GA - AJC/University of Georgia: Warnock is very popular
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  GA - AJC/University of Georgia: Warnock is very popular
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Author Topic: GA - AJC/University of Georgia: Warnock is very popular  (Read 1352 times)
VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« on: January 30, 2021, 11:01:25 AM »

Senator Warnock favorability: 54/37 (+17)

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WD
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« Reply #1 on: January 30, 2021, 11:08:59 AM »

they haven’t told the voters it’s a BIDEN MIDTERM yet.
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VAR
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: January 30, 2021, 11:19:46 AM »

Demographic toplines:

53% female, 47% male

59% white, 32% black, 9% other

35% college-educated
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #3 on: January 30, 2021, 11:23:40 AM »

they haven’t told the voters it’s a BIDEN MIDTERM yet.
It only matters when you have Trumpians approvals of 40 Percent
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #4 on: January 30, 2021, 11:25:01 AM »

I think it's so interesting how a while back everyone was saying how Warnock was such a terrible candidate/recruit, and now look at him - he's the most popular statewide politician in Georgia.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #5 on: January 30, 2021, 11:25:53 AM »

they haven’t told the voters it’s a BIDEN MIDTERM yet.
It only matters when you have Trumpians approvals of 40 Percent

Which Biden will have in summer 2022, lol
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: January 30, 2021, 11:27:29 AM »

they haven’t told the voters it’s a BIDEN MIDTERM yet.
It only matters when you have Trumpians approvals of 40 Percent

Which Biden will have in summer 2022, lol

Trump was going thru Impeachment in 2018 and Obama had 11 percent Unemployment and Bush W had Botched Katrina.
.
Biden is getting the vaccines out unlike Trump whom ignored Covid

Biden has a 52 percent approval rating, it's a long time 21 months til Election
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Beet
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« Reply #7 on: January 30, 2021, 11:33:56 AM »

they haven’t told the voters it’s a BIDEN MIDTERM yet.

The Democrats were polling a lot better in early 2013 and early 2009 than they ended up doing.
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SnowLabrador
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« Reply #8 on: January 30, 2021, 12:00:32 PM »

By the 2022 elections, he will not be.
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Horus
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« Reply #9 on: January 30, 2021, 12:21:44 PM »

By the 2022 elections, he will not be.

Yes, he will be.
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Astatine
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« Reply #10 on: January 30, 2021, 02:28:22 PM »

I think it's so interesting how a while back everyone was saying how Warnock was such a terrible candidate/recruit, and now look at him - he's the most popular statewide politician in Georgia.
Those were the days...

If she drops out the Democrats need to force everyone out and endorse Warnock.

No, they need to force Warnock to drop out and endorse Lieberman (i.e. the strongest - or rather, least weak - Democrat running).  Of course, they should be spending on the regular Georgia Senate race since unlike Warnock or Lieberman, Osoff actually has a chance of winning even if it's a long shot and the money would be much better spent on Maine, North Carolina, Montana, and (if Kobach is the Republican nominee) Kansas.

If anything Lieberman is the weaker of the two.  And it would be far better for Democrats to have him drop out.

I mean, Lieberman has - with the exception of one poll - been consistently been polling in double-digits (which is more than Warnock can say), specifically in second place behind Collins.  If anything, there's a slight danger Warnock could play spoiler and cause Loeffler to eek past Lieberman for the second runoff slot.  Warnock has raised more money than Lieberman, but that's basically all you can say in his favor and if that's our metric then why is no one talking about #UnbeatableTitan Jon Osoff.  I mean, you have one candidate consistently polling in second with 13-15% (Lieberman) and another candidate pretty consistently polling in fourth with 7-9% (Warnock). 

Honestly, I'm not sure what all the hype was about with Warnock, he always struck me as a pretty weak candidate (not that Lieberman isn't a C-lister himself).  People have been talking about the guy for like four years and he always seemed like just a random some dude pastor.  If his campaign so far is anything to go by, then before too long it'll be time for me to accept my accolades Tongue

Spending money on Lieberman or Warnock would be like wasting it on Hegar's campaign in Texas tbh.
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #11 on: January 30, 2021, 03:32:35 PM »

they haven’t told the voters it’s a BIDEN MIDTERM yet.

The Democratic Party is 32 points more favourably viewed than the Republican Party in this poll.



Either it's the mother of all honeymoon periods (in which case, check back in 6 months) or an extreme outlier.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #12 on: February 01, 2021, 12:22:56 AM »

It’s almost like 'moderates' who turn out for a runoff election to vote for a D trifecta were never actually persuadable voters, who would have thought? This is obviously ridiculously inflated and I’m not putting much if any stock in polling at this point, but I don’t see how Warnock is as or more vulnerable than Kelly. It’s going to take a red tsunami to flip this seat, whereas the other three clearly vulnerable Democratic incumbents could lose even in a red ripple.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #13 on: February 01, 2021, 12:39:21 AM »

Impeachment is a waste of time, Schumer said Clinton had to take care of business of the public when Clinton was impeached, now the Rs are singing the same tune
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Xing
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« Reply #14 on: February 01, 2021, 10:12:18 AM »

Exaggerated, and Warnock isn’t safe, but those assuming that Georgia is going to “snap back” are probably going to end up being as right as people who assumed Iowa/Ohio would “snap back” in 2018/2020.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: February 01, 2021, 03:43:35 PM »

Exaggerated, and Warnock isn’t safe, but those assuming that Georgia is going to “snap back” are probably going to end up being as right as people who assumed Iowa/Ohio would “snap back” in 2018/2020.


Don't you understand that there can be split voting behavior, Kemp and Collins aren't DOA and neither is Kelly in AZ, but like OU Sen and OH Gov the states can vote different between Gov and Senate

In GA and OH Tim Ryan and Warnock are just as popular as Kemp and DeWine
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forsythvoter
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« Reply #16 on: February 02, 2021, 09:15:13 PM »

I don't think these polling results tell us anything about how 2022 will turn out, but the results do roughly line up with my sentiments at the moment so they seem believable. I would say I have a somewhat favorable impression of the D party due to how Biden has handled the transition and a rather negative impression of the R party after the Trump drama over the last few months. I like both of the new GA senators, although they have not cast any big votes yet that I'm aware of so we'll see how I feel in 2022.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #17 on: February 03, 2021, 01:00:14 AM »

They really love to poll GA and GA is gonna go to a Runoff anyways, it's doubtful that Warnock gets 50 percent to avoid a runoff
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AGA
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« Reply #18 on: February 03, 2021, 02:33:53 PM »

Lean D
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #19 on: February 04, 2021, 01:12:25 PM »


It's a runoff, it's pure Tossup, Warnock has to make 50 in order to avoid Runoff
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