Special Election megathread (4/30: NY-26)
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Author Topic: Special Election megathread (4/30: NY-26)  (Read 136419 times)
Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
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« Reply #2600 on: September 05, 2023, 10:22:01 PM »
Edwards seems to be holding at around 20% in most of extreme rural Utah. That’s a good sign as it points to her holding her own in Washington County.
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #2601 on: September 05, 2023, 10:22:10 PM »
Hough at 28% in Iron County.
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The Economy is Getting Worse
riverwalk3
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« Reply #2602 on: September 05, 2023, 10:23:04 PM »
The rural counties that just reported aren't as bad for Edwards as the first ones to report. Still, we will see Washington County.
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Sestak
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« Reply #2603 on: September 05, 2023, 10:23:05 PM »
Iron isn’t quite as nice looking for Edwards, 52-20 with Hough taking 28.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #2604 on: September 05, 2023, 10:23:15 PM »
Quote from: Roll Roons on September 05, 2023, 10:18:12 PM
Quote from: Ferguson97 on September 05, 2023, 10:16:34 PM
Which Utah Republican is the least insane?

Edwards would make Brian Fitzpatrick look like Matt Gaetz.

To the point that we are speculating if she flips allegiances. In the scenario she wins here, and then the State Supreme Court orders a congressional remap that will make her potential seat noticeably urban and Biden-won.
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2605 on: September 05, 2023, 10:23:51 PM »
« Edited: September 05, 2023, 10:31:18 PM by Born to Slay. Forced to Work. »
It also looks like Maloy isn’t routing Hough, he’s also holding around 20%
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Sestak
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« Reply #2606 on: September 05, 2023, 10:24:24 PM »
Quote from: Oryxslayer on September 05, 2023, 10:23:15 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on September 05, 2023, 10:18:12 PM
Quote from: Ferguson97 on September 05, 2023, 10:16:34 PM
Which Utah Republican is the least insane?

Edwards would make Brian Fitzpatrick look like Matt Gaetz.

To the point that we are speculating if she flips allergenics. In the scenario she wins here, and then the State Supreme Court orders a congressional remap that will make her potential seat noticeably urban and Biden-won.

From dust mites to tree nuts?
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GALeftist
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« Reply #2607 on: September 05, 2023, 10:25:08 PM »
Bummer about Regunberg but I honestly think that the Utah race has broader national implications; having a sane center-right party is, like, existentially important for the nation and that won't happen without moderates winning in red territory.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #2608 on: September 05, 2023, 10:25:21 PM »
Quote from: Sestak on September 05, 2023, 10:23:05 PM
Iron isn’t quite as nice looking for Edwards, 52-20 with Hough taking 28.

Hough taking a lot here is a portent for Washington, since it's the second largest county south of Provo, with Washington being number 1.
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #2609 on: September 05, 2023, 10:26:17 PM »
Quote from: Sestak on September 05, 2023, 10:24:24 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on September 05, 2023, 10:23:15 PM
Quote from: Roll Roons on September 05, 2023, 10:18:12 PM
Quote from: Ferguson97 on September 05, 2023, 10:16:34 PM
Which Utah Republican is the least insane?

Edwards would make Brian Fitzpatrick look like Matt Gaetz.

To the point that we are speculating if she flips allergenics. In the scenario she wins here, and then the State Supreme Court orders a congressional remap that will make her potential seat noticeably urban and Biden-won.

From dust mites to tree nuts?

Tongue autocorrect at 11:30pm is a cruel mistress
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2610 on: September 05, 2023, 10:26:50 PM »
Quote from: GALeftist on September 05, 2023, 10:25:08 PM
Bummer about Regunberg but I honestly think that the Utah race has broader national implications; having a sane center-right party is, like, existentially important for the nation and that won't happen without moderates winning in red territory.
Edwards will be a good voice of reason in a caucus of screaming conspiracists, but Utah is not indicative of republicans nationally
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Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver
freethinkingindy
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« Reply #2611 on: September 05, 2023, 10:28:43 PM »
Washington County can't keep teasing us with imminent ballot drops that just don't come lol
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2612 on: September 05, 2023, 10:32:15 PM »
Quote from: Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver on September 05, 2023, 10:28:43 PM
Washington County can't keep teasing us with imminent ballot drops that just don't come lol

They’re scared to release it cause Edwards actually won the county
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
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« Reply #2613 on: September 05, 2023, 10:33:42 PM »
Millard came in 57 Maloy, 25 Hough, 18 Edwards
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Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver
freethinkingindy
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« Reply #2614 on: September 05, 2023, 10:36:29 PM »
Washington will probably narrowly put Maloy in the lead. Then it's just a matter of if Edwards can scrape back enough with 20% left in Davis/Salt Lake.

And of course there's a couple rural counties that haven't reported yet either that could make the difference.

This one might end up being a real nailbiter finish.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #2615 on: September 05, 2023, 10:39:44 PM »
Washington County

CELESTE MALOY   8022   (44.78%)
BECKY EDWARDS   3997   (22.31%)
BRUCE R HOUGH   5894   (32.9%)

https://www.washco.utah.gov/forms/clerk-auditor/elections/2023/09/index.php
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2616 on: September 05, 2023, 10:40:15 PM »
Quote from: Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver on September 05, 2023, 10:36:29 PM
Washington will probably narrowly put Maloy in the lead. Then it's just a matter of if Edwards can scrape back enough with 20% left in Davis/Salt Lake.

And of course there's a couple rural counties that haven't reported yet either that could make the difference.

This one might end up being a real nailbiter finish.

I’m really not sure it will. With the amount Hough and Edwards have been getting in the far rurals, Maloy might not break 50% there. If Edwards get 25-30% there and Hough keeps at his average of 20% then Maloy will be hovering around 50%
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2617 on: September 05, 2023, 10:41:00 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on September 05, 2023, 10:39:44 PM
Washington County

CELESTE MALOY   8022   (44.78%)
BECKY EDWARDS   3997   (22.31%)
BRUCE R HOUGH   5894   (32.9%)

https://www.washco.utah.gov/forms/clerk-auditor/elections/2023/09/index.php

Lmao I was right but had Edwards and Hough’s percent flipped.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #2618 on: September 05, 2023, 10:41:06 PM »
I feel like that Washington number was quite a bit weaker than expected for Maloy. Pure tossup.
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Sestak
jk2020
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« Reply #2619 on: September 05, 2023, 10:41:18 PM »
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on September 05, 2023, 10:39:44 PM
Washington County

CELESTE MALOY   8022   (44.78%)
BECKY EDWARDS   3997   (22.31%)
BRUCE R HOUGH   5894   (32.9%)

https://www.washco.utah.gov/forms/clerk-auditor/elections/2023/09/index.php

Is that everything there?
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Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver
freethinkingindy
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« Reply #2620 on: September 05, 2023, 10:42:36 PM »
Wow, Hough really did better in Washington than expected. Only 12% behind Maloy, other nearby counties was 2-3x that if not more. That alone means Edwards is still in this.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #2621 on: September 05, 2023, 10:42:44 PM »
Links to Salt Lake County Elections...

Love ENR reporting engines. Can break it down to precinct if you want. Wink

https://results.enr.clarityelections.com/UT/Salt_Lake/118320/web.317647/#/detail/7

Here is a link to Davis County Elections dpt live reporting for anyone interested.

https://www.daviscountyutah.gov/clerk/election/elections
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Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom
theflyingmongoose
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« Reply #2622 on: September 05, 2023, 10:43:13 PM »

If it is then that means she nets about 4,000. And Edwards is currently leading by about 4,000.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #2623 on: September 05, 2023, 10:43:19 PM »
Quote from: Sestak on September 05, 2023, 10:41:18 PM
Quote from: Minnesota Mike on September 05, 2023, 10:39:44 PM
Washington County

CELESTE MALOY   8022   (44.78%)
BECKY EDWARDS   3997   (22.31%)
BRUCE R HOUGH   5894   (32.9%)

https://www.washco.utah.gov/forms/clerk-auditor/elections/2023/09/index.php

Is that everything there?

Huh
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Sestak
jk2020
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« Reply #2624 on: September 05, 2023, 10:43:49 PM »
Do we know if they have more to report after this?
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