Anderson v Carter 1980
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  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  Anderson v Carter 1980
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Michael Z
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« on: July 20, 2006, 05:41:50 PM »

Assuming John Anderson wins the Republican nomination in 1980. What happens next?
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WalterMitty
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« Reply #1 on: July 21, 2006, 08:05:08 AM »

assuming there is no conservative third party:



carter: 275
anderson: 263
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Lincoln Republican
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« Reply #2 on: July 21, 2006, 11:23:44 AM »
« Edited: August 12, 2006, 12:00:33 PM by Winfield »

In a shrewd political move, triumphant Republican Presidential nominee, Congressman John Anderson of Illinois, picks moderate Senator Howard Baker of Tennessee for Vice President.  Baker is popular in the party, and this helps greatly in solidifying Republican support behind the Anderson candidacy.

They face off against incumbents President Jimmy Carter of Georgia and Vice President Walter Mondale of Minnesota.

Anderson and Baker capitalize on the nation's disenchantment with Carter and his leadership, and promise to lift America from the "malaize" into which the nation has sunk under the Carter Presidency.

This proves to be a winning strategy.

The Republican ticket taps into a strong belief in the country that the nation is adrift, and that a change in administration is needed to move America forward.

Anderson and Baker are able to hold the Republican vote intact, for the most part, and score well amongst independents, as well receiving votes from disenchanted Democrats.

The Republican ticket succeeds in keeping southerner Carter from sweeping the south, with Anderson and Baker taking the upper south states of Virginia, Kentucky, and Baker's home state of Tennessee.  They take Oklahoma as well.  Even in parts of the south, the desire for change proves to be a strong factor.

The result is a convincing win for the Republican ticket.

Anderson/Baker            338 EV
Carter/Mondale             200 EV

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Michael Z
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« Reply #3 on: August 12, 2006, 11:30:18 AM »

assuming there is no conservative third party:



carter: 275
anderson: 263

A Carter victory? How so?
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True Democrat
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: August 12, 2006, 05:03:14 PM »



423-115
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Reignman
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« Reply #5 on: August 15, 2006, 04:55:04 PM »

assuming there is no conservative third party:



carter: 275
anderson: 263

A Carter victory? How so?

Carter wasn't really screwed until the debate with Reagan; he could have conceivably beat a different GOP candidate (though unlikely).
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Dr. Cynic
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« Reply #6 on: August 21, 2006, 12:21:27 PM »

That's true... The 1980 race was originally neck and neck. Carter lost because he couldn't debate effectively.

Assuming that my buddy Ed Clark doesn't run, I would probably vote for Anderson.
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afleitch
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« Reply #7 on: August 21, 2006, 12:30:35 PM »

Men also went heavily for Reagan with a 54-37 split. Women were more close with a 46-45 edge for Reagan. Reagan also did well amongst Catholics, 51-40 as opposed to 54-44 in Carters favour in 1976.
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