Fabrizio - GA SEN : Ossoff+2 / Warnock+1

[forsythvoter]

I realize Atlas does not believe there are swing voters in this race, but in talking to neighbors, family and friends, recently about the election, I think there are more than many of you would think. They include:
1) Traditional R voters who turned against Trump / voted for Biden and are concerned about giving Ds a trifecta but also have serious concerns that Republicans will be more obstructionist for Biden than a check on the Dems
2) Reluctant Trump voters who (yes, these exist!) are unhappy with the attacks on GA SOS and Kemp and will either not turn out or in some cases cross over to send a message
3) Traditional D voters (I have an Asian friend in this category) that voted for Trump but like him as a candidate more than they like the party. And Fwiw, this friend I know does not believe that the election was a fraud.

If people really believe the runoffs will be high turnout, it's not the base that's going to be deciding the election, but these types of voters.

[forsythvoter]

The polling industry needs to be brought out behind the shed and put out of its misery. Theres no god damn way in hell that Dems are winning both of these races.

For one it’s clear the GOP is more mobilized. How many of them have gone to Georgia to campaign. Haven’t heard of anyone down there for the Dems. No Obama, No Clinton, No Carter. Nothing

I’ll say it one final time:

Georgia is not happening.

Period. It’s not.

Maybe you should sit this one out.

I mean we all know when I said it wasn’t happening I meant the Senate races

No but seriously I’m pretty sure you can find posts where I give Biden a 5% chance but Osoff and Warnock virtually none

As someone who actually lives in the state, I would not say the Rs are more mobilized than Ds here in GA. It's pretty intense on both sides - overkill if you ask me.

Also, Biden is coming to GA on Tuesday. It's gotten a lot of local press and Obama was here last week. Pence came last week for the Rs as well. Trump came but the was typical Trump and press coverage was all about how he aimed most of his speech about Kemp.