IL-GOV 2022 megathread (user search)
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April 27, 2024, 01:04:46 PM
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  IL-GOV 2022 megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: IL-GOV 2022 megathread  (Read 21438 times)
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« on: December 28, 2020, 03:15:07 PM »
« edited: December 28, 2020, 03:19:39 PM by MR. KAYNE WEST »

Why do Conservative think just because it's a Biden Midterm, D's are in a losing battle in 2014/2018 only 1 Dem lost in a blue state which was Mark Udall.  

Every competetive state in 2021/2022 including GA Runoffs and VA and NJ Govs and 2022 Midterms aside from NC are in states Biden won and Biden and Harris will campaign for D's.

Instead of winning by 20/ Pritzker is gonna win by 5 pts, that's the average D Govs win by anyways.

Pritzker is just as overweight as Trump

Ricketts is running for Gov due to fact his Cubbies are on the downtrend, the Roof top business is over until Covid is over. He's going bankrupt as of right now, Wrigleyville is dead, I lived in Chicago, Galena and Suburbs are becoming more popular than Chicago, you can buy a House for same price you pay rent a mnth
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #1 on: December 28, 2020, 03:21:24 PM »

Of course it's still D, Ricketts and Wrigleyville are on the downtrend since Rooftops and Cubbies aren't in business that much anymore due to Covid
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #2 on: December 28, 2020, 06:53:36 PM »

Let's be clear that Trump is gonna exert his influence in a lot of Congress and Statewide races in 2022/ NC Sen, IL Gov, he is friends with Palin, but try his isn't 2010, it's 2020 and the EC map has finally favored D's even in Midterms, especially in a Pandemic

Lara Trump will fail too as NC Senate nominee
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #3 on: January 02, 2021, 07:02:22 AM »

Pritzker wins but posts a worse showing downstate than Quinn did.

If Jim Edgar wants to fix IL politics like it was in the 1990s, he could run and he could win.


Edgar had heart issues and couldn't get thru the stress that's why he retired
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #4 on: January 02, 2021, 11:38:53 PM »

Ricketts would be a viable candidate if his Cubbies were any good, but without Wrigleyville being open for fans, the Covid Environment will be a drag on him, Cubs are nowhere near the promise they were in 2016/ Pritzker wins by 5/10 pointsjust like DUCKWORTH
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #5 on: February 23, 2021, 04:55:55 PM »
« Edited: February 23, 2021, 05:02:34 PM by MR. KAYNE WEST »

Safe Pritzker, he is just as safe as Abbott
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #6 on: February 23, 2021, 11:17:27 PM »

The Rs need to forget about IL, Trump is too polarizing a force in IL to get Rs elected Gov of IL

Rauner and Kirk got elected off of Blagojevich selling the seat to Jesse Jackson, that's the only reason why they won
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #7 on: March 04, 2021, 12:28:36 PM »
« Edited: March 04, 2021, 02:41:28 PM by MR. KAYNE WEST »

DeSantis has Rubio not Rick Scott on the ballot. In 2018, DeSantis had Rubio and almost lost to Gillam

Crist and Val Deming's will lost by 10 pts and FL isn't AZ or CA, it's a Cuban not Mexican state, which has a Cuban Embargo on it
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #8 on: March 07, 2021, 10:30:30 PM »

The reason why it's safe D, because IL came from a billionaire Rauner and Trump were polarizing
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #9 on: March 30, 2021, 07:15:45 PM »

Safe D
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #10 on: April 15, 2021, 10:56:02 AM »

Pritzker is scandal free, he isn't Pat Quinn, Safe D
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #11 on: June 04, 2021, 02:55:06 AM »

He's obviously tired of dealing with Pandemic but it's Safe D anyways
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #12 on: June 04, 2021, 03:20:24 PM »

If Pritzker doesn't run Obams will get the female Lt Gov to run no one else is listed on politics 1.com as possible candidates for D, IL may have it's first Blk female Gov

Should Pritzker serve 2 terms, she is 2026 Gov Nomination anyways
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #13 on: June 16, 2021, 08:21:47 PM »

If Pritzker doesn't run Chris Kennedy can certainly run again or the Lt Gov it's safe D, it's not like MI or PA where Rs have dominance in the state Legislature
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #14 on: July 07, 2021, 11:06:49 AM »

Blago is so old news, he already endorsed Trump and has a Terrible relationship with Speaker Madigan since he didn't appoint his daughter Lisa Madigan to Obama SEN seat
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #15 on: July 27, 2021, 08:27:16 PM »
« Edited: July 27, 2021, 08:31:49 PM by Mr. Kanye West »

Would Blago attempt to run in the Republican primaries? Because if so, I expect a lot of Republican voters to not show up on Election Day if he wins.

He can’t.  He’s barred from ever holding office in the state again.

It’s almost a shame. In this environment, Blago running as an R might be the only way to get the Dem to the kind of margins Obama had in ‘06 or ‘08.


Lol Blago is banned by Speaker Madigan from ever holding office again


Biden Approvals are back to where they were during Election he is a Clinton D with Tara Reade and Clinton Lewinsky, he isn't the Clinton D that can win a landslide just like he didn't win one in 202o, just an average Prez

Pritzker and DUCKWORTH in a Neutral Environment, win 52/47%

Blago only won by 7 in 2002 and by 9 in 2006, very close to 5 to me
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #16 on: August 02, 2021, 06:28:29 PM »

Now it makes sense why Pritzker was threatening retirement, because his mentor Blago wants in, Blago won't be Gov
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #17 on: August 28, 2021, 08:28:52 AM »
« Edited: August 28, 2021, 08:34:41 AM by Mr. Kanye West »

It's tough I. These Pandemic times to run any Rust belt, migration was already going to Sunbelt before Pandemic, Covid expedited it, including OH

That's why Ryan can win, the Gov race is safe R for OH but Vance or Mandel aren't Portman

They have been talking about Chicago casinos since Rauner but Downstate won't give funds for that, except for Suburbs casinos

Even athletes are leaving the Rust belt

Everyone in a Pandemic don't want to live where it's Cold and you catch the flu and Rents I'm the Rust belt are just as high as Sunbelt 1K for an Apartment
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #18 on: September 09, 2021, 02:07:52 PM »

Pritzker will win by 5 pts talk about Corruption the Rs had Rauner and he only put money in Downstate
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #19 on: October 01, 2021, 11:21:37 AM »

That's a ploy to see if Blagojevich if he can really run for Gov, but Crts are more Conservative in IL and he has been barred from holding office again by Speaker Madigan and his stepdaughter Lisa

Along with Topinka, the three didn't like Blago, but Pritzker or Blago will be easily REELECTED just like TMac in VA

Downstate IL by Rauner and Kirk don't out enough monies into urban community In Chicago

I am from Chicag,
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #20 on: March 02, 2022, 05:34:45 PM »

He has been indicted so, he hasn't been convicted an indictment just means you are going to trial
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #21 on: June 26, 2022, 01:24:32 PM »


Bailey is PRO LIFE HE HAS NO Chance NOW IN IL, Rauner and Kirk and Dillard were moderates


The Rs are making a big mistake not nominating Sullivan he has Kirk Appeal , and Sullivan should of ran for the Senate
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #22 on: June 26, 2022, 06:13:00 PM »

Was surprised to hear that Bailey had been endorsed by Trump. I had thought he would've endorsed Sullivan but I had guessed wrong.

Have you seen the polls Sullivan is 20 pts behind Bailey
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #23 on: June 27, 2022, 08:43:28 AM »
« Edited: June 27, 2022, 08:51:06 AM by Mr.Barkari Sellers »

Pritzker seems generally well liked, so I don't really see how he's that vulnerable? Not really sure you can compare his performance in the suburbs from when he was just a candidate versus now that people know him.

The Rs made a major, Strategic mistake in running Sullivan for Gov instead of against Tammy DUCKWORTH. I am glad, she was vulnerable but now with Sullivan out the way she is gonna get 70% of the vote and Durbin is safe in 2026, Sullivan is well liked like Kirk, but Rs had no chance in the Gov race, I would of voted for Tammy no doubt but suburban voters like Sullivan, for SEN, Pritzker was favorite ANYWAYS

Tim Ryan, Mark Kelly can win because of his looks as well as Sullivan swing female voters not White men whom are Rs anyways
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,733
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


« Reply #24 on: June 29, 2022, 12:54:33 PM »

I am so glad Giannoulias beat Valencia, Valencia is an upcoming star but the next Senate election is in 2026 and Juliana Stratton is the heir Apparent to PRITZKER
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