PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it (user search)
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  PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it  (Read 67790 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« on: April 20, 2021, 06:32:17 PM »

I think the race is Shapiro's to lose, especially if the Rs nominate Barletta.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2021, 12:54:08 PM »

Lean D if it's Barletta vs. Shapiro. Perhaps a smidge closer to Likely.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #2 on: May 20, 2021, 10:17:09 PM »

God help the PA GOP if this happens:



This would be a gift to the PA Dems. The race could actually be likely D if it's between him and Shapiro.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #3 on: June 05, 2021, 02:51:11 PM »

Could anyone else run in the dems primary?

Maybe a couple no-names. I don't expect anyone major though. The PA Dems have had the Governor's mansion reserved for Shapiro for years.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #4 on: July 20, 2021, 03:32:42 PM »

Would Rep. Ryan Bizzarro, a blue-collar middle class Democrat be a good gubernatorial choice in '22?

https://www.instagram.com/ryanbizzarro/

No, the nomination is Shapiro’s. Maybe down the line he’d make a good statewide candidate.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #5 on: October 11, 2021, 02:42:03 PM »



Hallelujah!
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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P P
« Reply #6 on: May 17, 2022, 08:34:38 PM »

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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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P P
« Reply #7 on: May 17, 2022, 10:58:51 PM »

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Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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P P
« Reply #8 on: May 31, 2022, 06:37:55 PM »

This poll conducted for Future Majority & America’s Future Majority shows Shapiro beating Mastriano by 43 points with Hispanic voters.

https://futuremajority.org/wp-content/uploads/Future-Majority-Polling-Report-Latino-Voters-in-Arizona-Nevada-and-Pennsylvania.pdf
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #9 on: August 11, 2022, 07:42:37 PM »

Different focus groups?
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #10 on: August 17, 2022, 05:37:11 PM »

Mastriano really makes no effort whatsoever to display any moderate image or broad appeal.  He really just tacks hard right and can't move away from them even for a moment.   Everything needs to be the most conservative stance, the most right wing position, the most pro-Trump statements.   To him there's absolutely no need to balance or appeal to more people or anything.

It's like he never left Republican Primary campaign mode, or a different mode doesn't even exist for him.

He's still running a better campaign than Dr. Oz is.
Slightly better I would say. While I have both Josh Shapiro and John Fetterman narrowly winning as of this week, I think there will be a decent number of Fetterman/Mastriano voters. John Fetterman I think will win by 1%, whereas Josh Shapiro will only win by 0.25-0.5%.
I cannot see it being that close.

If Shapiro beats Mastriano, I can’t see it being anywhere within 4 points.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #11 on: August 21, 2022, 01:51:43 PM »

If Trump were still President, Shapiro would be on track to winning by a bigger margin than Wolf did in 2018.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #12 on: September 14, 2022, 05:01:25 PM »



Not surprising. I don't think he's made any effort to appeal to anyone who isn't already a hardcore supporter of his.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #13 on: September 26, 2022, 02:57:15 PM »
« Edited: September 26, 2022, 03:10:13 PM by Josh Shapiro for Governor »

National Republicans pretty much openly admitting that they're surrendering the race to Shapiro.

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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #14 on: September 28, 2022, 03:10:27 PM »

I don't want to count my chickens before they hatch, but I could not be more excited for Governor Shapiro. As great as Wolf has been, Shapiro will be better.

Shapiro has strong Presidential vibes. Can't wait to see what happens!
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #15 on: October 06, 2022, 11:55:04 AM »

Shapiro continues to scrape together endorsements from traditionally GOP-friendly groups.

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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #16 on: October 07, 2022, 05:24:38 PM »

In my opinion, Shapiro's floor is a victory margin of 4 points, and his ceiling is anywhere between 9 and 12.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #17 on: November 02, 2022, 09:35:57 PM »

RCP just moved the race to Leans D (lol) so it’s very safe to say things here are settled.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/governor/elections-map.html
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2022, 11:33:51 PM »

He has some very serious presidential potential.

He's certainly a far more talented and charismatic politician than DeSantis.

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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #19 on: January 17, 2023, 08:35:43 PM »

Already looking like a future President. That portrait is so sharp.
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