Most shocking state by election

[John Dule]

2020: Obviously Georgia, though I suppose the insane Miami-Dade result could make Florida a contender.
2016: Three-way tie between Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.
2012: No really big surprises, but perhaps the biggest shock in hindsight was that Ohio stayed blue.
2008: Indiana
2004: Practically nothing was surprising here.
2000: Florida for closeness, either New Hampshire or Tennessee for states that Gore could've also easily won.

What would you guys say for prior elections? Are these right?

[John Dule]

WV for 2000 is a good one. It didn't even occur to me to think of it as a "surprise."

[John Dule]

2020: Obviously Georgia, though I suppose the insane Miami-Dade result could make Florida a contender.

How is GA "obvious"? People keep saying this but anyone who had been paying attention to the state's trends over the last few years as well as pre-election polling wouldn’t have been surprised by it at all.

It's not just that Biden won Georgia (many people, including myself, considered that a possibility), but it's the fact that he won it despite the results in the two neighboring swing states. 2020 was a very disappointing map for the Democrats who thought Texas could conceivably flip. The fact that Biden was able to flip Georgia despite Trump once again massively outperforming his polling is what's really surprising in the context of the rest of the election.