Japan 2021 Tokyo Metropolitan assembly elections (July) and Lower House Election Oct 31st

[Mike88]

Suga will run again, like you posted jaichind. But, who could be his possible successor in the LDP? I've read somewhere that Shinjirō Koizumi could be a possible future leader, but that Abe could return again, but I think that's just wishful thinking.

[Mike88]

The seats that are left to count are more aligned with the Government or the Opposition? Or are they too close to call? Because, the results so far, 212-97, look pretty good for the LDP-Komeito government.

[Mike88]

The seats that are left to count are more aligned with the Government or the Opposition? Or are they too close to call? Because, the results so far, 212-97, look pretty good for the LDP-Komeito government.

Most of the uncalled seats lean CDP in pre-election projections.   You can read that as CDP will get a bunch of seats to come OR LDP is doing better than CDP in the marginals.  The pre-election CW was that CDP will win more of the marginals.  What we can say this them not called is that there is no LDP meltdown.  LDP seems in good shape to win 233 seats for the majority unless these marginals lean CDP in the count to come.

Right. A lot of seats yet to count or be projected, around 100.

[Mike88]

LDP-Komeito have surpassed the 233 mark in the official count.

NHK updated projection has LDP winning 234-253 seats.

Any data about CDP? They could win less seats than the 109 they currently have.

[Mike88]

Any data regarding the final turnout numbers?

[Mike88]

Tokyo's PR vote share:

https://twitter.com/AsiaElects/status/1454892474598453254