OH-Sen 2022: So you’re telling me there’s a chance

[jamestroll]

Cook Political now unironically believes Ohio is as competitive as Wisconsin.

This is absolutely absurd! With or without Johnson, Wisconsin is clearly a better target for Democrats than Ohio!

[Tekken_Guy]

Not sure what to make of this. On the one hand, this seat moves from unwinnable to winnable in a perfect storm, but on the other hand, most Republicans are a downgrade from Portman.

When has Portman ever voted with Dems on anything of significance?

That's kinda missing the point.  DiFi never breaks with Schumer on floor votes, for example, but her seniority and stature moderates the entire Democratic caucus towards her position.  Portman was in a similar position.  Replacing him with Renacci, Gonzalez or (God forbid) Jim Jordan is definitely a downgrade for Democrats and moderate centrists of either party.   

How is a guy who impeached Trump,in the same league as Renacci or Jordan?

[If my soul was made of stone]

Cook Political now unironically believes Ohio is as competitive as Wisconsin.

Never forget Likely D Heitkamp

[brucejoel99]

Alright fellow red avs, we have a year to perfect Sherrod Brown cloning technology.

[JoeInator]

Likely R -> a little less Likely R.

[JMT]

Kasich out:

https://twitter.com/jbalmert/status/1353743108375240712?s=21

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

How much money will McConnell dump into this primary to stop Jim Jordan?

Yes.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

FYCK ANOTHER OPEN SEAT

I’ve been writing to Grassley's office and BEGGING him not to retire since November, and now this.

I have seen the future, Grassley will retire.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Interesting how the 3 retiring GOP Senators are from states <10% in 2020

[2016]

Say hello to Senator Jim Jordan!

There is no way Democrats can win this in a Biden Midterm.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Stivers probably runs and wins easily unless he loses to some random whacko in the primary like Jim Renacci or John Becker (the latter of whom is basically Ohio's version of MTG).  The real significance of this is that it likely means Stivers won't end up running against Brown as many had assumed which increases the chances of Brown facing someone like Jim Jordan or Troy Balderson who is actually capable of blowing a statewide race in Ohio against Brown.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

I still strongly recommend that Democrats target the winnable races such as North Carolina, Wisconsin or Pennsylvania and not Ohio!

Yes, but spending some money in OH will force the GOP to play even more defensive.

[JoeInator]

Who would be the Democrats' best bet at flipping this seat and who would be the Republicans' best bet at holding it?

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

In a Biden midterm, a state that voted 4 points to the right of the nation is rated as "lean D" and one that voted 13 points to the right is "lean R". This is kind of ridiculous; are they expecting this to be a D+9 year or something:?

These people are very bad at their jobs. Like I said before, the only reason they have IA as Safe R is because they’re assuming that Grassley will run again. Watch them downgrade it to Lean R when he retires (clearly more competitive than NV/NH).

I agree. The so-called "experts" are fools when it comes to congressional races at least.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Cook already downgrading the race all the way to Lean R:

https://twitter.com/JessicaTaylor/status/1353732687786369024

Are you kidding me? Lol I thought they would downgrade it to Likely and that would be too aggressive.

In a Biden midterm, a state that voted 4 points to the right of the nation is rated as "lean D" and one that voted 13 points to the right is "lean R". This is kind of ridiculous; are they expecting this to be a D+9 year or something:?

..

Stop saying a Biden midterm, 2010 we had 11 percent Unemployment, 2014 and 2018 we had red Senate maps.


2014 D's lost AR, AK, LA and NC and 1 blue state CO SD, MT and WVA were also lost

2018 D's lost MO, IN and ND

Only 1 D inc Mark Udall lost in a blue state, the rest are red states

2016 we lost WI, PA, OH, FL and IN but Strickland, Bayh and Kate McGinty lost due to Hillary

We have a good record in blue states midterms or not

Wow, a good take from OC.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Cook Political now unironically believes Ohio is as competitive as Wisconsin.

because they are idiots who overestimate incumbency, WI tossup, OH likely r

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Cook Political now unironically believes Ohio is as competitive as Wisconsin.

Never forget Likely D Heitkamp

Never forget Tossup Sanders.

[One Term Floridian]

Being in the minority sux doesn’t it? Always hilarious to see a massive wave of retirements after a party loses the majority in either house or senate lmao

Add the fact that every establishment Republican is utterly fed up with Trumpism. Wouldn’t be surprised to see another wave of retirements before 2022 actually sets in

[NYSforKennedy2024]

JD VANCE TAKE MY ENERGY ༼ つ ◕_◕ ༽つ

[Zache]

Senator Gym Jordan will be fighting it out with Tuberville for the title of America's dumbest Senator. Looking forward to it

[boltzy_]

I can't imagine anyone other than Jim Jordan getting the Republican nomination. Which, in OH in the middle of Biden's term, will probably be tantamount to winning the GE.

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/alweaver22/status/1353753175665291268?s=21

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/dannyoconnor1/status/1353735313982631938?s=21

Danny O’Connor considering a run?

[Horus]

Tilt R/tossup with Jordan.

Likely R with anyone else.

[Figueira]

I'd call it Likely R just because the midterm is more likely than not to be good for Republicans. Would be Lean R if I was expecting a neutral year.