Texas 2022 megathread

[OSR stands with Israel]

https://www.ksat.com/news/texas/2021/09/29/matthew-dowd-former-george-w-bush-strategist-to-run-as-democrat-for-texas-lieutenant-governor/

Former Bush strategist Matthew Dowd running for Lt Gov as a Democrat. This should be interesting...

Between this and Jennifer Rubin writing articles calling Afghanistan a failure from the start, the times sure have a-changed.

He was a Democrat until 1999

[OSR stands with Israel]

The Texas winter storm was a once in a century event and other storms in other states have caused worse damage too .

Wanna take that back?

No it’s not expected to be nearly as bad as last year’s

[OSR stands with Israel]

Seems there's this unofficial quota where someone has to mention how TX-GOV won't flip on every page of the thread

The quota lives for another page!

This exists, but pales in comparison to the democrat obsession with Texas. There are also quotas for reassurance posts such as:

1) Lecturing atlas about the Republican campaign strategies in Texas

2) Referencing “demographic change”

3) Reminding everyone that this isn’t “Texas in the 90’s”

4) Comparing candidate quality between Abbott and Beto

Between these, and the obligatory “safe R” posts, this is really a pretty useless thread.

Of course Texas democrats also were in better shape from 90-96 then they are today even if yah Texas was trending hard GOP but 98 was really the election where the TX Dems died at a statewide Level .

[OSR stands with Israel]

I really think Abbott's victory will come from suburban whites rather than Hispanics, but I guess we'll see

In Absolute Terms, definitely as even Trump's win in 2020 Texas had more to do with suburban whites than Hispanics.

https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/texas/0

Trump still won 56% of White College Educated Voters in Texas and that number was 62% among White College Educated Male Voters in Texas. Hell he won 60% of Whites in the Houston area and 59% in DFW in 2020 so in absolute terms you are right.

https://www.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/texas/5


In Relative Terms though , Trump clearly did better with hispanics and I think Abbott will as well

[OSR stands with Israel]

Beto actually outperformed Biden in the RGV and Austin and nearly matched Biden in the Houston area (trailing Biden's margin by about 1% in most counties there).  However, he lost massive ground compared to Biden in the entire DFW area (losing Tarrant and it's not even close, Abbott up by double digits in Collin and Denton) and in the rurals.  This is basically the opposite of what we were expecting!

Well it’s not really surprising given Trump greatly underperformed generic R in DFW , greatly overperformed in RGV and Houston Area was a slight underperformance(at least in 2020, as it was a great underperformance in 16).

[OSR stands with Israel]

Not sure how the takeaway is Texas voting for an incumbent Governor by less than what he won by in a D wave year is that Dems should stop investing in Texas. If anything this is an encouraging result in the state lmao.

Abbott was far far more controversial in 2022 than 2018 so his vote share dropped to basically what the average R in Texas would get