2020: Obviously Georgia, though I suppose the insane Miami-Dade result could make Florida a contender.
How is GA "obvious"? People keep saying this but anyone who had been paying attention to the state's trends over the last few years as well as pre-election polling wouldn’t have been surprised by it at all.
Yes, Biden winning Georgia was not overly surprising, he was leading in the aggregate polling there and the likes of Sabato predicted that he'd win it. Losing North Carolina was much more surprising IMO as well as the margin he lost Florida by.