Kentucky 2023 gubernatorial election megathread

[Alben Barkley]

Does turnout look bad for Cameron because he wasn't an inspiring candidate, the election itsself is not seen as important or these people are kind of resigned to Beshear, who hasn't enflamed much passion against him? I guess a combination of all of these. (However, not getting ahead of myself here, the election isn't over and Beshear isn't guaranteed to win yet).

It probably actually is in large part because a nontrivial number of rural Kentucky whites who otherwise would vote Republican can't bring themselves to turn out for a black man.

Still?!

Yeah, racism ain't over yet. Certainly not in Eastern Kentucky.

Or in North Georgia, either.  I think in some cases it's unconscious racism; while some people wouldn't intentionally discriminate, they may get an uncomfortable "vibe" about a black candidate when it comes time to choose.  (For others, of course, it's more conscious and deliberate.)

No doubt.

But in Eastern Kentucky specifically, some of those counties were giving John Kerry Kim Jong-un style margins then suddenly flipped to voting for McCain four years later. Hard to imagine why...

[Independents for Nihilism]

Good turnout numbers for Beshear, time to pop open the bourbon yet? Or am I counting my racehorses before they hatch? Bluegrass?

I'm seeing the first results coming in too, from Menifee county if that means anything.

[Roll Roons]

Good numbers for Beshear, time to pop open the bourbon yet? Or am I counting my racehorses before they hatch? Bluegrass?

Where are you seeing results? NYT has nothing up.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

FIRST VOTES!

Menifee County-

Beshear (52%) 194
Cameron (48%) 182

[Independents for Nihilism]

Good numbers for Beshear, time to pop open the bourbon yet? Or am I counting my racehorses before they hatch? Bluegrass?

Where are you seeing results? NYT has nothing up.

Sorry, I meant in terms of things like turnout in Louisville. But I updated my post, numbers are starting to trickle in with a slight lead for Beshear.

[DaleCooper]

It's all over. Cameron is already ahead by almost a thousand votes.

[Red Wall]

Cameron seems to be underperforming Bevin in the rurals

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Reminder once we do start getting drops from Louisville, Lexington and the Cincinnati suburbs that unless we know exactly what precincts they're from they're not usable for comparisons to 2019 at least until we get like 70% in.

[Senator Incitatus]

But in Eastern Kentucky specifically, some of those counties were giving John Kerry Kim Jong-un style margins then suddenly flipped to voting for McCain four years later. Hard to imagine why...

"Kim Jong Un margins"? Where?

[E-Dawg]

Does turnout look bad for Cameron because he wasn't an inspiring candidate, the election itsself is not seen as important or these people are kind of resigned to Beshear, who hasn't enflamed much passion against him? I guess a combination of all of these. (However, not getting ahead of myself here, the election isn't over and Beshear isn't guaranteed to win yet).

It probably actually is in large part because a nontrivial number of rural Kentucky whites who otherwise would vote Republican can't bring themselves to turn out for a black man.

Still?!

Yeah, racism ain't over yet. Certainly not in Eastern Kentucky.

Or in North Georgia, either.  I think in some cases it's unconscious racism; while some people wouldn't intentionally discriminate, they may get an uncomfortable "vibe" about a black candidate when it comes time to choose.  (For others, of course, it's more conscious and deliberate.)

No doubt.

But in Eastern Kentucky specifically, some of those counties were giving John Kerry Kim Jong-un style margins then suddenly flipped to voting for McCain four years later. Hard to imagine why...

The Appalachian voters swinging GOP due to racism theory made some level of sense in the aftermath of the 2008/2012 elections with their sharp swings against Obama. But it makes less sense in 2016/2020, in which two white Democratic nominees (Clinton/Biden) performed far worse in these areas than Obama did.

[GALeftist]

Beshear may win Elliott again lol

[Zedonathin2020]

Its literally tied in Elliot according to DDHQ

[Oryxslayer]

KY too early to call lol.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Beshear has 61% in Breathitt with 83% of the vote counted. He won it by 50% last time.

[Hindsight was 2020]

https://twitter.com/redistrict/status/1722043188003709411?s=12

[philly09]

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722044799694352541

[H. Ross Peron]

https://twitter.com/SplitTicket_/status/1722044539064422665

[Bandit3 the Worker]

What a disaster Daniel Cameron was.

[Senator Incitatus]

Looking like the biggest, fattest L yet for Mitch McConnell, the worst politician of the century.

[Zedonathin2020]

McConnell is both fuming and relieved, his handpicked successor is still available for 2026, but on the other hand Beshear just won a second term

[H. Ross Peron]

https://twitter.com/SplitTicket_/status/1722044539064422665

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1722047246512832967

[oldtimer]

McConnell is both fuming and relieved, his handpicked successor is still available for 2026, but on the other hand Beshear just won a second term

Beshear will probably not appoint Cameron as a Senator, and I doubt after this that Cameron would be able to win a statewide primary.

[ReallySuper]

lol, beshear's won powell county by 1 vote. (bevin won it by 5 points)

nicholas county went from +1 beshear in 2019 to +12 beshear tonight

[Arizona Iced Tea]

So glad I made Beshear+4.5 my final prediction.

[Lambsbread]

Another massive W for Unbeatable Titan Andy Beshear