Special Election megathread (4/30: NY-26)

[Benjamin Frank]

Celeste Maloy (R)
25,015
37.3%
Becky Edwards (R)
24,779
37.0%
Bruce Hough (R)
17,217
25.7%
76% of vote in

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

Washington County

CELESTE MALOY 8022 (44.78%)
BECKY EDWARDS 3997 (22.31%)
BRUCE R HOUGH 5894 (32.9%)

https://www.washco.utah.gov/forms/clerk-auditor/elections/2023/09/index.php

Is that everything there?

Do we know if they have more to report after this?

There are probably around 7-8k left in Washington County to count according to NYT.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Washington County

CELESTE MALOY   8022   (44.78%)
BECKY EDWARDS   3997   (22.31%)
BRUCE R HOUGH   5894   (32.9%)

https://www.washco.utah.gov/forms/clerk-auditor/elections/2023/09/index.php

Is that everything there?

Do we know if they have more to report after this?

Yes, about 30% remains in that county according to NYT

[Sestak]

If the 70% reporting number is accurate I’d give a slight edge to Maloy.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Three way tie in Jaub!!!

Celeste Maloy
26   33.3%
Becky Edwards
26   33.3%
Bruce Hough
26   33.3%

[RI]

Three way tie in Jaub!!!

Celeste Maloy
26   33.3%
Becky Edwards
26   33.3%
Bruce Hough
26   33.3%

Virtually guarantee that's an error.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

How much is in Beaver?

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Three way tie in Jaub!!!

Celeste Maloy
26   33.3%
Becky Edwards
26   33.3%
Bruce Hough
26   33.3%

Virtually guarantee that's an error.

Why? It’s a tiny county. Just north of it, Toole County, has all three in the thirties.

[Utah Neolib]

Three way tie in Jaub!!!

Celeste Maloy
26 33.3%
Becky Edwards
26 33.3%
Bruce Hough
26 33.3%

Virtually guarantee that's an error.

Why? It’s a tiny county. Just north of it, Toole County, has all three in the thirties.

Nephi which is the only population isn’t in Juan. The rest is almost uninhabited, it’s funny but it’s not an error.

[RI]

Three way tie in Jaub!!!

Celeste Maloy
26 33.3%
Becky Edwards
26 33.3%
Bruce Hough
26 33.3%

Virtually guarantee that's an error.

Why? It’s a tiny county. Just north of it, Toole County, has all three in the thirties.

Nephi which is the only population isn’t in Juan. The rest is almost uninhabited, it’s funny but it’s not an error.

The Utah election site posted the result and then pulled it down.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Three way tie in Jaub!!!

Celeste Maloy
26 33.3%
Becky Edwards
26 33.3%
Bruce Hough
26 33.3%

Virtually guarantee that's an error.

Why? It’s a tiny county. Just north of it, Toole County, has all three in the thirties.

Nephi which is the only population isn’t in Juan. The rest is almost uninhabited, it’s funny but it’s not an error.

The Utah election site posted the result and then pulled it down.

Tragic

[Utah Neolib]

Three way tie in Jaub!!!

Celeste Maloy
26 33.3%
Becky Edwards
26 33.3%
Bruce Hough
26 33.3%

Virtually guarantee that's an error.

Why? It’s a tiny county. Just north of it, Toole County, has all three in the thirties.

Nephi which is the only population isn’t in Juan. The rest is almost uninhabited, it’s funny but it’s not an error.

The Utah election site posted the result and then pulled it down.

Tragic

That’s a screenshot I’ll never regret though.

[Minnesota Mike]

Pretty sure we will not have a winner tonight. It can take days for Utah to process the last mail in ballots.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Three way tie in Jaub!!!

Celeste Maloy
26 33.3%
Becky Edwards
26 33.3%
Bruce Hough
26 33.3%

Virtually guarantee that's an error.

Why? It’s a tiny county. Just north of it, Toole County, has all three in the thirties.

Nephi which is the only population isn’t in Juan. The rest is almost uninhabited, it’s funny but it’s not an error.

The Utah election site posted the result and then pulled it down.

Tragic

That’s a screenshot I’ll never regret though.

For a few short moments we saw an electoral unicorn. Truly it was magical.

[Atlas Force]

BRTD would have a field day with this

https://twitter.com/zach_solomon1/status/1699267387986497854

[Shaula🏳️‍⚧️]

Ironically, if Greg Hughes won the convention he probably would have more easily won, since Hough likely wouldn't have  run against him.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Wayne and Beaver were are your votes

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

I never thought I'd ever find myself anxiously waiting for election returns out of Wayne County, Utah

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

I never thought I'd ever find myself anxiously waiting for election returns out of Wayne County, Utah

I never thought about Wayne County, Utah

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Hough gained a little on Maloy in Washington (small drop just came in). Her lead there goes from 12% to 10%. Still a quarter out per NYT.

Beaver came in, it's predictably brutal for Edwards. Maloy nets almost 700 votes (73% Maloy 17% Hough 10% Edwards).

Tooele finishes. Hough did good with this batch too. County is done now and Hough almost won it (less than 1% behind Maloy).

I wonder if these later mail ballots will favor Hough?

As for Wayne County - it has a national park in it. Maybe a slight moderate/crunchy influence there could help Edwards get above 15% and Maloy below 70%? Lol

[Stuart98]

Beaver came in, only a couple points better for Edwards than Paiute was. Maloy leads by about 1100 votes statewide.

Both the state website and all the results aggregators are still showing the 3 way tie in Juab, I do not trust that one bit. There should be about half as many Republican votes in the unpopulated sliver of the county as there were in Paiute county, instead there's only about a sixth. I expect Maloy nets a hundred voters from there in the actual results.

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

Hough gained a little on Maloy in Washington (small drop just came in). Her lead there goes from 12% to 10%. Still a quarter out per NYT.

Beaver came in, it's predictably brutal for Edwards. Maloy nets almost 700 votes (73% Maloy 17% Hough 10% Edwards).

Tooele finishes. Hough did good with this batch too. County is done now and Hough almost won it (less than 1% behind Maloy).

I wonder if these later mail ballots will favor Hough?

As for Wayne County - it has a national park in it. Maybe a slight moderate/crunchy influence there could help Edwards get above 15% and Maloy below 70%? Lol

Edwards best hope is Hough gets eating into Maloy’s numbers. Which is a very real possibility. The question is if Edwards close the ~1,500 vote gap between her and Maloy.

[Atlas Force]

https://twitter.com/ElectionsUtah/status/1699286931778257087

[Born to Slay. Forced to Work.]

https://twitter.com/ElectionsUtah/status/1699286931778257087

Boo!

[Tekken_Guy]

Maloy is definitely favored, as only 45% of the remaining vote is expected from Salt Lake and Davis Counties. And conservative candidates tend to overperform in late mail ballots.