2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Hawaii

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

making this thread for sake of completeness.

[TML]

As 538’s Atlas of Redistricting points out, the deck is stacked heavily in favor of Democrats against Republicans in this state. All legally permissible maps would have two solidly Democratic seats, with Republican success only possible in national Republican tsunamis. The only variable is where the diving line will be drawn between the two districts is drawn.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

https://davesredistricting.org/join/3550b66d-7f90-493a-a2cf-a6d93ba31344
Quickly drew up this.

[StateBoiler]

How successful is the district that is "rest of the islands" historically in electing someone not from Oahu?

[𝕭𝖆𝖕𝖙𝖎𝖘𝖙𝖆 𝕸𝖎𝖓𝖔𝖑𝖆]

How successful is the district that is "rest of the islands" historically in electing someone not from Oahu?

Represenative-elect Kai Kahele is from Hawaii (Big Island) but as far as I'm aware Tulsi Gabbard, Mazie Hirono, Ed Case, Patsy Mink, and Daniel Akaka are/were all from Oahu? Ed Case grew up on Big Island though.

[Sestak]

If I remember correctly, the two districts drawn in 2010 still have nearly exactly equal populations as of 2019 estimates?

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

My Hawaii map slightly changes from the current map as I put Ed's Case town into his district.

https://davesredistricting.org/join/bf7f6e4b-0b58-41e2-b34a-8ace2b3b1f2b

[BoiseBoy]

Hawaii Reapportionment Commission approved new maps on an 8-1 vote. Only a few precincts were shifted from the two districts. Probably one of the least exciting redistricting cases this cycle.

https://twitter.com/redistrictnet/status/1487217816398876675?s=21

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

HI wins the Least Change Award by default.

[Roll Roons]

HI wins the Least Change Award by default.

I think AK, DE, ND, SD, VT and WY would beg to differ.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

HI wins the Least Change Award by default.

I think AK, DE, ND, SD, VT and WY would beg to differ.

Those states don't count.

[GALeftist]

Smh blatant gerrymander, HI-02 isn't even contiguous

[ProgressiveModerate]

Wow Hawaii was just really interesting and unexpected. No one saw that coming.

[Schiff for Senate]

Hawaii Reapportionment Commission approved new maps on an 8-1 vote. Only a few precincts were shifted from the two districts. Probably one of the least exciting redistricting cases this cycle.

https://twitter.com/redistrictnet/status/1487217816398876675?s=21

Also the one in your state, and also RI's (RI's isn't over yet, I think, but it's still going to be very dull and have the exact same end result as HI - 2 solid Democratic seats).

[Joe Republic]

All legally permissible maps would have two solidly Democratic seats, with Republican success only possible in national Republican tsunamis.

I agree it would probably take a tsunami to significantly change the landscape of the state.

[cinyc]

Hawaii Reapportionment Commission approved new maps on an 8-1 vote. Only a few precincts were shifted from the two districts. Probably one of the least exciting redistricting cases this cycle.

https://twitter.com/redistrictnet/status/1487217816398876675?s=21

Disney's Aulani Resort and some largely industrial areas near Barbers Point moved from HI-1 to HI-2. How can Hawaii do that to the Mouse?

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Hawaii Reapportionment Commission approved new maps on an 8-1 vote. Only a few precincts were shifted from the two districts. Probably one of the least exciting redistricting cases this cycle.

https://twitter.com/redistrictnet/status/1487217816398876675?s=21

Disney's Aulani Resort and some largely industrial areas near Barbers Point moved from HI-1 to HI-2. How can Hawaii do that to the Mouse?

Florida could never