“Land doesn’t vote” maps (user search)
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  “Land doesn’t vote” maps (search mode)
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Author Topic: “Land doesn’t vote” maps  (Read 9000 times)
Calthrina950
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« on: December 20, 2020, 01:56:52 AM »
« edited: July 13, 2021, 01:01:35 AM by Calthrina950 »


The 1932 NJ Presidential map is quite something.



It is interesting how the Northeast withstood Roosevelt much more effectively than did the remainder of the country. Roosevelt lost most of the counties in his home state in all four of his successful presidential bids. This included Dutchess County-his home county-which voted against him all four times, and which did not vote Democratic until Lyndon B. Johnson swept every county in New York in 1964. Roosevelt won New York each time primarily due to his strength in New York City, where he won what were then record numbers for Democrats in the Five Boroughs. As for New Jersey, Hudson County (Jersey City), as the map shows, gave Roosevelt more than 70% of the vote in 1932, and provided his margin of victory in the state over Hoover; he won New Jersey that year by ~30,000 votes out of 1.6 million cast. In 1936, Roosevelt won most of the state's counties and carried it by slightly under 20% against Alf Landon.

I would say that Roosevelt's 1932 map in Massachusetts and his 1936 map in New Hampshire are also good examples of this trope:



Roosevelt won Massachusetts in 1932 because he beat Hoover by 2-1 in Boston (Suffolk County), and New Hampshire in 1936 by routing Landon in the cities of Manchester and Nashua (Hillsborough County), where he won by nearly 20%, and which for decades was a Democratic bastion in that state. New England and the Northeast in general was a region where Roosevelt relied upon massive margins in metropolitan areas to overcome the Republican advantage in the "Yankee" rural areas, whereas in the remainder of the country, Hoover and Landon were crushed in metropolitan and rural areas alike. In 1940/44, however, Roosevelt would come to depend upon his urban coalition to win many of the Northern states-not just those in the Northeast, but also Midwestern states like Illinois, Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin-against Willkie and Dewey.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #1 on: December 20, 2020, 02:14:38 AM »

2020 senate race in Michigan.  Gary Peters (D) won with just 9 counties.




I notice that Washtenaw County voted to the left of Wayne County, both in the Senatorial and presidential races. This also happened in 2016. That is just another sign of the ongoing realignment between the Democratic and Republican Party coalitions.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #2 on: December 21, 2020, 11:18:24 PM »

2020 senate race in Michigan.  Gary Peters (D) won with just 9 counties.




I notice that Washtenaw County voted to the left of Wayne County, both in the Senatorial and presidential races. This also happened in 2016. That is just another sign of the ongoing realignment between the Democratic and Republican Party coalitions.

Expanding on this, I made another observation. Michigan has changed dramatically in 90 years. However, in 1932, when Roosevelt became the first Democrat since the 1850s to win Michigan, he won Macomb, Oakland, and Wayne Counties, but lost Washtenaw County. Moreover, Macomb County voted to the left of the other three counties. County maps from decades ago are now unrecognizable, and would be impossible to replicate today.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #3 on: December 27, 2020, 12:38:37 PM »

2008, 2012, and 2020 presidential elections, though 2008 not as much as the other two.

As has been pointed out elsewhere, Biden now has the distinction of being the candidate to win a presidential election while carrying the fewest number of counties since before the Civil War.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #4 on: December 27, 2020, 10:26:45 PM »

2008, 2012, and 2020 presidential elections, though 2008 not as much as the other two.

As has been pointed out elsewhere, Biden now has the distinction of being the candidate to win a presidential election while carrying the fewest number of counties since before the Civil War.

A new record will probably be set in each non-landslide Dem win for the foreseeable future. 

I wouldn't be surprised. Biden still managed to win some counties in Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, Pennsylvania, Maine, New Hampshire, Vermont, etc. that could be carried by a Republican in the near-future. And of course, the Rio Grande Valley and the Hispanic counties in New Mexico could trend further to the right, to say nothing of counties in the Black Belt, and that could further cost Democrats.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #5 on: January 27, 2021, 10:07:30 PM »


Humphrey and Carter both carried Maryland thanks to the City of Baltimore, where Humphrey beat Nixon by 34% and Carter beat Reagan by 51%. Wallace (who got 14%) and Anderson (who got 8%) also played a significant role in the outcome of the state's results.
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