Special Election megathread (4/30: NY-26) (user search)
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  Special Election megathread (4/30: NY-26) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Special Election megathread (4/30: NY-26)  (Read 136556 times)
Ferguson97
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« on: February 23, 2021, 12:11:41 AM »
She's awful. Hope she loses.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #1 on: June 10, 2021, 10:51:20 PM »
Disappointed that she's almost certainly going to win, but I hope she will be more agreeable and cooperative in Congress than she has been as a Sanders surrogate.
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Ferguson97
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P P P
« Reply #2 on: August 03, 2021, 12:57:30 PM »
Unfortunately, Turner will probably win.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #3 on: August 03, 2021, 07:20:14 PM »
Wow…
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #4 on: August 03, 2021, 07:49:50 PM »
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Ferguson97
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P P P
« Reply #5 on: August 03, 2021, 07:56:34 PM »
So from what I understand this is shaping up to be like Arizona, where Turner/Trump continues to eat into Biden/Brown's lead but not enough to win?
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Ferguson97
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P P P
« Reply #6 on: August 03, 2021, 08:28:40 PM »


Dave seems all but ready to call it
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Ferguson97
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P P P
« Reply #7 on: August 03, 2021, 08:51:38 PM »
Hillary Clinton sends her regards.
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Ferguson97
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P P P
« Reply #8 on: August 03, 2021, 09:14:51 PM »
Quote from: Frank on August 03, 2021, 09:12:33 PM
There is a slim possibility that Shontel Brown will receive more votes than all the Republican Primary votes in the Ohio 15th district combined.

Ohio's 11th district is D+30 so this would not be surprising in the slightest
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Ferguson97
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P P P
« Reply #9 on: August 03, 2021, 10:38:27 PM »
LMAO
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Ferguson97
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P P P
« Reply #10 on: August 04, 2021, 08:58:46 AM »
Quote from: Calthrina950 on August 03, 2021, 11:43:57 PM
Quote from: here2view on August 03, 2021, 11:01:03 PM
Glad Turner lost. She is an absolute clown. That “concession” speech is pathetic.

I don't know what she was talking about when she mentioned "evil money".

She means the Jews.
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Ferguson97
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P P P
« Reply #11 on: August 07, 2021, 06:34:42 PM »


Really irresponsible tweet from Bernie
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Ferguson97
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P P P
« Reply #12 on: January 12, 2022, 07:32:22 PM »


Lol he's not conceding and he lost by 60%... come on man, you were always a sacrificial lamb
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Ferguson97
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P P P
« Reply #13 on: June 29, 2022, 11:58:24 AM »
Was Flood an atrocious, scandal-ridden candidate or something? I can't really think of any explanation for this, unless this is part of a Roe backlash.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #14 on: June 29, 2022, 12:04:35 PM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on June 29, 2022, 12:02:43 PM
Quote from: Ferguson97 on June 29, 2022, 11:58:24 AM
Was Flood an atrocious, scandal-ridden candidate or something? I can't really think of any explanation for this, unless this is part of a Roe backlash.

Turnout in Lancaster County looks to be 35%+ which is kind of extraordinary for a special election that many didn't seem to know about. Seems like blue areas were very charged up for the election, which would place Dobbs right into it.

So what's the explanation for the D-shift here and the R-shift in Texas happen simultaneously?
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Ferguson97
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P P P
« Reply #15 on: August 17, 2022, 07:12:41 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on August 17, 2022, 03:42:07 PM
Another dump of about 3500 just dropped.

Peltola 49%
Begich 26%
Palin 25%

If the final result is Pelolta 50.1% does she win?
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Ferguson97
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P P P
« Reply #16 on: August 23, 2022, 10:44:42 PM »
So how big of a deal is this win? What was the PVI?
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Ferguson97
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P P P
« Reply #17 on: August 23, 2022, 10:54:27 PM »
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #18 on: August 26, 2022, 03:48:03 PM »
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Ferguson97
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P P P
« Reply #19 on: August 28, 2022, 03:39:51 PM »
Quote from: patzer on August 28, 2022, 02:21:53 PM
So... is whoever wins this seat gonna keep it or is it just gonna be a three-month rental?

In the event of Peltola winning, Begich can absolutely attack Palin as someone unable to win a statewide race in Alaska which might help him with first preferences in the general; conversely, in the event of Palin winning (particularly if it's somewhat decisive), more Alaskan Dems might decide that a Dem is unable to win statewide and vote Begich first to try to eliminate Palin (just as they'll vote for Murkowski first).

On the other hand, incumbency benefit may help out. Will be very interesting to see.

I think if Peltola wins, Republicans will swallow their pride and have Begich drop out and take the chance that Palin can win head-to-head.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #20 on: August 28, 2022, 09:39:53 PM »
Quote from: JMT on August 28, 2022, 03:52:54 PM
Quote from: Ferguson97 on August 28, 2022, 03:39:51 PM
Quote from: patzer on August 28, 2022, 02:21:53 PM
So... is whoever wins this seat gonna keep it or is it just gonna be a three-month rental?

In the event of Peltola winning, Begich can absolutely attack Palin as someone unable to win a statewide race in Alaska which might help him with first preferences in the general; conversely, in the event of Palin winning (particularly if it's somewhat decisive), more Alaskan Dems might decide that a Dem is unable to win statewide and vote Begich first to try to eliminate Palin (just as they'll vote for Murkowski first).

On the other hand, incumbency benefit may help out. Will be very interesting to see.

I think if Peltola wins, Republicans will swallow their pride and have Begich drop out and take the chance that Palin can win head-to-head.

I disagree. I think if Peltola wins the special, Republicans will view Palin as being unelectable and will unite around Begich for the regular election in hopes of defeating Peltola.

This would require Palin's cooperation.
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #21 on: August 31, 2022, 07:03:06 PM »
https://www.facebook.com/akelections/videos/912679462940361

oh my god

the live stream is someone recording their computer screen with their cell phone in portrait mode
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Ferguson97
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P P P
« Reply #22 on: August 31, 2022, 07:08:42 PM »
oh my god!!!!!
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Ferguson97
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« Reply #23 on: October 17, 2022, 03:49:44 PM »

What, they finally finished counting all the votes?
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Ferguson97
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P P P
« Reply #24 on: December 12, 2022, 02:16:43 PM »

Credit to Youngkin, I assumed he would drag this out.
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