Special Election megathread (4/30: NY-26)

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I don’t see how an endorsement that a person didn’t ask for  matter at all.  Sanders got endorsed by Evo Morales and Biden got endorsed by Vincente Fox. If you look you can find bad apples in everyone’s endorsement list

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Obviously I was never one of the people who thought Turner was noncompetitive but one must wonder wtf the Cuyahoga Democrats are thinking. There are now four non-Turner Democrats running for this seat, which does nothing but split the moderate/establishment vote and risk a MI-13 scenario, plus there have been no high profile endorsements of anyone besides Nina Turner, plus she has way more money than everyone else combined. They might as well roll out the red carpet at this point.

Perhaps there was a back room deal to give Fudge a cabinet seat to please African-Americans, while also promising to not oppose Turner from having a congressional seat to give the progressives another darling

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Do we really need another squad member?

We need about 430 more. Also anyone remember when a bunch of freshmen republicans tried to make their own “squad” a few months back?

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Hopes this propels Amy Acton into Sen and get a good D nominee for Gov, DeWine only won by 3 and Sherrod Brown won in 2018 in a Midterm

Don’t see how this would affect those races. Also DeWine has showed himself to be quite moderate and an effective leader whose not as overtly partisan as other republicans so it’s almost guaranteed to be out of our reach

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There could be snowball’s chance that democrats pick this up, or atleast come close a la SC-05

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From another thread she’s a state senator from a district that Biden almost won but she carried by double digits

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Nina Turner becoming the frontrunner in this district has been one of the weirdest Democratic House primary developments in awhile.

Not really, she’s been the front runner from the beginning

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https://twitter.com/bzdug/status/1419494239554125829?s=19

Oh no no no nooooooo

pls clap 2, speaker boogaloo

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As a progressive who probably agrees with Turner on the issues more then Brown, I’d have voted for Brown and I’m glad Turner lost

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Damn Ryan really pulled it out. This is an awful sign for republicans going forward.

If Ryan keeps his seat and doesn’t get too comfortable in the house I’d imagine he’ll be a big name going forward

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

I’m now firmly invested in the idea that Republicans ceiling is 230, more likely around 220/225. With the likes of MTG and the few “moderate” types left the house will get absolutely nothing done.

At this point I’m not convinced McCarthy is going to have the votes for speaker, especially if they’re below 220

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Oh cute, Murkowski was there.

She also seemed genuinely happy. I’m 100% sure she ranked her above Palin.

Saw what you will about Murkowski but she has been a big advocate for native Alaskan women

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

McClellan has mad a comeback in a big way. She got only 58,000 in a statewide gubernatorial primary, but now has gotten 80,000 in a special congressional election, with around 75% of the vote. She’s also 50, so a long career ahead. She could very easily be the next governor or senator if she wants it (and it seems she does). I’d be nice if Warner retires in 2026.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Edwards seems to be holding at around 20% in most of extreme rural Utah. That’s a good sign as it points to her holding her own in Washington County.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

It also looks like Maloy isn’t routing Hough, he’s also holding around 20%

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Bummer about Regunberg but I honestly think that the Utah race has broader national implications; having a sane center-right party is, like, existentially important for the nation and that won't happen without moderates winning in red territory.

Edwards will be a good voice of reason in a caucus of screaming conspiracists, but Utah is not indicative of republicans nationally

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Washington County can't keep teasing us with imminent ballot drops that just don't come lol

They’re scared to release it cause Edwards actually won the county

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Millard came in 57 Maloy, 25 Hough, 18 Edwards

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Washington will probably narrowly put Maloy in the lead. Then it's just a matter of if Edwards can scrape back enough with 20% left in Davis/Salt Lake.

And of course there's a couple rural counties that haven't reported yet either that could make the difference.

This one might end up being a real nailbiter finish.

I’m really not sure it will. With the amount Hough and Edwards have been getting in the far rurals, Maloy might not break 50% there. If Edwards get 25-30% there and Hough keeps at his average of 20% then Maloy will be hovering around 50%

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Washington County

CELESTE MALOY   8022   (44.78%)
BECKY EDWARDS   3997   (22.31%)
BRUCE R HOUGH   5894   (32.9%)

https://www.washco.utah.gov/forms/clerk-auditor/elections/2023/09/index.php

Lmao I was right but had Edwards and Hough’s percent flipped.

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Three way tie in Jaub!!!

Celeste Maloy
26   33.3%
Becky Edwards
26   33.3%
Bruce Hough
26   33.3%

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Three way tie in Jaub!!!

Celeste Maloy
26   33.3%
Becky Edwards
26   33.3%
Bruce Hough
26   33.3%

Virtually guarantee that's an error.

Why? It’s a tiny county. Just north of it, Toole County, has all three in the thirties.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Three way tie in Jaub!!!

Celeste Maloy
26 33.3%
Becky Edwards
26 33.3%
Bruce Hough
26 33.3%

Virtually guarantee that's an error.

Why? It’s a tiny county. Just north of it, Toole County, has all three in the thirties.

Nephi which is the only population isn’t in Juan. The rest is almost uninhabited, it’s funny but it’s not an error.

The Utah election site posted the result and then pulled it down.

Tragic

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Three way tie in Jaub!!!

Celeste Maloy
26 33.3%
Becky Edwards
26 33.3%
Bruce Hough
26 33.3%

Virtually guarantee that's an error.

Why? It’s a tiny county. Just north of it, Toole County, has all three in the thirties.

Nephi which is the only population isn’t in Juan. The rest is almost uninhabited, it’s funny but it’s not an error.

The Utah election site posted the result and then pulled it down.

Tragic

That’s a screenshot I’ll never regret though.

For a few short moments we saw an electoral unicorn. Truly it was magical.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Wayne and Beaver were are your votes