Early 2024 Presidential Ratings + 2022

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Senate: Tilt D

https://www.270towin.com/2022-senate-election/MwWgPM

Fetterman could very well win in PA due to Rs not selecting an effective nominee. If GOP does nominate someone who could appeal to suburbs, Fetterman is cooked.

House: Lean R

GOP outlook for House looks really good and they made some gains in 2020.

Governor: GOP majority

Lol the D's will hold onto Hose in a D 2.9 Election partisanshop iin 2022 isn't profound in midterms, the Sunbelt FL, TX and NC can still vote D in statewide elections due to Latino districts, that's why Ds won House in 2018

As long as Biden keeps renewing Unemployment checks, and stimulus he will be above 50

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

GA isn't gonna vote D before WI and PA, and Bob Casey Jr is on the ballot in PA, if D's lose PA, the Election is over

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Yeah and Brown can run ahead of Biden or Tim Ryan can too.

If we win PA in 2022, with Fetterman, we aren't losing PA in 2024

 Brown won while DeWine and OH isn't voting 9 pts to the right anymore, Trump is damaged goods in Ohio with three C's voting for D and Josh Mandal is weak

We will see when Polls come out

If Sununu doesn't run, against Maggie Hassan, NH is a D state

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Send map



Gov map





Prez map expanding battleground

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

New York Express maps aren't D at all

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Biden is at 52% approvals, the outparty only gain seats in Midterms if they are at 44% like Obama in 2009 had 11% Unemployment, users think it's gonna be a bloodbath for D's, which it won't be

Evers is leading in WI 45/44 and Ron Johnson is at 35% it will flip with PA

Order of likelihood that Seats will flip
47 NV CCM no R challenge
48 AZ Kelly won't lose unless it's an R 5 Environment like in 2014
49 NH Hassan isn't that Vulnerable, Sununu is tied with her
50 PA D flip
51 WI D flip Johnson is DoA
52 GA Runoff
If it's a neutral cycle 52 seats
53 NC D flip open
54 OH D flip open
Probably won't flip without a tsunami after OH
55 MO D flipBlunt is at 39% and Sifton is same as Jackson, second inc that will lose
56 IA Grassley might retire
57 FL Rubio of course if Crist runs its the 55th seat

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

My ratings:

No

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

GA isn't gonna vote D before WI and PA, and Bob Casey Jr is on the ballot in PA, if D's lose PA, the Election is over

A very popular president can help carry a senator, not the other way round.

What check the Election results PA WI and MI have gone D in every Election except for 2016/ and GA voted D once other than 2020/ 1992 for Prez check the Election results

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

WI isn't Lean R, Evers is leading in every poll in Gov race

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

2022 (SEN)

Likely D: --
Lean D: GA
Toss-up: AZ, NV, NH, PA
Lean R: WI, NC
Likely R: FL

Everything else is non-competitive/safe.

2024 (PRES)

Likely D: NE-02, MN, NH, ME-AL, NM
Lean D: GA
Toss-up: WI, MI, PA, NC, AZ
Lean R: --
Likely R: FL, TX, AK

Everything else is non-competitive/safe.

What about NV?

WI is a Tossup and so is NH and GA

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We retained WI GOV and Tammy Baldwin won by 10 in 2018 she is on the ballot in 2018

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We retained WI GOV and Tammy Baldwin won by 10 in 2018 she is on the ballot in 2018

If there is a Midwestern state that Trump would flip it would be Wisconsin.

TAMMY Baldwin won by 10 pts in 2018 she is on the ballot and she isn't losing I'm 24, no it's not gonna flip R

I told those others that AZ and NV weren't gonna flip and I was right you should listen Johnson isn't running 24 and Biden won WI in 2020 anyways he didn't lose WI

Johnson only won by 1 pt