PA GOV 2022: Stick a fork in it

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Josh Shapiro has this, he is gonna win and pull Fetterman across the Finish line

[Coldstream]

https://twitter.com/maryfrancesmcg/status/1467682567856001025?s=21

Lol - last served in 2006. Talk about an irrelevant has-been. Shocked if she gets more than 5% in the primary.

She lost a State Senate primary in 2012 in the seat she represented.

May as well get Santorum to run for the Senate seat.  They both went down in 2006.

Yeah I mean Santorum at least could argue he has won statewide twice, Hart lost a defendable seat twice.

[JMT]

https://twitter.com/joshshapiropa/status/1478365623293984772?s=21

[Lambsbread]

Very excited for this. I was hoping that I wouldn't be voting just for white men for every office on my ballot in 2022. Hopefully Austin wins the primary.

[wbrocks67]

Love that! Really excited at the prospect of these two to be next gov/lt gov

[Sir Mohamed]

I'm not as familiar with this race as the PA posters, but I have the impression Shapiro is running very strong. Hot take: He's more likely to be gov in 2023 than Whitmer and Evers.

[Senator Incitatus]

Glad to see Sims’s delusions come to an end.

[Lambsbread]

I'm not as familiar with this race as the PA posters, but I have the impression Shapiro is running very strong. Hot take: He's more likely to be gov in 2023 than Whitmer and Evers.

Not a hot take. Shapiro has a track record of running pretty well statewide.

[Sir Mohamed]

I'm not as familiar with this race as the PA posters, but I have the impression Shapiro is running very strong. Hot take: He's more likely to be gov in 2023 than Whitmer and Evers.

Not a hot take. Shapiro has a track record of running pretty well statewide.

Sure, though the other 2 are incumbents.

[Not Me, Us]

Interesting that Shapiro is endorsing an LG candidate. Seems like a good one, but I wouldn't count Sims out just yet, being from Philly while Davis is from Pittsburgh gives him a strong geographical advantage that could matter in a two-man race like this.

[Flyersfan232]

Interesting that Shapiro is endorsing an LG candidate. Seems like a good one, but I wouldn't count Sims out just yet, being from Philly while Davis is from Pittsburgh gives him a strong geographical advantage that could matter in a two-man race like this.

Wagner endorse a lt governor candidate in 18 hopefully this is the last time we have this stupid shot gun primary

[Flyersfan232]

I'm not as familiar with this race as the PA posters, but I have the impression Shapiro is running very strong. Hot take: He's more likely to be gov in 2023 than Whitmer and Evers.

Not a hot take. Shapiro has a track record of running pretty well statewide.

Never had to run in a midterm year unfavorably to his party

[Lambsbread]

I'm not as familiar with this race as the PA posters, but I have the impression Shapiro is running very strong. Hot take: He's more likely to be gov in 2023 than Whitmer and Evers.

Not a hot take. Shapiro has a track record of running pretty well statewide.

Never had to run in a midterm year unfavorably to his party

He ran ahead of Biden in a year that Biden barely won PA.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I'm not as familiar with this race as the PA posters, but I have the impression Shapiro is running very strong. Hot take: He's more likely to be gov in 2023 than Whitmer and Evers.

Not a hot take. Shapiro has a track record of running pretty well statewide.

Never had to run in a midterm year unfavorably to his party

Midterms are based on Turnouts and in 2018 we had 46/43 M and in Prez Election 2020 we had 80/75 M votes in a VBM we're not having low turnout, before 2020 it was same day voting

IPSOS and ZOGBY have Biden at 50/48 the other polls like Insider Advantage showing him at ,40/50 are pure TRASH

Gas prices are going down and 800K jobs

[Calthrina950]

I'm not as familiar with this race as the PA posters, but I have the impression Shapiro is running very strong. Hot take: He's more likely to be gov in 2023 than Whitmer and Evers.

Not a hot take. Shapiro has a track record of running pretty well statewide.

Never had to run in a midterm year unfavorably to his party

He ran ahead of Biden in a year that Biden barely won PA.

I think it's possible that Shapiro wins the gubernatorial race, while Republicans holds the Senate seat. After all, in 2020, Republicans won the State Auditor and State Treasurer races while Democrats won the presidential and Attorney General races. And as you note, Shapiro has generally run ahead of other Democratic candidates on the ballot (and this was true in both 2016 and 2020). But if such a scenario happens, both races will probably be within a percentage point or two.

[progressive85]

I'm changing this to Lean R.  I do not think Josh Shapiro will beat back the Red Tide this year.  Republicans can nominate the gopher that pops his head up in the winter and he'd win over Team Blue.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I'm changing this to Lean R.  I do not think Josh Shapiro will beat back the Red Tide this year.  Republicans can nominate the gopher that pops his head up in the winter and he'd win over Team Blue.

Lol there hasn't been any state by state polls only Trash Approval
Biden polls won't be 40/50 on Nov 22  all he needs to be is 50/48 and IPSOS and Has him already there

What poll has Fetterman or Shapiro losing, NONE

[Utah Neolib]

Barletta wins narrowly but loses in 2026. This is a red wave, Pennsylvania is a swing state that may be trending red.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

D's are gonna win WI, PA and MI because the only problem is he dealing with the Border Crisis and his 43/50 Disapprovals are mainly due to his Border policy mainly in TX/FL that's why Ds are favs with WI/PA in the Senate but not favs in the H losing10 seats in TX/FL

Immigrants in Rust belt has no bearing on Border states no COVID except in TX/FL and Cali

[Roll Roons]

https://twitter.com/StephenJ_Caruso/status/1479538853576859651

Here we go...

If he does get the nomination, I'd feel comfortable calling Shapiro favored in the general. 

[Utah Neolib]

Barletta isn’t a good candidate but he does win, Mastriano loses

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Shapiro is favored and so is Fetterman

[Lambsbread]

With Rick Saccone running for Lt. Gov, PA’s insurrectionist caucus is well represented in 2022.

Lord help us.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

With Rick Saccone running for Lt. Gov, PA’s insurrectionist caucus is well represented in 2022.

Lord help us.

Blame Biden low Approvals in Civitas polls he is. Underwater in every state

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Mastriano willwin the primary as polls show. VOTERS DON'T CARE ABOUT JAN 6, they care about bread and butter issues like inflation/gas prices. In the red wave this year Mastriano will win against shapiro sorry red avatars.