2020 PVIs (user search)
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Author Topic: 2020 PVIs  (Read 3664 times)
MarkD
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,185
United States


« on: December 16, 2020, 12:38:02 AM »

Hm. In every CA district that has a PVI that is R elected a Republican to the House. But Republicans also won election to a few districts that were PVI D. Here's the districts that were PVI D+5 or less:

CA3: D+5
CA7: D+5
CA10: EVEN
CA21: D+5
CA25: D+3
CA36: D+4
CA39: D+3
CA45: D+3
CA49: D+4

Repubican David Valadao won a district that is D+5, Republican Mike Garcia won a district that is D+3, and Republican Young Kim won a district that is D+3. I wonder why the other Republican candidates in CA3, CA7, CA10, CA36, CA45, and CA49 did not perform better, at least make it a closer race than they did? For example, in CA10, which was EVEN, Republican Ted Howze lost by over 10 percentage points, and in CA36, which was D+4, Republican Erin Cruz lost by over 20 percentage points.

Also, in New Jersey:

NJ3: R+3
NJ5: R+1
NJ7: D+1
NJ11: EVEN

Why didn't Republicans David Richter, Frank Pallota, and Rosemary Becchi do better? At least in NJ7, D+1, Thomas Kean, Jr came pretty darn close to toppling the incumbent Democrat.
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