Rate GA-SoS 2022 - Raffensperger vs Generic D

[VAR]

?

[GALeftist]

I'm going to say Likely R honestly. This is like the reverse of random row officers like Nicole Galloway holding on in Missouri, newly minted white Democrats in Cobb and North Fulton and such are going to be like "oh I like that guy I'm not a partisan hack I just want the right kind of Republican" and then vote for every other Democrat on the ballot

[Xing]

Considering Democrats view Raffensperger more favorably than Republicans and a "hero of Democracy", I'll say Likely R.

[VBM]

Raffensperger wins because other Republicans have set an incredibly low bar. All that a Republican has to do now is not be a complete scumbag and low info suburbanites will vote for him/her for being “one of the good ones”

[President Johnson]

Lean Republican, assuming Raffensberger wins his primary, which is far from certain. I could actually see him get some crossover votes from Democrats that allows him to stay on.

[Suburbia]

Lean D, Abrams and Warnock could pull the D candidate across the finish line.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Lean R, GA you must realize is a Runoff state if either candidate doesn't get to 50 it's a Runoff, Lean R for now

[Hope For A New Era]

Lean R, while all other Georgia offices are Tossup.

He'll be cutting margins bigly in the suburbs, that's for sure.

[Rookie Yinzer]

Lean R, while all other Georgia offices are Tossup.

Stuff like Superintendent of Schools and Insurance Commissioner are not toss-ups.

Anything that goes to a runoff with Abrams, Warnock, or both on the ballot are toss-ups. The only seats I see that happening are SOS and Public Service Commissioner races.

[Calthrina950]

Tossup/Lean R. Raffensperger is certainly in a better position than Kemp or the other Republican row officers, and I think that he might get some crossover votes for having done his job and resisted Trump last year. But Georgia is also a very polarized and inflexible state, and the amount of crossover voting that does take place will be very limited, similar to what we just saw in the runoffs. So a Democrat could very well still beat him.

[mikhaela]

Could this potentially be like the 2020 Indiana Governor election, where the Republican incumbent gets a lot of crossover votes while a lot of Trump loyalists defect to the Libertarian?

[MargieCat]

Perhaps Carolyn Bourdeaux or Lucy McBath can run for Secretary of State or Lt. Governor if their districts get completely destroyed in redistricting. Although I think McBath is a lot safer than Bourdeaux.