Special Election megathread (4/30: NY-26)

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

https://twitter.com/SenhorRaposa/status/1336440200592023554

Biden won't get any Cabinet picks unless the Democrats win both Georgia runoffs.

Grassley definitely sounds like an Aye on Vilsack, and him plus Murk is enough.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Now that Fudge has resigned, has the election been scheduled yet?

https://twitter.com/PersistOhio/status/1370040286777380865

Primary scheduled for August 3, General for November 2: www.wkyc.com/amp/article/news/politics/elections/election-ohio-11th-congressional-district-november-2-2021/95-1d0a664f-2a11-41a9-8e7e-e16c8497b41b

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Now that Fudge has resigned, has the election been scheduled yet?

https://twitter.com/PersistOhio/status/1370040286777380865

Primary scheduled for August 3, General for November 2: www.wkyc.com/amp/article/news/politics/elections/election-ohio-11th-congressional-district-november-2-2021/95-1d0a664f-2a11-41a9-8e7e-e16c8497b41b

What on earth? Keeping a seat open for nearly a year - depriving residents of both representation and key constituent services - presumably just to keep the Dems' majority one seat narrower? Is there any other reasonable explanation here? This is something I'd expect from a DeSantis or a Noem, but not DeWine. There should really be some laws in place here about how soon a special election has to be scheduled following a vacancy.

Sadly, the only law in Ohio is that a special has to be held eventually. We're lucky he didn't elect to leave the seat empty until Late 2022 like Rick Snyder did with the Conyers seat in the 115th Congress.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

OH-11 going overwhelmingly Dem

Rs ahead 54%-46% in the 15th so far

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Results at: https://electionresults.sos.ca.gov/special/us-rep/district/22

Polls close at 11 Eastern

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

9% in:

Eric Garcia
(Party Preference: DEM)
9,281
15.6%
Lourin Hubbard
(Party Preference: DEM)
12,240
20.6%
Connie Conway
(Party Preference: REP)
20,133
33.8%
Elizabeth Heng
(Party Preference: REP)
3,942
6.6%
Michael Maher
(Party Preference: REP)
5,210
8.8%
Matt Stoll
(Party Preference: REP)
8,685
14.6%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The CA-22 special election is looking REALLY bad for Democrats right now.

Right now Republican candidates have 63.8% of the vote and Democratic candidates have 36.2% of the vote.
In 2020 Nunes won 54.2% of the vote to Arballo's 45.8.
That's a margin shift from 8.4% to 27.6%, or a 19.2% swing right.

I wouldn't try and make big judgments from 9% of the precincts reporting - and remember in California everything is a "partial report" on election night:


Unofficial Election Results
Results will be certified by April 14, 2022.

( 19 of 208 ) precincts partially
reporting as of April 5, 2022, 8:42 p.m.


Precincts are listed as “partially” reporting since vote-by-mail, provisional, and other ballots will continue to be processed and counted after Election Night.


Certainly if this margin holds up it's concerning...but it's early.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

What did I miss? I was working the entire day and no clue that there was special elections today.

This is to replace Nunes who resigned to run Truth Social.

You haven't missed much, only 9% of precincts are reporting something.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The CA-22 special election is looking REALLY bad for Democrats right now.

Right now Republican candidates have 63.8% of the vote and Democratic candidates have 36.2% of the vote.
In 2020 Nunes won 54.2% of the vote to Arballo's 45.8.
That's a margin shift from 8.4% to 27.6%, or a 19.2% swing right.

I wouldn't try and make big judgments from 9% of the precincts reporting - and remember in California everything is a "partial report" on election night:


Unofficial Election Results
Results will be certified by April 14, 2022.

( 19 of 208 ) precincts partially
reporting as of April 5, 2022, 8:42 p.m.


Precincts are listed as “partially” reporting since vote-by-mail, provisional, and other ballots will continue to be processed and counted after Election Night.


Certainly if this margin holds up it's concerning...but it's early.

It says 59% of the vote is in from the Washington Post.

Not sure how they're calculating that - the 9% number I have is right from the CA SOS.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

What did I miss? I was working the entire day and no clue that there was special elections today.

This is to replace Nunes who resigned to run Truth Social.

You haven't missed much, only 9% of precincts are reporting something.

So, is this the election day votes, early votes in, both, partially, what?

Since E-Day votes obviously favor the GOP and early votes favor the Democrats.

Mostly early votes, but it's also disproportionately from the more Republican county in the district. So hard to tell much.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

What did I miss? I was working the entire day and no clue that there was special elections today.

This is to replace Nunes who resigned to run Truth Social.

You haven't missed much, only 9% of precincts are reporting something.

So, is this the election day votes, early votes in, both, partially, what?

Since E-Day votes obviously favor the GOP and early votes favor the Democrats.

Mostly early votes, but it's also disproportionately from the more Republican county in the district. So hard to tell much.

How long will it take for the voting to be counted?

We won't have full numbers until the 14th. For every precinct to be listed as reporting something, though - should happen by morning.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

84% of the initial report in:

Eric Garcia
(Party Preference: DEM)
9,475   
15.1%
Lourin Hubbard
(Party Preference: DEM)
12,484   
19.9%
Connie Conway
(Party Preference: REP)
21,631   
34.5%
Elizabeth Heng
(Party Preference: REP)
4,095   
6.5%
Michael Maher
(Party Preference: REP)
5,539   
8.8%
Matt Stoll
(Party Preference: REP)
9,433   
15.1%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Tonight's drop is complete. Some ballots will continue to be counted in the coming days:

Eric Garcia
(Party Preference: DEM)
9,574   
15.0%
Lourin Hubbard
(Party Preference: DEM)
12,546   
19.7%
Connie Conway
(Party Preference: REP)
22,175   
34.8%
Elizabeth Heng
(Party Preference: REP)
4,119   
6.5%
Michael Maher
(Party Preference: REP)
5,665   
8.9%
Matt Stoll
(Party Preference: REP)
9,647   
15.1%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Is it still only at 63%? 

R's have 65.3% to the D's 34.7%

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/04/05/us/elections/results-california-house-district-22-special-election.html

For some reason the SOS took down their live feed, but the above still works for watching things flow in^

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Conway and Hubbard have been projected to advance.

GOP sitting at 66.2% of the vote. Runoff is being held concurrently with California's regular primaries so it should be closer, but still, really tough to see a Conway loss. Certainly concerned as to what this could be hinting with regards to November.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Results Page for tonight's MN-1 Special Primary: https://www.cnn.com/election/2022/results/minnesota/republican-primaries-special/us-house-district-1

Polls close at 9 ET.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling the D primary for Ettinger!

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling the R Primary for Finstad!

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling the Senate Special for Padilla!

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Calling CA-22 for Conway!

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

For tonight: https://www.cnn.com/election/2022/results/alaska/primaries-special/us-house-district-1

Polls close between Midnight and 1 AM Eastern.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Projecting Palin and Begich will advance!

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Projecting Gross will advance!

Palin
29.8%   
32,371
11,377 ahead
Begich
19.3%   
20,994
Gross
12.5%   
13,563
Peltola
7.5%   
8,101
Sweeney
5.3%   
5,712
Claus
4.5%   
4,864
Lowenfels
3.9%   
4,195
Constant
3.5%   
3,805
Coghill Jr.
2.5%   
2,754

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Results: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2022/06/14/us/elections/results-texas-us-house-district-34-special-election.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-elections-2022&region=TOP_BANNER&context=election_recirc

Polls close at 8 ET

For coverage of the other races tonight, go to the Congressional Primaries megathread - only TX-34 will be on this thread.