OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

How much money will McConnell dump into this primary to stop Jim Jordan?

Yes.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

FYCK ANOTHER OPEN SEAT

I’ve been writing to Grassley's office and BEGGING him not to retire since November, and now this.

I have seen the future, Grassley will retire.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Interesting how the 3 retiring GOP Senators are from states <10% in 2020

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

I still strongly recommend that Democrats target the winnable races such as North Carolina, Wisconsin or Pennsylvania and not Ohio!

Yes, but spending some money in OH will force the GOP to play even more defensive.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

In a Biden midterm, a state that voted 4 points to the right of the nation is rated as "lean D" and one that voted 13 points to the right is "lean R". This is kind of ridiculous; are they expecting this to be a D+9 year or something:?

These people are very bad at their jobs. Like I said before, the only reason they have IA as Safe R is because they’re assuming that Grassley will run again. Watch them downgrade it to Lean R when he retires (clearly more competitive than NV/NH).

I agree. The so-called "experts" are fools when it comes to congressional races at least.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Cook already downgrading the race all the way to Lean R:

https://twitter.com/JessicaTaylor/status/1353732687786369024

Are you kidding me? Lol I thought they would downgrade it to Likely and that would be too aggressive.

In a Biden midterm, a state that voted 4 points to the right of the nation is rated as "lean D" and one that voted 13 points to the right is "lean R". This is kind of ridiculous; are they expecting this to be a D+9 year or something:?

..

Stop saying a Biden midterm, 2010 we had 11 percent Unemployment, 2014 and 2018 we had red Senate maps.


2014 D's lost AR, AK, LA and NC and 1 blue state CO SD, MT and WVA were also lost

2018 D's lost MO, IN and ND

Only 1 D inc Mark Udall lost in a blue state, the rest are red states

2016 we lost WI, PA, OH, FL and IN but Strickland, Bayh and Kate McGinty lost due to Hillary

We have a good record in blue states midterms or not

Wow, a good take from OC.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Cook Political now unironically believes Ohio is as competitive as Wisconsin.

because they are idiots who overestimate incumbency, WI tossup, OH likely r

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Cook Political now unironically believes Ohio is as competitive as Wisconsin.

Never forget Likely D Heitkamp

Never forget Tossup Sanders.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Is it safe to write off Gonzalez?

Yes. Someone who voted for impeachment can't win.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

It would be very weird for a Trump+8 state to have 2 Dem senators in the polarized era.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

!!!!!! Awesome.

https://twitter.com/lizmwalters/status/1353785683371028482

Hopefully people aren't dumb enough to actually believe this

Ahem...

https://www.foxnews.com/sports/lebron-james-us-senate-calls-ramp-up-portman-decision

Yes I know it's Fox News but still, would be an interesting primary if LeBron ends up running. He's arguably the most popular current NBA star at the moment.

Realistically though I think it's probably gonna be Jim Jordan vs Tim Ryan in the general.

LeBron Obama wouldn't win either, the racists in Appalachia Driftless Area and the rurals would not vote for a black man from Cleveland Chicago

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

It'll be funny if Trump+8 OH has 2 Democratic Senators and Maine has 0.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

If it's Timken Vs Ryan, I could see a path towards a D Win. If it's Vance vs Ryan or Mandel vs Ryan, Ds won't win.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

This race is Likely R closer to Safe than Lean, not worth any attention

All Senate Races are worth at least *some* attention.