States where a county sweep for one party is likelier than the other party winning the state?

[Figueira]

Obviously Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Hawaii, West Virginia, and Oklahoma are a given.

Vermont
Connecticut
Delaware
Maryland(?)
Kentucky
Arkansas
Nebraska
North Dakota
Wyoming
Utah
Idaho

Anything I missed?

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Obviously Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Hawaii, West Virginia, and Oklahoma are a given.

Vermont
Connecticut
Delaware
Maryland(?)
Kentucky
Arkansas
Nebraska
North Dakota
Wyoming
Utah
Idaho

Anything I missed?

Louisiana, Alaska, Virginia, Missouri, Nevada.

[Ancestral Republican]

Obviously Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Hawaii, West Virginia, and Oklahoma are a given.

Vermont
Connecticut
Delaware
Maryland(?)
Kentucky
Arkansas
Nebraska
North Dakota
Wyoming
Utah
Idaho

Anything I missed?

Louisiana, Alaska, Virginia, Missouri, Nevada.

No on all of those.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Obviously Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Hawaii, West Virginia, and Oklahoma are a given.

Vermont
Connecticut
Delaware
Maryland(?)
Kentucky
Arkansas
Nebraska
North Dakota
Wyoming
Utah
Idaho

Anything I missed?

Louisiana, Alaska, Virginia, Missouri, Nevada.

No on all of those.

Louisiana and Alaska have no counties, and It's more likely that republicans lose MO than win ever county but lose the city of St. Louis

[Ancestral Republican]

Obviously Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Hawaii, West Virginia, and Oklahoma are a given.

Vermont
Connecticut
Delaware
Maryland(?)
Kentucky
Arkansas
Nebraska
North Dakota
Wyoming
Utah
Idaho

Anything I missed?

Louisiana, Alaska, Virginia, Missouri, Nevada.

No on all of those.

Louisiana and Alaska have no counties, and It's more likely that republicans lose MO than win ever county but lose the city of St. Louis

It's more likely the Democrats win the state than the Republicans win St. Louis. Ditto for Louisiana and New Orleans. Unless I'm misunderstanding your argument.

[If my soul was made of stone]

Maryland's only been fully swept once, by Eisenhower in 56. A Dem sweep is impossible because of Garrett County, part of the infamous school of German Unionist mid-Appalachian counties as seen in KY, TN, and WV, although a Dem sweep of every other county in the state has been done before, as by Mikulski in 92 and 98.

[Catalyst138]

Hot take: California.

Most of the red CA counties are either reasonably close or have a very small population. I think it’s slightly more likely that every county goes blue in some fluke blowout rather than the GOP making up their 5 million vote deficit to win the state.

[It’s so Joever]

Obviously Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Hawaii, West Virginia, and Oklahoma are a given.

Vermont
Connecticut
Delaware
Maryland(?)
Kentucky
Arkansas
Nebraska
North Dakota
Wyoming
Utah
Idaho

Anything I missed?

Louisiana, Alaska, Virginia, Missouri, Nevada.

No on all of those.

Louisiana and Alaska have no counties, and It's more likely that republicans lose MO than win ever county but lose the city of St. Louis

You are being unnecessarily pedantic.

[Oregon Eagle Politics]

Obviously Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Hawaii, West Virginia, and Oklahoma are a given.

Vermont
Connecticut
Delaware
Maryland(?)
Kentucky
Arkansas
Nebraska
North Dakota
Wyoming
Utah
Idaho

Anything I missed?

Louisiana, Alaska, Virginia, Missouri, Nevada.

No on all of those.

Louisiana and Alaska have no counties, and It's more likely that republicans lose MO than win ever county but lose the city of St. Louis

You are being unnecessarily pedantic.

Thanks!

[Figueira]

Obviously Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Hawaii, West Virginia, and Oklahoma are a given.

Vermont
Connecticut
Delaware
Maryland(?)
Kentucky
Arkansas
Nebraska
North Dakota
Wyoming
Utah
Idaho

Anything I missed?

Louisiana, Alaska, Virginia, Missouri, Nevada.

A Democratic sweep of Nevada is more likely than a Republican win in the state?

Also, totally agreed on whoever said California. Democrats winning places like Plumas/Lassen/Modoc is more likely than Republicans winning the state.

[Figueira]

Maryland's only been fully swept once, by Eisenhower in 56. A Dem sweep is impossible because of Garrett County, part of the infamous school of German Unionist mid-Appalachian counties as seen in KY, TN, and WV, although a Dem sweep of every other county in the state has been done before, as by Mikulski in 92 and 98.

Yeah, Dems winning Garrett County and Rs winning Maryland are so impossible that it's hard to say which is more likely, but I think I'd go with Garrett County just because it's smaller and it's easier for a fluke to flip it. Similar stuff applies in North Dakota.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Obviously Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Hawaii, West Virginia, and Oklahoma are a given.

Vermont
Connecticut
Delaware
Maryland(?)
Kentucky
Arkansas
Nebraska
North Dakota
Wyoming
Utah
Idaho

Anything I missed?

Louisiana, Alaska, Virginia, Missouri, Nevada.

I disagree with Delaware.  It's overestimated by some how safe it is.  Sussex County is definitely more Republican than Delaware is Democratic.

And, for Nevada, I actually would say that a Republican sweep is more likely than a Democratic sweep because it's really all about the population of two counties, and neither gave Biden massive margins.  Whereas, to flip some of those virtually unpopulated rural counties would be a virtually impossible task for Democrats.

[Roll Roons]

Obviously Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Hawaii, West Virginia, and Oklahoma are a given.

Vermont
Connecticut
Delaware
Maryland(?)
Kentucky
Arkansas
Nebraska
North Dakota
Wyoming
Utah
Idaho

Anything I missed?

Louisiana, Alaska, Virginia, Missouri, Nevada.

I disagree with Delaware.  It's overestimated by some how safe it is.  Sussex County is definitely more Republican than Delaware is Democratic.

And, for Nevada, I actually would say that a Republican sweep is more likely than a Democratic sweep because it's really all about the population of two counties, and neither gave Biden massive margins.  Whereas, to flip some of those virtually unpopulated rural counties would be a virtually impossible task for Democrats.

Yeah, it's kind of overlooked that Clark County was within single digits this year and swung slightly to the right. Under the right circumstances, I actually could see a Republican presidential candidate narrowly winning it. And if it gets to the point where they've won Clark, they've almost certainly won Washoe as well.

[LAKISYLVANIA]

Obviously Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Hawaii, West Virginia, and Oklahoma are a given.

Vermont
Connecticut
Delaware
Maryland(?)
Kentucky
Arkansas
Nebraska
North Dakota
Wyoming
Utah
Idaho

Anything I missed?

Louisiana, Alaska, Virginia, Missouri, Nevada.

A Democratic sweep of Nevada is more likely than a Republican win in the state?

Also, totally agreed on whoever said California. Democrats winning places like Plumas/Lassen/Modoc is more likely than Republicans winning the state.

LOL
D's usually only win Clarke and Washoe.

A GOP sweep in NV is more likely than a D one.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Obviously Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Hawaii, West Virginia, and Oklahoma are a given.

Vermont
Connecticut
Delaware
Maryland(?)
Kentucky
Arkansas
Nebraska
North Dakota
Wyoming
Utah
Idaho

Anything I missed?

Louisiana, Alaska, Virginia, Missouri, Nevada.

I disagree with Delaware.  It's overestimated by some how safe it is.  Sussex County is definitely more Republican than Delaware is Democratic.

And, for Nevada, I actually would say that a Republican sweep is more likely than a Democratic sweep because it's really all about the population of two counties, and neither gave Biden massive margins.  Whereas, to flip some of those virtually unpopulated rural counties would be a virtually impossible task for Democrats.

Yeah, it's kind of overlooked that Clark County was within single digits this year and swung slightly to the right. Under the right circumstances, I actually could see a Republican presidential candidate narrowly winning it. And if it gets to the point where they've won Clark, they've almost certainly won Washoe as well.

People can forget how close Clark County gets, because the failure of Rs to win Nevada since 2004 grabs attention away.