SUSA - GA Senate: Ossoff +5, Warnock +7

[Gass3268]

Jon Ossoff (D): 51%
Sen. David Perdue (R): 46%

Raphael Warnock (D): 52%
Sen. Kelly Loeffler (R): 45%.

Source

[VAR]

Even if Ossoff and Warnock win, SurveyUSA is going to have truckloads of egg on its face.

[AncestralDemocrat.]

Classic SUSA nonsense.

[KaiserDave]

Probably nonsense and in any case I don't care about polls in this race

[Frenchrepublican]

The sample is Biden+4 and Ossoff+6 (among those voted in November), just saying...

[brucejoel99]

For comparison, SurveyUSA's last GA poll for the general election had Biden up by 2 & Perdue up by 3.

[VAR]

The sample is Biden+4 and Ossoff+6 (among those voted in November), just saying...

They must've polled a lot of #populists  .

[wbrocks67]

The sample is Biden+4 and Ossoff+6 (among those voted in November), just saying...

The thing is, this isn't necessarily wrong. The electorate that shows up on 1/5 could end up being more Dem than Nov. Could be more R too. We just don't know. But we can't rule out it out bc that *could* be a realistic sample

[tagimaucia]

The sample is Biden+4 and Ossoff+6 (among those voted in November), just saying...

The thing is, this isn't necessarily wrong. The electorate that shows up on 1/5 could end up being more Dem than Nov. Could be more R too. We just don't know. But we can't rule out it out bc that *could* be a realistic sample

Their adults/registered voter populations shows a Biden +4 recalled vote though-- it's not just their "likely" voters. Seems like at least a bit of a red flag.  

What's moderately interesting here, is the group of people who are being weeded out of their likely voter screen (because they won't say that they are "Certain," or "Almost Certain" to vote or "Already Voted") are noticeably Republican leaning. Very tiny sample sizes and caveats all over the place of course.  Are there any other recent Georgia polls where you can see exactly who is falling out of the likely voter screen?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

So much for French Republican having hopes for an R wave in 2022/ I've been telling Rs that Biden has a 55 percent approval in party gain seats and this is the start of our new statehood status when we win WI, PA and NC in 2022/ the Rs are gonna eat crow on Jan 5th when they no longer hold any lever of govt, bye Mcconnell 🌊🌊🌊

[Secretary of State Liberal Hack]

The sample is Biden+4 and Ossoff+6 (among those voted in November), just saying...

People tend to wrongly remember themselves as voting for the winner. it's a weird by very observable effect.

[WD]

No one is winning this race by more than 3 points.

[Brittain33]

The sample is Biden+4 and Ossoff+6 (among those voted in November), just saying...

People tend to wrongly remember themselves as voting for the winner. it's a weird by very observable effect.

Have we seen that happen within a few weeks of the election? I think of it that occurs after 2-4 years.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Soon to be Ex Majority Leader MCCONNELL

[KaiserDave]

The sample is Biden+4 and Ossoff+6 (among those voted in November), just saying...

People tend to wrongly remember themselves as voting for the winner. it's a weird by very observable effect.

Trump supporters remember themselves as voting for Biden?

Probably nonsense and in any case I don't care about polls in this race

Both parties should follow this approach, honestly (regardless of what result they’re showing).

Yep, just ignore the polls and keep on moving

[Tender Branson]

I don’t really buy anything else than tossup.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

The sample is Biden+4 and Ossoff+6 (among those voted in November), just saying...

People tend to wrongly remember themselves as voting for the winner. it's a weird by very observable effect.

Trump supporters remember themselves as voting for Biden?

Probably nonsense and in any case I don't care about polls in this race

Both parties should follow this approach, honestly (regardless of what result they’re showing).

Yep, just ignore the polls and keep on moving

The Rs on this forum are so entrenched that 2022/ is gonna be a Red wave and D's should not even vote, they assume Majority Leader Schumer isn't a possibility, the Rs were very lucky they won ME and NC, and now Ossoff and Warnock can help D's win the majority

[Matty]

Anyone who believes this is a total fool, sorry

The race is absolutely a tossup, not lean R, but this poll is a joke

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Anyone who believes this is a total fool, sorry

The race is absolutely a tossup, not lean R, but this poll is a joke

Sour 🍇 grapes, the Rs would be all over this poll of RS were leading, no more Majority Leader MCCONNELL

[Matty]

Anyone who believes this is a total fool, sorry

The race is absolutely a tossup, not lean R, but this poll is a joke

Sour 🍇 grapes, the Rs would be all over this poll of RS were leading, no more Majority Leader MCCONNELL

Nope. It would also be an outlier

Guys, the EV data so far isn’t remotely suggesting a ossof and warnock win by 6. Period.

[Holy Unifying Centrist]

Anyone who believes this is a total fool, sorry

The race is absolutely a tossup, not lean R, but this poll is a joke

Sour 🍇 grapes, the Rs would be all over this poll of RS were leading, no more Majority Leader MCCONNELL

Nope. It would also be an outlier

Guys, the EV data so far isn’t remotely suggesting a ossof and warnock win by 6. Period.

Just go home now. You got hit by the OC "Sour 🍇 grapes". You're going to need to sleep for at least 5 days to recover from that burn

[2016]

I've a hard time believing that the Electorate in GA will be more D-friendly then it was for Biden November 3rd!

[wbrocks67]

I've a hard time believing that the Electorate in GA will be more D-friendly then it was for Biden November 3rd!

There's arguments you could make for either way tbh

[Brittain33]

I've a hard time believing that the Electorate in GA will be more D-friendly then it was for Biden November 3rd!

There's arguments you could make for either way tbh

Yes, it’s just as likely that the incredible Trump surge that was missed by the polls doesn’t show up in as large numbers without Trump on the ballot. We don’t really know.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I've a hard time believing that the Electorate in GA will be more D-friendly then it was for Biden November 3rd!

Rs Underperformed in 2018/2019 races when Trump hasn't been on ballot and Trump has blundered in ordering enough vaccines, his Admiral said so why he has beautified the military