Alcibiades
YaBB God
Posts: 3,885
Political Matrix
E: -4.39, S: -6.96
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« on: December 26, 2020, 06:55:17 PM » |
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« edited: December 26, 2020, 06:59:57 PM by Alcibiades »
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1976: Wisconsin - Traditionally Republican state where polling indicated a Ford lead.
1980: Arkansas - One of the most Democratic states in the South which polling showed Carter to be easily carrying.
1992: New Hampshire - Had been Bush’s 2nd best state in 1988.
1996: Arizona - Sun Belt GOP stronghold, the type of place where Clinton did not otherwise do very well.
2000: West Virginia - Die-hard Democratic state where the only previous Republican victories since 1932 (3 in total) had been in landslides, and which had stuck with the Dems in the slightly smaller landslides of 1980 and 1988.
2008: Indiana or Missouri breaking its bellwether streak (and in a semi-landslide as well).
2016: Michigan
2020: Georgia or Minnesota, considering how much to the left they voted to other states which polling had shown to be in the same ballpark.
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