MarkD
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,185
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« on: December 16, 2020, 12:38:02 AM » |
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Hm. In every CA district that has a PVI that is R elected a Republican to the House. But Republicans also won election to a few districts that were PVI D. Here's the districts that were PVI D+5 or less:
CA3: D+5 CA7: D+5 CA10: EVEN CA21: D+5 CA25: D+3 CA36: D+4 CA39: D+3 CA45: D+3 CA49: D+4
Repubican David Valadao won a district that is D+5, Republican Mike Garcia won a district that is D+3, and Republican Young Kim won a district that is D+3. I wonder why the other Republican candidates in CA3, CA7, CA10, CA36, CA45, and CA49 did not perform better, at least make it a closer race than they did? For example, in CA10, which was EVEN, Republican Ted Howze lost by over 10 percentage points, and in CA36, which was D+4, Republican Erin Cruz lost by over 20 percentage points.
Also, in New Jersey:
NJ3: R+3 NJ5: R+1 NJ7: D+1 NJ11: EVEN
Why didn't Republicans David Richter, Frank Pallota, and Rosemary Becchi do better? At least in NJ7, D+1, Thomas Kean, Jr came pretty darn close to toppling the incumbent Democrat.
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