Would Bob Menendez have lost in a 2018 if Clinton won?
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  Would Bob Menendez have lost in a 2018 if Clinton won?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Would Bob Menendez have lost in a 2018 if Clinton won?  (Read 385 times)
bee33
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« on: January 27, 2021, 02:45:00 PM »
I think he would have lost, though just barely.
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Lord Admirale
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« Reply #1 on: January 27, 2021, 02:46:04 PM »
Yes. Tom Kean would defeat him 53-45.
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Chips
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: January 27, 2021, 06:11:05 PM »
Possibly.
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Mexican Wolf
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« Reply #3 on: January 27, 2021, 06:14:15 PM »
I think he still would've won, but only by around 3% to 5%. Even with controversial Dem candidates and incumbents, winning a Senate race in New Jersey has been a very tough nut for Republicans to crack for decades now.
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bronz4141
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« Reply #4 on: January 30, 2021, 04:11:16 PM »
Quote from: Mexican Wolf on January 27, 2021, 06:14:15 PM
I think he still would've won, but only by around 3% to 5%. Even with controversial Dem candidates and incumbents, winning a Senate race in New Jersey has been a very tough nut for Republicans to crack for decades now.

This
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TML
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« Reply #5 on: January 30, 2021, 04:19:17 PM »
Remember that the race was very nationalized, and exit polls indicated that most of the electorate in NJ wanted Democratic control of the Senate. Thus, a very substantial portion of voters went for Menendez despite having a negative impression of him. If those factors were still prominent under a Clinton administration, it would likely be enough to save Menendez in most cases.
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Iacon
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« Reply #6 on: January 30, 2021, 05:54:05 PM »
He would have hobbled by narrowly imo.  Less than 2%
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