Special Election megathread (4/30: NY-26)

[KaiserDave]

Turner will not be competitive

Anyway the general is Titanium D

[KaiserDave]

Congresswoman Turner would be awesome.

She's probably looking at a 4th or 5th place finish, maybe a distant 3rd at best.

Oh, I'm aware. This is the Democratic Party primary, not the People's Primary one.

I'm just saying, it would be nice to have a leftist who isn't woefully incompetent at messaging.

I don't really agree she's very competent at messaging....

Curious to know why you think so

[KaiserDave]

Turner will not be competitive

Turner will absolutely be competitive and should probably be considered the frontrunner for the seat. This election is going to draw every serious candidate in Cleveland (and Akron). It's a once-in-a-lifetime chance to make the jump to Congress, and it's a special, so none of them will have to give up their current seats to run. Turner has a committed ideological base and will raise an unimaginable amount of money — and if you only need 25% of the vote to win the primary...

Outside of the Twitterverse Nina Turner is not actually a popular or very well known politician. She drove Our Revolution into the ground and while she was never going to win in 2014, it remains only her foray into actually competitive politics and she failed miserably.

[KaiserDave]

Turner will absolutely be competitive and should probably be considered the frontrunner for the seat. This election is going to draw every serious candidate in Cleveland (and Akron). It's a once-in-a-lifetime chance to make the jump to Congress, and it's a special, so none of them will have to give up their current seats to run. Turner has a committed ideological base and will raise an unimaginable amount of money — and if you only need 25% of the vote to win the primary...

Outside of the Twitterverse Nina Turner is not actually a popular or very well known politician. She drove Our Revolution into the ground and while she was never going to win in 2014, it remains only her foray into actually competitive politics and she failed miserably.

So what? She'll still raise a ton of money, and she's running in an election where you might not have to be popular or well-known to win.

Senators-elect McGrath and Harrison, and President-elect Bloomberg agree that money is all you need.

It's more likely that a well known local politician who actually spends time in the district wins.

[KaiserDave]

Nina Turner is in.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/529558-nina-turner-files-paperwork-for-congressional-run

Let the grifting begin

At least we can enjoy the reactions when she only gets 10% and the twitter accounts lose it.

[KaiserDave]

And why is Nina Turner the frontrunner again?

And no, lining up out of state endorsements and her record of spending time everywhere but the district don't count.

[KaiserDave]

https://twitter.com/ninaturner/status/1374737867847704581

Nina Turner endorsed by CPC. Not particularly surprising, I guess, but it is notable that Turner seems to be getting support even from mainstream progressives.

That's because the left wing version of the tea party has taken over the Democratic Party.

It has not. It's less than 10% of the Dem caucus.

It has, however, essentially blunted the rise of Warren/Porter like progressives in favor of the Sanders/Corbyn wing.

1. Corbyn is not an American politician so this statement is inherently absurd
2. Sanders is not comparable, especially on Anti Semitism for reasons that should be obvious

[KaiserDave]

Yeah I was really wrong about this race.

[KaiserDave]

It's happening.