Florida 2022 Megathread

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Crist and Val are gonna be the nominees for Gov and Sen

[2016]

It is getting quite obvious! Annette Taddeo launched her own Bid for Governor because she knowns that Crist almost certainly will lose again in the General Election.

A Taddeo/Demings Ticket atop the FL Ballot may get both Races in Florida, Governor and Senate a lot closer.

[2016]

Crist and Val are gonna be the nominees for Gov and Sen

Crist won't be the D-Gov Nominee. Democrats won't nominate someone who has lost Elections Statewide 3 Times in the past 10 Years: Against Rubio in the 2010 Republican Senate Primary, as an Independent that same year in the GE and as a Democrat in the 2014 Governor Race.

Taddeos Entrance into the Race being his former Running Mate will make it harder for Crist to win the Primary. Taddeo is likely to siphon enough Votes away from Crist that either A) she gets the Nomination herself or B) Nikki Fried gets it.

[brucejoel99]

Yay, now I get to spend the next 10 months trying to determine who's likely to lose to DeSantis by the smallest margin (because let's face it, there's just no way that DeSantis isn't getting re-elected next year, as inherently sad as that being the case is). I continue to strongly suspect that the answer to that question is whichever one of Taddeo & Fried can prove to be more competent when it comes to fundraising & competently deploying campaign resources, with a tie going to Taddeo solely because of Dade. FWIW, I've heard only glowingly positive things about Taddeo's organization & on-the-ground field-ops in both her 2017 special election & 2017 re-elect, although those obviously aren't the same things as a state-level race, in which Fried has had direct experience putting together an effective campaign organization. To be sure, this'll be an interesting primary to watch. My only wish is that Crist weren't running because his doing so likely means that none of what I just said will actually end up mattering in the end, given that he'll likely just end up winning the primary anyway, but at least now, I'll maybe, just maybe be able to cast my vote in the primary with a smile on my face while I do.

[Donerail]

My only wish is that Crist weren't running because his doing so likely means that none of what I just said will actually end up mattering in the end, given that he'll likely just end up winning the primary anyway, but at least now, I'll maybe, just maybe be able to cast my vote in the primary with a smile on my face while I do.

I will be smiling as I cast my primary vote for CHARLIE

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/annette_taddeo/status/1450109263142133763?s=21

She's probably a better candidate than grifter Nikki Fried or perennial candidate Charlie Crist. That said, DeSantis is unbeatable.

Interestingly, Taddeo is also somewhat of a perennial candidate. Taddeo lost elections in 2008 (Congress), 2010 (Miami-Dade County Commission), 2014 (Lieutenant Governor), and 2016 (Congress) before finally being elected in 2017 (State Senate).

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Some D's are still pessimistic about FL, it's an R plus 3 state

[lfromnj]

https://twitter.com/CharlieCrist/status/1454485752532946949

Unfortunately for FL Democrats they can't be Josh Mandel and still win.

[SnowLabrador]

How can FL Dems be THIS incompetent? I swear, DeSantis could be revealed to have literally created COVID in the lab, and the Dems would still not be able to take advantage of it.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

How can FL Dems be THIS incompetent? I swear, DeSantis could be revealed to have literally created COVID in the lab, and the Dems would still not be able to take advantage of it.

Trump lives in FL and DeDantis got a bump from Surfside, we didn't see Demings anywhere near Surfside

Anything can happen in a yr, if Biden gets his Approval up0he won't be at 45% I'm a yr if Covid disappears

Rubio only leads by 4ots

If there is a blue wave D's can win OH plus MO for 54 and FL is always the 55th seat or NC but both Demings and Beasley appear more Socialist than Ryan and Siifton meaning OH and MO in a blue wave and D's aren't 15 down in MO, only 5 pts back

[2016]

Democratic Governors Association are already pulling back Resources for FL-GOV 2022
https://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2021/11/04/no-million-dollar-checks-democratic-governors-may-sit-out-florida-1392319

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/annette_taddeo/status/1458041682344120326?s=21

[Sir Mohamed]

https://twitter.com/annette_taddeo/status/1458041682344120326?s=21

LOL, that may actually hurt?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Likely R unless Stone runs even if he does DeSantis is so popular because of Surfside he is ahead by double digits, it's a 304 map outside chance we win OH Sen or FL Gov

But, if we breach the debt Ceiling, all bets are off D's will get slaughtered

[President Johnson]

The guy is actually pretty cool:

https://twitter.com/CharlieCrist/status/1458538577390931970

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This race is over just like OA you don't hear from Ras Smith, D's have a better chance in Tax as soon as Beto announces no one should donate to FL, or IA

DeSabtis whom was commended by Biden isn't losing in a Cc uban Embargo state where Latinos outnumber Blks and Rubio not Rick Scott



Rubio like Grassley is up by 18 PT's bigger fish to fry as D's in NC and OH, GA if Abrams in run and TX

[Rookie Yinzer]

I honestly think DeSantis will win Miami-Dade County. This race is just a formality. LOL.

[Real Texan Politics]

I honestly think DeSantis will win Miami-Dade County. This race is just a formality. LOL.

It won't surprise me if he does, though Rubio is certainly more likely to win it.

[SnowLabrador]

https://twitter.com/CharlieCrist/status/1465431550468763650

This is just cringe. I get that it's Safe R, and that we shouldn't be spending too many resources on the race, but it's just embarrassing that we couldn't do any better than this. There's so much opposition research on DeSantis (indeed, calling it "research" is a stretch, it's all public information), and the Dems can't take advantage of it. Burn the FL Democratic Party to the ground and build something new, and that would do better than the dumpster fire that is the current FL Democratic Party.

[2016]

An Astounding Statistic

FL Party Registration just before the 2008 Presidential Election

REPUBLICAN  4,100,109

DEMOCRAT  4,791,642

MINOR PARTIES  326,026

NO PARTY AFFILIATION  2,132,226

Difference: D+691,533

FL Party Registration as of October 31st 2021

REPUBLICAN  5,118,357

DEMOCRAT  5,114,039

MINOR PARTIES  252,492

NO PARTY AFFILIATION  3,814,567

Difference: R+4,318

[Real Texan Politics]

An Astounding Statistic

FL Party Registration just before the 2008 Presidential Election

REPUBLICAN  4,100,109

DEMOCRAT  4,791,642

MINOR PARTIES  326,026

NO PARTY AFFILIATION  2,132,226

Difference: D+691,533

FL Party Registration as of October 31st 2021

REPUBLICAN  5,118,357

DEMOCRAT  5,114,039

MINOR PARTIES  252,492

NO PARTY AFFILIATION  3,814,567

Difference: R+4,318

DeSantis is winning re-election next year, and Florida will go republican in 2024 barring some extreme scenario that has little chance of occurring.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Crist and Demings went from in a mnth 12 and 19 back to six behind because Marco Rubio is Filibustering VR and the Defense Bill,

[Sir Mohamed]

Crist and Demings went from in a mnth 12 and 19 back to six behind because Marco Rubio is Filibustering VR and the Defense Bill,

Why do you take every poll seriously coming out so far ahead of the election?

This race is Likely or Safe R

[ElectionsGuy]

https://twitter.com/CharlieCrist/status/1465431550468763650

This is just cringe. I get that it's Safe R, and that we shouldn't be spending too many resources on the race, but it's just embarrassing that we couldn't do any better than this. There's so much opposition research on DeSantis (indeed, calling it "research" is a stretch, it's all public information), and the Dems can't take advantage of it. Burn the FL Democratic Party to the ground and build something new, and that would do better than the dumpster fire that is the current FL Democratic Party.

Can someone ask Charlie what part of Florida that looks like?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Crist and Demings went from in a mnth 12 and 19 back to six behind because Marco Rubio is Filibustering VR and the Defense Bill,

Why do you take every poll seriously coming out so far ahead of the election?

This race is Likely or Safe R

A seat is not safe R when it's 6 pts S019 says CRIST and DEMINGS are gonna win, lol it's a Latino state and so it's TX we're gonna have higher turnout than 21 we didn't have our Fed H and Senate candidates up, I am optimistic, Biden Approvals aren't gonna be 41 by Nov 22