Field Research Corporation: Schwarzenegger(R) takes back lead over Angelidas(D)
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Author Topic: Field Research Corporation: Schwarzenegger(R) takes back lead over Angelidas(D)  (Read 3527 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« on: July 25, 2006, 07:46:21 AM »
« edited: July 27, 2006, 09:15:50 AM by olawakandi »
New Poll: California Governor by Field Research Corporation on 2006-07-23

Summary: D: 37%, R: 45%, U: 15%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2006, 07:50:39 AM »
It seems like Schwartz is stronger than expected over the liberal Angelidas.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #2 on: July 25, 2006, 07:51:06 AM »
The Governator will win in the end, this will just go back and forth with Arnold holding the lead most of the time.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #3 on: July 25, 2006, 07:57:30 AM »
« Edited: July 25, 2006, 08:03:21 AM by olawakandi »
I wouldn't be so sure, Field research and public policy are conserv pollsters, I would wait for an independent pollster like Gallup or Survey USA to make up my mind. But right now I would give the edge to Schwartz because Hotline predicted a Schwartz victory. And Schwartz is still under 50% in the polls. Also, Angelidas had a bruising primary and Schwartz didn't have one. I expect Angelidas to pull it out but it will take some time.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4 on: July 25, 2006, 08:52:26 AM »
"Schwartz" ? is this a new nickname for Arnie ? There isn´t even a "t" in Schwarzenegger ... Wink
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #5 on: July 25, 2006, 08:57:55 AM »
That's what they call him for short in Ca.
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« Reply #6 on: July 25, 2006, 10:36:16 AM »
ugh, this is what we get for not nominating Westly
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #7 on: July 25, 2006, 10:40:29 AM »
Westly would have been the much strongest candidate. But the liberals are more energized as an outparty when a republican is in the wh.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #8 on: July 25, 2006, 12:41:35 PM »
It is conservative it hasn't showed a lead for Angelidas.
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jfern
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« Reply #9 on: July 25, 2006, 12:54:49 PM »
Maybe the Angelides supporters were too busy avoiding brownouts.
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Alcon
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« Reply #10 on: July 25, 2006, 05:45:40 PM »
Quote from: texasindy on July 25, 2006, 12:09:02 PM
Field is actually the "gold standard" polling company in California.

Really?  They seemed kind of out on their own in 2004 a lot of the time, from what I remember.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #11 on: July 26, 2006, 07:39:37 AM »
I will wait until LA Times came out with a poll to determine if Arnold is really ahead.
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #12 on: July 26, 2006, 12:47:36 PM »
Quote from: olawakandi on July 26, 2006, 07:39:37 AM
I will wait until LA Times came out with a poll to determine if Arnold is really ahead.

Nothing like the real "quality" pollster in California [/sarcasm]
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ATFFL
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« Reply #13 on: July 26, 2006, 12:49:03 PM »
The LA Times is one of the worst pollsters in the country.
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The Duke
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« Reply #14 on: July 26, 2006, 12:51:21 PM »
No it's not.  I have lived in California all of my 22 years, I was an intern the Governor's Los Angeles office, and I now work for his campaign.  I have never heard anyone refer to him as "Schwartz" until I read this thread.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: July 26, 2006, 01:21:30 PM »
Yea, and they predicted Kerry would win OH and FL in the summer of 2004.
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The Duke
JohnD.Ford
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« Reply #16 on: July 26, 2006, 02:07:59 PM »
Quote from: olawakandi on July 26, 2006, 01:21:30 PM
Yea, and they predicted Kerry would win OH and FL in the summer of 2004.

Polls are not predictions.  They are snapshots in time.  No poll ever "predicts" anything, they simply give us an idea of the state of the race at a given moment.

Perhaps those polls showed Kerry winning OH and FL in summer of '04 because he was ahead in summer of '04.  He was not ahead on election day, though.  Don't make a judgement about a pollster because a poll they took in the summer didn't match up with the election result five months later.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #17 on: July 26, 2006, 02:13:06 PM »
I am simply saying just like we should consider Univ of Cincy poll that you should consider all of the polls before you reach a judgement about a particular race. This race is too close to call as the NY Times is saying the same thing.
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The Duke
JohnD.Ford
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« Reply #18 on: July 26, 2006, 11:11:30 PM »
Quote from: olawakandi on July 26, 2006, 02:13:06 PM
I am simply saying just like we should consider Univ of Cincy poll that you should consider all of the polls before you reach a judgement about a particular race. This race is too close to call as the NY Times is saying the same thing.

I am happy to accept your unjustified optimism if you accept that no one out here calls the Governor "Schwartz".
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #19 on: July 27, 2006, 08:59:51 AM »
Well I think that this race will be determined by all the polls in CA not just the conservative ones, just like in OH and FL they go by both the main media polls and Mason-Dixon.
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StatesRights
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« Reply #20 on: August 04, 2006, 01:08:52 AM »
Quote from: John Ford on July 26, 2006, 11:11:30 PM
Quote from: olawakandi on July 26, 2006, 02:13:06 PM
I am simply saying just like we should consider Univ of Cincy poll that you should consider all of the polls before you reach a judgement about a particular race. This race is too close to call as the NY Times is saying the same thing.

I am happy to accept your unjustified optimism if you accept that no one out here calls the Governor "Schwartz".

May the Schwartz be with you.
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ATFFL
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« Reply #21 on: August 04, 2006, 09:56:35 AM »
Quote from: StatesRights on August 04, 2006, 01:08:52 AM
Quote from: John Ford on July 26, 2006, 11:11:30 PM
Quote from: olawakandi on July 26, 2006, 02:13:06 PM
I am simply saying just like we should consider Univ of Cincy poll that you should consider all of the polls before you reach a judgement about a particular race. This race is too close to call as the NY Times is saying the same thing.

I am happy to accept your unjustified optimism if you accept that no one out here calls the Governor "Schwartz".

May the Schwartz be with you.

LOL!  I have been trying to think of a joke to make with the whole Schwartz thing.  Great one.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #22 on: August 04, 2006, 10:58:47 AM »
If you are going to mock my comments, go ahead, but you shouldn't mock me. All I was trying to say, you should go by all the polls in the state not just a selected few.
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StatesRights
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« Reply #23 on: August 04, 2006, 05:21:59 PM »
Quote from: olawakandi on August 04, 2006, 10:58:47 AM
If you are going to mock my comments, go ahead, but you shouldn't mock me. All I was trying to say, you should go by all the polls in the state not just a selected few.

Ah, I see your Schwartz is as big as mine!
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StatesRights
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« Reply #24 on: August 04, 2006, 05:30:58 PM »
Quote from: texasindy on August 04, 2006, 05:27:01 PM
Quote from: StatesRights on August 04, 2006, 05:21:59 PM
Quote from: olawakandi on August 04, 2006, 10:58:47 AM
If you are going to mock my comments, go ahead, but you shouldn't mock me. All I was trying to say, you should go by all the polls in the state not just a selected few.

Ah, I see your Schwartz is as big as mine!

Now let's see how well you handle it... Tongue

This thread and the "hood" thread are the funniest fcuking threads I've read all day.
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