DistingFlyer
Jr. Member
Posts: 652
Political Matrix
E: 0.25, S: -1.74
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« on: January 09, 2021, 06:09:49 PM » |
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If primary battles can be brought up here, Bush in 2008 might have faced a similar situation to 1952 & 1968: a low-enough approval rating, and sufficient discontent even within his own party, that he'd likely get a sufficiently poor result in New Hampshire or Iowa that would either force him out of the race entirely (as it did for Johnson & Truman), or damage him sufficiently to ensure a heavy defeat in the fall.
With the exception of 2020, the defeat of every incumbent since the Second World War has been presaged by a stronger-than-usual primary challenge, and 2008's would have been more serious than most.
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