Texas 2022 megathread

[Progressive Pessimist]

Post snow storm poll :

https://www.uttyler.edu/politicalscience/files/dmn-uttyler-march-2020rv.pdf

Abbott approval : 52/31 (+21)

Biden approval : 47/40 (+7)

Cornyn favourability 40/26 (+14)
Cruz favourability : 42/45 (-3)
Trump favourability 43/47 (-4)
O'Rourke favaourability 37/42 (-5)

Considering that was taken before all the controversial covid related announcements, I wonder how it’s changed since then.

It's probably increased.

I wanted to call this race likely R since the energy crisis would give his Democratic opponent at least something to run on, but these polls of his unharmed approval make me much more pessimistic.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Looks like he's still considering it?

https://twitter.com/HoustonChron/status/1369743481296609285?s=20

Alright? Alright? Alright?

I genuinely don't know how he would fare in an election, but I am curious and kind of want to see it.

[Progressive Pessimist]

There is a lot that Democrats can use against Abbott in 2022, even more so now, but I just don't think that Texan voters will care or that his opponent will be very good in general. It's a DeSantis situation. Though Abbott doesn't quite have the beginnings of a cult-like following like he does. Abbott will easily win re-election, probably somewhere between his 2018 and 2014 margins. Texas is not going to flip yet, especially not in 2022.

[Progressive Pessimist]

There is a lot that Democrats can use against Abbott in 2022, even more so now, but I just don't think that Texan voters will care or that his opponent will be very good in general. It's a DeSantis situation. Though Abbott doesn't quite have the beginnings of a cult-like following like he does. Abbott will easily win re-election, probably somewhere between his 2018 and 2014 margins. Texas is not going to flip yet, especially not in 2022.

I mean there’s a lot the republicans could have used against Newsom and Cuomo but it did them no good since the states they governed. Cuomo barely resigned

That's exactly my point.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Texas Dems need to run someone who is tough but fair on immigration and someone who is not gaffe prone...

The gun thing was O'Rourke's only "gaffe" in about 3 years if IIRC....

It's a pretty big one for running in Texas though.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Texas Dems need to run someone who is tough but fair on immigration and someone who is not gaffe prone...

The gun thing was O'Rourke's only "gaffe" in about 3 years if IIRC....

It's a pretty big one for running in Texas though.

and it was over a year and half ago.

Americans do indeed have short-term memories, but the Republican Party doesn't and will use that against him. Guaranteed. And it may be enough for him to not have a chance at all.

[Progressive Pessimist]

All media outlets reporting on this news are referring to him as an ex-W. strategist (because, y'know, he was literally the W. re-elect's chief strategist), except for Fox, who are referring to him as a "left-wing pundit." So, y'know, Fox journalism!

In any event, a friend of a friend is his campaign manager, so here's hoping that he has a chance!!

That's because "left" has lost its meaning and now just refers to literally anyone who the Republican Party dislikes. The same goes for "wokeness" and how even the most minor consequence a right winger faces is "cancel culture."

[Progressive Pessimist]

I like Billie Eilish somewhat, but why are we still overestimating her influence on youth voting patterns? That's true for just about any celebrity actually (not counting the ones Republicans run for office).