SingingAnalyst
mathstatman
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Posts: 3,637
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« on: December 09, 2020, 12:17:31 PM » |
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I found 11 predominantly white, rural counties in the Deep South that gave, in almost every case, over 85% of their votes to Donald Trump in both 2016 and 2020, and in one case, over 90%.
I realize these counties are very small in population, but are perhaps indicative of rural whites in the Southern and border states, perhaps even in IL-MI-PA-WI.
All show a complete collapse in Dem support from 1992 to 2020. In most cases, Trump's percentages were comparable to Wallace's 1968 and Nixon's 1972 percentages. All voted for Jimmy Carter in 1976; about half voted (narrowly) for Bill Clinton in 1992.
Are there others I should be aware of? Did the GOP top out here in 2020, or is there room for these counties to become still more Republican (perhaps in a Harris vs. Pence or Cotton scenario)? Do any show demographic signs of reversing the GOP trend? I have never been near these counties except for a few of them in a 1979 trip down I-75 to Disney World, when I was 12.
County: 1992D% - 2000D% - 2008D% - 2016D% - 2020D% (bold if carried)
George, MS: 27.9 - 27.1 - 16.4 - 10.4 - 11.0
Itawamba, MS: 41.7 - 35.0 - 20.9 - 11.5 - 11.5
Tishomingo, MS: 48.4 - 39.3 - 23.3 - 11.9 - 11.6
Geneva, AL 36.7 - 29.0 - 18.3 - 13.0 - 12.7
Winston, AL 33.9 - 28.9 - 17.5 - 8.5 - 8.6
Brantley, GA 44.1 - 30.0 - 17.8 - 9.8 - 9.0
Bacon, GA 42.7 - 31.9 - 20.7 - 15.1 - 13.4
Echols, GA 34.3 - 30.3 - 16.9 - 13.2 - 11.6
Haralson, GA 43.1 - 35.1 - 20.2 - 12.9 - 12.6
Heard, GA 44.5 - 36.8 - 24.6 - 17.5 - 15.3
Pierce, GA 41.4 - 27.8 - 18.4 - 12.4 - 12.2
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