Louisiana 2023 gubernatorial election megathread

[Flyersfan232]

And now the gop might be able to flip the governorship before the election

[Frodo]

And now the gop might be able to flip the governorship before the election

Is this what you are referring to?

What did Gov. John Bel Edwards know about State Police coverup in Ronald Greene killing?

[Real Texan Politics]

And now the gop might be able to flip the governorship before the election

Is this what you are referring to?

What did Gov. John Bel Edwards know about State Police coverup in Ronald Greene killing?

Yup. May he be impeached? Or recalled? How does it work there?

[Schiff for Senate]

I honestly think Republicans are more likely to hold MD than Democrats are to hold LA.

Yeah, no. 0% is not greater than 0%.

[smoltchanov]

Well, i can't imagine circumstances, where Democrats (especially - with present left-leaning (despite some remnants of conservatism on such issues as choice) party in very socially conservative state) would hold governorship in 2023. Yes, Louisiana elects probably the most conservative Democratic state legislator in nation (IMHO, that's Francis Thompson, but he is a product of another era), but JBE was so much an exception (generally socially conservative populist with extremely damaged opponent) in 2015, that it would be naive to think it will happen again soon. So i would even consider "the least objectionable Republican" (of Dardenne-type for example) as reasonable alternative. We shall see whether it will become a reality..

[Biden his time]

A Republican becoming governor of Louisiana?

Well, you know what they say

Just because a peli-can doesn't mean a peli-should.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's don't have a candidate because they are challenging Kennedy and with Chambers and Mixon, they will have a candidate as soon as the Election for 22 is over so it's an R Takeover now but we will have a candidate next yr

[Calthrina950]

Well, i can't imagine circumstances, where Democrats (especially - with present left-leaning (despite some remnants of conservatism on such issues as choice) party in very socially conservative state) would hold governorship in 2023. Yes, Louisiana elects probably the most conservative Democratic state legislator in nation (IMHO, that's Francis Thompson, but he is a product of another era), but JBE was so much an exception (generally socially conservative populist with extremely damaged opponent) in 2015, that it would be naive to think it will happen again soon. So i would even consider "the least objectionable Republican" (of Dardenne-type for example) as reasonable alternative. We shall see whether it will become a reality..

And Edwards narrowly won reelection in 2019 against an opponent who was not that impressive and was a staunch Trumpist. Thus, I agree with you that it is highly unlikely Democrats hold the Governorship in 2023. If a popular moderate Democrat can only win by a few percentage points, a Generic D would easily get blown out by double digits.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Well, i can't imagine circumstances, where Democrats (especially - with present left-leaning (despite some remnants of conservatism on such issues as choice) party in very socially conservative state) would hold governorship in 2023. Yes, Louisiana elects probably the most conservative Democratic state legislator in nation (IMHO, that's Francis Thompson, but he is a product of another era), but JBE was so much an exception (generally socially conservative populist with extremely damaged opponent) in 2015, that it would be naive to think it will happen again soon. So i would even consider "the least objectionable Republican" (of Dardenne-type for example) as reasonable alternative. We shall see whether it will become a reality..

And Edwards narrowly won reelection in 2019 against an opponent who was not that impressive and was a staunch Trumpist. Thus, I agree with you that it is highly unlikely Democrats hold the Governorship in 2023. If a popular moderate Democrat can only win by a few percentage points, a Generic D would easily get blown out by double digits.

Yeah, it's quite hard to imagine Ds holding here. If Rs pull out a Bevin type, Ds might win in 2027. But this is the tough hold to make all tough holds look tough.
I personally rate it Likely R, much closer to Safe than Lean.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's a runoff state just like GA D's don't have a candidate until they finish the campaign against Kennedy you know COVID have insulated incumbent Govs just like Beshear is winning we can find ourselves with another D Gov but that's unlikely Like Mixon probably wins a Runoff against Kennedy and we are left with Chambers or lesser known D, but Mixon was less known before he started his run for Senate😁😁😁

[Forum explorer]

I have a feeling the Dems will shove Perkins down our throughts again. Or Mitch Landrieu. (Ugh)

[Death of a Salesman]

It's quite unlikely that Democrats win, so the real contest will be for the Republican nomination.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

It's quite unlikely that Democrats win, so the real contest will be for the Republican nomination.

Do you guys ever look at polls instead if Biden Approvals, Approvals mainly matter in Prez cycles not off yet Elections and Beshear is leading we don't have a candidate until Mixon or Chambers finish campaigning against Kennedy were not gonna win MS that's the only safe state in 2023, LA is a Runoff state that's why Mixon will win in second round against Kennedy

[Real Texan Politics]

It's quite unlikely that Democrats win, so the real contest will be for the Republican nomination.

Do you guys ever look at polls instead if Biden Approvals, Approvals mainly matter in Prez cycles not off yet Elections and Beshear is leading we don't have a candidate until Mixon or Chambers finish campaigning against Kennedy were not gonna win MS that's the only safe state in 2023, LA is a Runoff state that's why Mixon will win in second round against Kennedy

Yes we do, and they usually suck.

And yes, Louisiana is a runoff state. However this is not an open race, and with Louisiana being a safe R state with an R incumbent in a RED WAVE YEAR, I’m very confident Kennedy will get well over 50% in the first round, so no runoff needed.

[Del Tachi]

It's quite unlikely that Democrats win, so the real contest will be for the Republican nomination.

Louisiana still has jungle primaries, so we could even be looking at an R-vs-R general election.  Strategically, Democrats should just get behind the least objectionable Republican in order to make sure there's a sane runoff choice.  A moderate Republican with even limited Democrat support would easily beat a more conservative Republican in the runoff.

[smoltchanov]

It's quite unlikely that Democrats win, so the real contest will be for the Republican nomination.

Louisiana still has jungle primaries, so we could even be looking at an R-vs-R general election.  Strategically, Democrats should just get behind the least objectionable Republican in order to make sure there's a sane runoff choice.  A moderate Republican with even limited Democrat support would easily beat a more conservative Republican in the runoff.

Exactly what i have said. Moderate (and even more so - relatively conservative) Democrats, who had an appeal in rural areas and more conservative suburbs, are almost extinct (or Republican) now, and, surely, can't win a primary where majority of voters will be Black. On the other side - "progressives" have zero chances in general election.....

[Real Texan Politics]

Lemme just say this now before the inevitable Gary Chambers gubernatorial bid in 2023 after he gets his butt kicked in this year's senate race...

Gary Chambers is trying too hard to be the Louisiana Stacey Abrams, but he's ending up as the Louisiana Beto O'Rourke.

[Frodo]

Lemme just say this now before the inevitable Gary Chambers gubernatorial bid in 2023 after he gets his butt kicked in this year's senate race...

Gary Chambers is trying too hard to be the Louisiana Stacey Abrams, but he's ending up as the Louisiana Beto O'Rourke.

I imagine not too many Louisiana whites are pleased with him for publicly burning the Confederate battle flag in his ad:

To them, he is attacking their 'ancestors' and their 'heritage'. 

[LobsterDuck]

In local news, former St Tammany Parish Sheriff Jack Strain has been sentenced to life in prison.

[Real Texan Politics]

In local news, former St Tammany Parish Sheriff Jack Strain has been sentenced to life in prison.

That might not be something that really affects the governors race, but interesting news nonetheless. I wonder what happened.

[Rjjr77]

Lemme just say this now before the inevitable Gary Chambers gubernatorial bid in 2023 after he gets his butt kicked in this year's senate race...

Gary Chambers is trying too hard to be the Louisiana Stacey Abrams, but he's ending up as the Louisiana Beto O'Rourke.

Beto got close, chambers wont

[GreenieGollum]

John Shroder is running

[Real Texan Politics]

Lemme just say this now before the inevitable Gary Chambers gubernatorial bid in 2023 after he gets his butt kicked in this year's senate race...

Gary Chambers is trying too hard to be the Louisiana Stacey Abrams, but he's ending up as the Louisiana Beto O'Rourke.

Beto got close, chambers wont

I mean as someone who’ll continue to run for different offices and fail at every run.

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Lemme just say this now before the inevitable Gary Chambers gubernatorial bid in 2023 after he gets his butt kicked in this year's senate race...

Gary Chambers is trying too hard to be the Louisiana Stacey Abrams, but he's ending up as the Louisiana Beto O'Rourke.

Abrams' and O'Rourke's only accomplishment is losing (soon to be losing twice)

[Real Texan Politics]

Lemme just say this now before the inevitable Gary Chambers gubernatorial bid in 2023 after he gets his butt kicked in this year's senate race...

Gary Chambers is trying too hard to be the Louisiana Stacey Abrams, but he's ending up as the Louisiana Beto O'Rourke.

Abrams' and O'Rourke's only accomplishment is losing (soon to be losing twice)

Exactly.