Democrats Need to Split California ASAP into 4 new Blue States
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 19, 2024, 04:15:40 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  General Politics
  U.S. General Discussion (Moderators: The Dowager Mod, Chancellor Tanterterg)
  Democrats Need to Split California ASAP into 4 new Blue States
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Democrats Need to Split California ASAP into 4 new Blue States  (Read 2220 times)
Secretary of State Liberal Hack
IBNU
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,982
Singapore


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: January 07, 2021, 10:10:57 AM »

One of the biggest structural problems that democrats face is that much of their current growth is concentrated in California making it useless in senate races and almost useless Presidentaly. Splitting the state into 4 new blue states is the only possible way that the democrats prevent the structural disadvantage from growing.

They need to immeditatly sit down with Newsome and other California democratic legislature(which control a 2/3rds majority nessecsary to make the appropriate changes) to split the state in such a way to introduce 4 new blue states to remove the structural and electoral disadvantage of their concentration.
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,162
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: January 07, 2021, 10:12:45 AM »

No! CA is one state. Leave my beloved state alone.

Make DC, PR and Guam states.
Logged
Secretary of State Liberal Hack
IBNU
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,982
Singapore


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 07, 2021, 10:14:29 AM »

No! CA is one state. Leave my beloved state alone.

Make DC, PR and Guam states.
Guam would be a swing-state, PR could go republican on a senate level(their current non-voting delegate is a Republican). California needs to split to unpack democratic voters.
Logged
Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,925
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: January 07, 2021, 10:17:08 AM »

I don't see a solid argument for why California Democrats would even want to try and do this, and whether the people themselves would be OK with it. It's not just some strategy game we're playing here. It's real life, and there are millions of people with their own interests in California.

It's similar to why Maryland lawmakers have no appetite for absorbing Washington DC into the state as a compromise for statehood. Why would Maryland Democrats want to shift the balance of power in the state? Why would Maryland Republicans want to make the state even more stubbornly Democratic? And would the people of Maryland even want to take on a whole new city? It wouldn't take long for people to start thinking that their tax dollars will get further stretched.

Tinkering with existing states like this is a whole lot more difficult than is being let on.
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,162
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: January 07, 2021, 10:18:04 AM »

No! CA is one state. Leave my beloved state alone.

Make DC, PR and Guam states.
Guam would be a swing-state, PR could go republican on a senate level(their current non-voting delegate is a Republican). California needs to split to unpack democratic voters.


There is legitimate case to make said 3 states, but splitting CA would just be a maneuver. Next time the GOP takes over, they start splitting up red states? I don't think this is a good idea. More broadly, I'd support electing senators via district.
Logged
Secretary of State Liberal Hack
IBNU
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,982
Singapore


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: January 07, 2021, 10:22:44 AM »

I don't see a solid argument for why California Democrats would even want to try and do this, and whether the people themselves would be OK with it. It's not just some strategy game we're playing here. It's real life, and there are millions of people with their own interests in California.

It's similar to why Maryland lawmakers have no appetite for absorbing Washington DC into the state as a compromise for statehood. Why would Maryland Democrats want to shift the balance of power in the state? Why would Maryland Republicans want to make the state even more stubbornly Democratic? And would the people of Maryland even want to take on a whole new city? It wouldn't take long for people to start thinking that their tax dollars will get further stretched.

Tinkering with existing states like this is a whole lot more difficult than is being let on.
Because they are Democrats who want to end the democrat disadvantage on a federal level.
Politically speaking the fact that California is large really limits the political ambitions of many politicians due to their being far more house reps than any other state with far fewer statewide positions to advance up too. You can see the problem in the senate where no appointment by Newsome would have been able to fully represent the diversity of the state. Splitting the state is the only sensible solution.
Logged
7,052,770
Harry
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 35,725
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: January 07, 2021, 10:25:20 AM »

Bad precedent. Much better to allow the unrepresented areas of the United States to have representation and let the chips fall.
Logged
Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,925
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: January 07, 2021, 10:28:19 AM »

Because they are Democrats who want to end the democrat disadvantage on a federal level.
Politically speaking the fact that California is large really limits the political ambitions of many politicians due to their being far more house reps than any other state with far fewer statewide positions to advance up too. You can see the problem in the senate where no appointment by Newsome would have been able to fully represent the diversity of the state. Splitting the state is the only sensible solution.

Yes, it does make sense on a purely partisan level. You could squeeze a lot of seats out of that state if you chopped it up right.

My point is that it's silly to talk about this like that would be the only consideration. You'd have a parade of Democrats who would be against it based purely on local interests, such as their economy, their own local political influence, the CA people and their own visions of what California is, and so on. It's just not going to happen.
Logged
It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,072


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: January 07, 2021, 10:44:20 AM »

Just push for dc statehood.
Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,077


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: January 07, 2021, 12:00:42 PM »

Because they are Democrats who want to end the democrat disadvantage on a federal level.
Politically speaking the fact that California is large really limits the political ambitions of many politicians due to their being far more house reps than any other state with far fewer statewide positions to advance up too. You can see the problem in the senate where no appointment by Newsome would have been able to fully represent the diversity of the state. Splitting the state is the only sensible solution.

Yes, it does make sense on a purely partisan level. You could squeeze a lot of seats out of that state if you chopped it up right.

My point is that it's silly to talk about this like that would be the only consideration. You'd have a parade of Democrats who would be against it based purely on local interests, such as their economy, their own local political influence, the CA people and their own visions of what California is, and so on. It's just not going to happen.

Well it's not purely partisan. There's the fact that the people of CA are severely underrepresented by having only two Senators for all those people.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 90,562
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: January 07, 2021, 12:32:02 PM »

Why, there is no need even if Manchin doesn't get rid of the Fillibuster, D's can expand their Majority and get PR and DC Statehood in 2022, WI, PA, NC and GA

We not happen
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,540
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: January 07, 2021, 12:36:29 PM »
« Edited: January 07, 2021, 01:34:30 PM by Badger »

Mind-bogglingly bad precedent, not to mention overwhelmingly opposed by Californians outside of a tiny trumpist minority who want to take a handful of underpopulated redneck Sierra Mountain counties and turn it into a second Idaho.
Logged
The Dowager Mod
texasgurl
Moderator
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,977
United States


Political Matrix
E: -9.48, S: -8.57

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: January 07, 2021, 12:48:35 PM »

Sure, Then the other side splits Texas into 5.  Roll Eyes
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,083


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: January 07, 2021, 01:03:58 PM »

The current plan of having Californians move en masse to Arizona and Texas is good enough for our needs.
Logged
Agonized-Statism
Anarcho-Statism
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,941


Political Matrix
E: -9.10, S: -5.83

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: January 07, 2021, 01:20:01 PM »

This would come off as a hysterical power grab and lessen the impact of the Republicans' screw-up. Democrats already have a mandate for the next few years.
Logged
PSOL
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,164


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: January 07, 2021, 01:20:41 PM »

An easier solution is separating New York and Illinois into two states, north and South.
Logged
Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,362


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: January 07, 2021, 01:23:03 PM »

I don't see a solid argument for why California Democrats would even want to try and do this, and whether the people themselves would be OK with it. It's not just some strategy game we're playing here. It's real life, and there are millions of people with their own interests in California.

It's similar to why Maryland lawmakers have no appetite for absorbing Washington DC into the state as a compromise for statehood. Why would Maryland Democrats want to shift the balance of power in the state? Why would Maryland Republicans want to make the state even more stubbornly Democratic? And would the people of Maryland even want to take on a whole new city? It wouldn't take long for people to start thinking that their tax dollars will get further stretched.

Tinkering with existing states like this is a whole lot more difficult than is being let on.

It seems reasonable for Northern and Southern California to be separate states quite aside from partisan considerations; their cultures as different as two different states are in most instances, as are their interests, environments, etc.

An easier solution is separating New York and Illinois into two states, north and South.

This would only hurt the Democrats, as Southern Illinois would be a Safe R state, and Northern NY would be only Lean D.
Logged
beaver2.0
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,780


Political Matrix
E: -2.45, S: -0.52

P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: January 07, 2021, 01:24:58 PM »

No.  Make DC eight states.  Each ward should get statehood.
Logged
It’s so Joever
Forumlurker161
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,072


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: January 07, 2021, 01:27:18 PM »

Sure, Then the other side splits Texas into 5.  Roll Eyes
Good idea!
The West can be a state, then the RGV, the greater Houston, Dallas, and Austin/SA. That won’t backfire at all!
Logged
Virginiá
Virginia
Administratrix
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,925
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -6.97, S: -5.91

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: January 07, 2021, 01:32:57 PM »

It seems reasonable for Northern and Southern California to be separate states quite aside from partisan considerations; their cultures as different as two different states are in most instances, as are their interests, environments, etc.

That is easier to see, yeah. I don't really think it will happen for the aforementioned reasons, though.
Logged
Asta
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 647


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: January 07, 2021, 01:48:37 PM »

As a former California resident, I oppose splitting states purely for political expedience, but even if I were to grant it for the sake of the argument, splitting into Norcal and Socal are better than splitting it into four. I find it nearly impossible to draw four states that will all reliably vote democratic for generations.
Logged
Tintrlvr
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,362


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: January 07, 2021, 01:55:27 PM »
« Edited: January 07, 2021, 02:00:37 PM by 306 »

As a former California resident, I oppose splitting states purely for political expedience, but even if I were to grant it for the sake of the argument, splitting into Norcal and Socal are better than splitting it into four. I find it nearly impossible to draw four states that will all reliably vote democratic for generations.

Definitely agree on "reliably", although you can fairly easily draw four quite reasonable Clinton states (San Diego+Imperial, the five LA metro counties, the Bay Area/coast from Santa Barbara northward, and the Central Valley) out of California. The Central Valley state is obviously competitive but still voted for Clinton by 3 points with a long-term Democratic trend - not ideal and definitely the Senate seats and state legislature/governorship would be quite winnable for the Republicans but probably still worth it for the Democrats given the other splits and potential growth there if forced to split up California, and just as significantly I think those splits all very reasonably follow cultural and geographic lines.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,961


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: January 07, 2021, 04:08:51 PM »

Then Republicans make every Oklahoma county a state.
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,781


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: January 08, 2021, 07:24:39 AM »

Why just 4?
Logged
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,452
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: January 08, 2021, 12:29:49 PM »

Sure, Then the other side splits Texas into 5.  Roll Eyes

Ew!
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.057 seconds with 11 queries.