’m not ready to draw conclusions until we see an actual 1 R vs 1 D special.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #231 on: May 01, 2021, 10:24:35 PM »


He did better than Big Dan at least!

Anyway, I wonder how the results will affect redistricting in the DFW area.

Wright is from Arlington
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Duke of York
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« Reply #232 on: May 01, 2021, 10:26:35 PM »

A super-low turnout primary split like six ways tells us basically nothing other than no one was taking this seriously.

I’m not ready to draw conclusions until we see an actual 1 R vs 1 D special.

Democratic turnout in specials has always been bad in this area of Texas. The mayoral election in San Antonio saw high turnout.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #233 on: May 01, 2021, 10:28:21 PM »


He did better than Big Dan at least!

Anyway, I wonder how the results will affect redistricting in the DFW area.

Wright is from Arlington

I know. But I'm wondering if the TXGOP will be more confident about their prospects in this area without Trump in the White House.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #234 on: May 01, 2021, 10:30:02 PM »


He did better than Big Dan at least!

Anyway, I wonder how the results will affect redistricting in the DFW area.

Wright is from Arlington

I know. But I'm wondering if the TXGOP will be more confident about their prospects in this area without Trump in the White House.

They should feel confident. I know it was close, presidentially, but this district does not have the education profile of north Dallas districts. I don’t think it was ever at serious risk.
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EastwoodS
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« Reply #235 on: May 01, 2021, 10:36:46 PM »

I’m rethinking this R-R lock tbh..
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #236 on: May 01, 2021, 10:37:00 PM »

Is Sanchez done, or can she still squeak into the runoff?

It would require a minor miracle from the remaining vote in Tarrant.

Not really sure why the Dems ran several candidates capable of getting more than 5% here. Should have coalesced around one and forced others out/to states of non-campaigning. Then you can get someone to 30% and basically guarantee they advance.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #237 on: May 01, 2021, 10:38:22 PM »

Is Sanchez done, or can she still squeak into the runoff?

It would require a minor miracle from the remaining vote in Tarrant.

Not really sure why the Dems ran several candidates capable of getting more than 5% here. Should have coalesced around one and forced others out/to states of non-campaigning. Then you can get someone to 30% and basically guarantee they advance.

Even if they had done that, I think they would have still lost the runoff by at least 10-15 points, based on the overall R vs D results.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #238 on: May 01, 2021, 10:39:07 PM »

Ngl, I kind of assumed the suburbs would show a reversion after the Trump presidency. You saw it very slowly already in the GA runoffs before Trump was even out of office and now you see it even stronger post Trump entirely..

Yeah, some of the richest Atlanta suburbs were the one place where Loeffler and (especially) Perdue meaningfully outperformed Trump.


Yeah except this district is closer to GA07 than GA06.
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Stuart98
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« Reply #239 on: May 01, 2021, 10:41:54 PM »

All of the D candidates were pretty deeply flawed, which is what led to none of them consolidating the D vote.
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Benjamin Frank
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« Reply #240 on: May 01, 2021, 10:42:51 PM »

Is Sanchez done, or can she still squeak into the runoff?

It would require a minor miracle from the remaining vote in Tarrant.

Not really sure why the Dems ran several candidates capable of getting more than 5% here. Should have coalesced around one and forced others out/to states of non-campaigning. Then you can get someone to 30% and basically guarantee they advance.

I'd say it's 50/50 at best.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #241 on: May 01, 2021, 10:46:31 PM »

Ngl, I kind of assumed the suburbs would show a reversion after the Trump presidency. You saw it very slowly already in the GA runoffs before Trump was even out of office and now you see it even stronger post Trump entirely..

Yeah, some of the richest Atlanta suburbs were the one place where Loeffler and (especially) Perdue meaningfully outperformed Trump.


Yeah except this district is closer to GA07 than GA06.
An argument can be made for it being most like GA-11, only with suburban, urban, and rural portions that are all more R than their TX-06 equivalents.
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Boobs
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« Reply #242 on: May 01, 2021, 10:52:09 PM »

There's a reason Sanchez couldn't clear the Democratic field. (Hint: it's because no one likes her.)
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« Reply #243 on: May 01, 2021, 10:54:08 PM »

Wright is going to the runoff, no question about it. But Sanchez is actually closing the gap from the 2-3 points earlier. It is now less than 400 votes.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #244 on: May 01, 2021, 10:55:19 PM »

Dems really shot themselves in the knee there by running 10 candidates.

Embarrassing !
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Duke of York
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« Reply #245 on: May 01, 2021, 10:55:48 PM »

Wright is going to the runoff, no question about it. But Sanchez is actually closing the gap from the 2-3 points earlier. It is now less than 400 votes.

Hopefully she can still make the runoff.
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EastwoodS
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« Reply #246 on: May 01, 2021, 10:55:54 PM »

I’m thinking..is it REALLY an R-R lock guys, c’mon. Looks like it could go either way.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #247 on: May 01, 2021, 11:00:09 PM »

Wright is going to the runoff, no question about it. But Sanchez is actually closing the gap from the 2-3 points earlier. It is now less than 400 votes.

Hopefully she can still make the runoff.

There are only 9 precincts from Tarrant left.

It’s over.

It’s going to be a 2xR runoff.
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Secretary of State Liberal Hack
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« Reply #248 on: May 01, 2021, 11:12:30 PM »

How did that anti-Trump Republican do?
Better than the thread's namesake Big Dan
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« Reply #249 on: May 01, 2021, 11:22:56 PM »

Wright is going to the runoff, no question about it. But Sanchez is actually closing the gap from the 2-3 points earlier. It is now less than 400 votes.

Hopefully she can still make the runoff.

There are only 9 precincts from Tarrant left.

It’s over.

It’s going to be a 2xR runoff.

Tarrant favors Sanchez over Ellzey though.
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