MA-GOV 2022 Megathread

[Roll Roons]

I remember there was a point in Summer 2018 when Phil's approval suddenly crashed because of a gun control bill, but then recovered quickly. I suspect the same will happen here.

[Roll Roons]

I'm from Massachusetts. Baker will have no problems in either the primary or the general election.

For once, I really hope you're right.

[Roll Roons]

This poll was also sponsored by the DGA.

[Roll Roons]

Just over a week ago, the same guy said Charlie probably goes for a third term:
https://twitter.com/GlobeFPhillips/status/1462454111278927873

And this article seems to be implying that he'll do it: https://www.boston.com/news/politics/2021/11/30/charlie-baker-independent-reelection/

[Roll Roons]

He has been holding fundraisers, which makes me think he might go for it. But I feel like it's impossible to be sure either way. We all thought the signs pointed to Sununu running for Senate.

[Roll Roons]

GODDAMMIT WHY

[Roll Roons]

I really hope Phil runs again.

[Roll Roons]

Hopefully the inevitable Governor Healey goes too far and the state elects a Republican down the road to stop the madness.

[Roll Roons]

Hopefully the inevitable Governor Healey goes too far and the state elects a Republican down the road to stop the madness.

It took 2 attempts even for Baker. And where do you see "second Baker"?

Most likely someone in his administration. After all, Baker himself was an official in Bill Weld's administration and Hogan was one in Bob Ehrlich's.

Or maybe an outsider who's not on our radars today. Youngkin's victory arguably proved that the concept of a "bench" is overrated.

[Roll Roons]

I can not wrap my brain around the idea that the era of moderate R governors in Massachusetts is over, at least for now, and our tiny Republican party did the deed. It's been more than 30 years since Weld was first elected.

A moderate Republican can win in 2026 or 2030 if a Democratic governor raises taxes.....Baker will not be the last Republican governor

But can a moderate Republican win the nomination? And who would that Republican be? There’s no bench for a moderate.

History shows it is possible for a moderate R to win. But as you said there's really no bench. If there's no bench, well, then it's no cigar.

I'm not sure a bench is that important. Baker's only elected experience prior to the governorship was select board of a small town.

[Roll Roons]

In light of what happened in Georgia, there's no doubt in my mind that Baker would have easily won his primary (and obviously the general) if he had run for reelection.

[Roll Roons]

I've been told and read that Diehl has no chance of winning the governorship. If so what do folks think is his ceiling in terms of percentage statewide?

I would think around 41-42% at most. Though I think he does better than Dan Cox.

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/lisakashinsky/status/1620586042171756544

Good riddance to bad rubbish. I suppose there's really nowhere for this party to go but up, but getting rid of their terrible chairman is a start.