Canadian by-elections 2021-2022

[Filuwaúrdjan]

It seems First Nations turnout really bad.  Big reason Tories won Desnethe-Missinippi-Churchill River and Kenora and neither was even close.  On paper shouldn't be Tory with large First Nation's population and Tories usually get in single digits amongst First Nations.  But seems for whatever reason many don't show up, while due to re-alignment Tories now dominate white voters in both unlike in past thus why win it as they show up.

They sometimes vote and when they do the outcomes are quite different. As for why they have only a semi-detached relationship with the Canadian polity, well, is that really such a great shock considering how it has treated them over the decades? The white vote in D-M-CR has been capable of voting monolithically for the designated party of the Right for ages now, so I don't think we need to bring questionable notions of 'realignment' (in Canada? What value does such a concept have in a place where people change their vote more frequently than they change their bedsheets?) into this.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

That might be true for the federal ridings but what I've heard the white population in Athbaska is negligible, the Saskatchewan party victory was more powered by Metis Voters that they apparently managed to win 95/5 over the usual 60/40 margins. We shouldn't street first nation voters as some sort of monolith either.

Yes - if there's something new here it's a very different sort of new. There was a large increase in the Saskatchewan Party vote at Athabasca at the last election, of course. Interesting that this result has happened at one of those points when the Saskatchewan Party's poll lead is less obese than what has become usual, but places like this will do their own thing for many reasons.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

There is a record of 40 candidates running in the Mississauga-Lakeshore by-election.

Your country's Supreme Court is about as a big a joke as the one in your neighbour to the south.