1980: bush/goldwater vs. muskie/glenn
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
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  Past Election What-ifs (US) (Moderator: Dereich)
  1980: bush/goldwater vs. muskie/glenn
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Author Topic: 1980: bush/goldwater vs. muskie/glenn  (Read 1506 times)
WalterMitty
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« on: July 18, 2006, 04:28:29 PM »

to sum up:

bush wins the republican nomination instead of reagan.  feeling the need to solidify support among conservatives, bush offers the vp slot to reagan.  reagan refuses.  bush then asks arizona senator, former presidential candidate and conservative icon, barry goldwater to be his running mate.  after initial reluctance, goldwater accepts.

sensing that the country is in a 'malaise', president carter offers the country a fresh start and declines to run for reelection.  vice president mondale also declines.  sec of state ed muskie wins the nomination and picks ohio senator john glenn as his running mate.

discuss w/maps.
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True Democrat
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2006, 05:07:43 PM »

Bush wins.  Anderson drops out with no Carter to attack.  Carter campaigns hard for Muskie, giving him a tiny bit of traction in the South (though not enough to win any states).



It's close, but a Bush win.  298-240
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Lincoln Republican
Winfield
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« Reply #2 on: July 18, 2006, 08:12:56 PM »

After the disasterous Presidency of Jimmy Carter, the Democrats realize they have a steep, uphill battle ahead of them in the 1980 election. 

Liberal Muskie fails to make any breakthrough in the south, dimming his already faint hopes of victory.  Glenn helps somewhat with more moderate voters, but this is overshadowed by the far greater appeal that Bush has for this same group. 

Bush comes into the campaign well respected for his admirable record of public service, and as a credible Presidential candidate.  The presence of Goldwater on the ticket goes a long way in keeping the conservative voters on side, particularily in the south and west.  Goldwater by this time is revered in some quarters of the country.

These factors result in a clear and comfortable win for Bush and Goldwater.

Bush/Goldwater                335
Muskie/Glenn                    203

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WalterMitty
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« Reply #3 on: July 19, 2006, 04:18:51 PM »



bush/goldwater: 52%, 346 EVs
muskie/glenn: 47%, 192EVs

the election isnt too close.  but it does catapult john glenn to front-runner status for the 1984 democrat nomination.
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Dr. Cynic
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« Reply #4 on: July 19, 2006, 07:45:06 PM »

It was beyond close:

MUSKIE/GLENN - 274

BUSH/GOLDWATER - 264
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