Special Election megathread (4/30: NY-26) (user search)
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Author Topic: Special Election megathread (4/30: NY-26)  (Read 137652 times)
Gass3268
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« on: December 09, 2020, 05:23:25 PM »
Cuyahoga County Councilwoman and Chair of the Cuyahoga County Democratic Party



Already a better a choice than Nina Turner.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #1 on: December 16, 2020, 04:54:49 PM »
Turner endorsed by a transphobe:
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: August 03, 2021, 01:33:35 PM »
Really don’t like either candidate, but I’m probably leaning towards Brown. Turner’s unwillingness to get behind Biden when the alternative is four more years of Trump is unforgivable.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: August 03, 2021, 07:58:06 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: August 03, 2021, 08:10:46 PM »
You can see in the map what has reported so far in Cuyahoga. It's a lot of the African American suburbs.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: August 03, 2021, 08:23:58 PM »
Quote from: W on August 03, 2021, 08:22:52 PM
It's hard to know exactly where the remaining vote is, but I think the chance of Turner winning is basically zero.

Look at the map above, we know exactly what's left.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: August 03, 2021, 08:26:36 PM »
First chunks of Cleveland day of came in.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: August 03, 2021, 08:41:59 PM »
DDHQ has called it for Brown.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: August 04, 2021, 12:25:06 AM »
Quote from: The Notorious L.I.A.R. on August 03, 2021, 09:50:31 PM
Writing something up after I do some gaming. Suffice to say it's clear that certain factions of the Democratic establishment didn't get Biden/Schumer's memo and still believe we're Public Enemy #1B.

If Turner would have endorsed/voted for Hillary and Biden, like nearly every other elected Berniecrat did she would have won tonight.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #9 on: August 09, 2022, 10:22:23 PM »
Does it usually take Minnesota this long to count? Or is the delay due to the mix of primary and special?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: August 09, 2022, 11:20:41 PM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: August 09, 2022, 11:42:25 PM »
Mower is Ettinger's home county, got a big boost there.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: August 10, 2022, 12:58:50 AM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #13 on: August 10, 2022, 01:12:08 AM »
Good stuff here



I'm going to guess a strong Dem overperformance in Houston based on this map.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #14 on: August 10, 2022, 01:17:35 AM »
Quote from: philly09 on August 10, 2022, 01:14:40 AM
Houston is in, Finstad wins by 10 54-44.

Brad Finstad GOP   56,569   50.2%
Jeff Ettinger DEM   53,762   47.7

I was off lol
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Gass3268
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« Reply #15 on: August 10, 2022, 01:20:51 AM »
Quote from: philly09 on August 10, 2022, 01:19:41 AM
Quote from: Gass3268 on August 10, 2022, 01:17:35 AM
Quote from: philly09 on August 10, 2022, 01:14:40 AM
Houston is in, Finstad wins by 10 54-44.

Brad Finstad GOP   56,569   50.2%
Jeff Ettinger DEM   53,762   47.7

I was off lol

Trump won it by 13.

Its's good, but I wouldn't consider it strong.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #16 on: August 17, 2022, 12:46:20 AM »
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Gass3268
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« Reply #17 on: August 23, 2022, 08:09:05 PM »
Damn, Ryan getting ~80% of the early vote in Ulster
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Gass3268
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« Reply #18 on: August 23, 2022, 08:22:26 PM »
Ryan looks to be getting the margin he needs in Schoharie County.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #19 on: August 23, 2022, 08:41:59 PM »
30% of 2020 votes voted in Schoharie County.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #20 on: August 23, 2022, 08:45:55 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on August 23, 2022, 08:44:51 PM

He only outperformed Trump by 2.7% in the reddest county. Will have to see if Ryan's margins in the blue counties overtake that

This is almost the exact margins most benchmarks have for a 50-50 race.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #21 on: August 23, 2022, 08:48:32 PM »
Also, FYI any absentees that arrived today, yesterday, or even possibly Sunday will not be counted today.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #22 on: August 23, 2022, 08:54:43 PM »
Quote from: Forumlurker on August 23, 2022, 08:50:24 PM
If that’s early vote in Greene County MOLINARO WILL WIN

It includes day of vote as well.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #23 on: August 23, 2022, 08:55:53 PM »
In case we need any more hopium
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Gass3268
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« Reply #24 on: August 23, 2022, 09:17:58 PM »
Going with a narrow Molinaro win.
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