Special Election megathread (4/30: NY-26)

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Cinyc's precinct tracker reveals sweeping cross-district support for Amo, except when there are local fiefs: Regunberg in East Providence (the city), Matos in the rest of Providence, Cano in Central Falls, Caey in Woonsocket.

That's the east side of Providence, not East Providence.

[NewYorkExpress]

I'll be damned. Not calling it for Amo yet, but my dooming about Regunberg being inevitable looks pretty silly right now. Turns out lefty activists types don't vote just like we knew all along!

I'll be over the moon if Amo pulls this off. This could turn into Shontel Brown vs. Nina Turner 2.0.

That's a really bad comparison. Nina Turner was an open Anti-Semite, and everyone on the left didn't like her. Bernie Sanders only tolerated her because she endorsed him. Regunberg doesn't have that problem. I'd honestly say he's more comparable to Elizabeth Warren than a Sanders or a Turner.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Decision Desk HQ is calling it for Amo. At this point I'd have to agree.

Never been happier to be wrong!

[Benjamin Frank]

Gabriel Amo (D)
10,147
33.4%
Aaron Regunberg (D)
7,680
25.3%
Sandra Cano (D)
4,346
14.3%

Other candidates
8,194
27.0%
79% of vote in

I guess everything that is outstanding is in Providence. If there are 10,000 outstanding votes left, Regunberg needs to win them by 25%

[Oryxslayer]

NYT calls it for Amo.

[The Economy is Getting Worse]

NYT has called the RI-01 Democratic Primary for Amo

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Never have I been happier to be wrong!

Amo will become the first Black member of Congress from RI in the state's history.

[GeorgiaModerate]

AP has called it too.

[NewYorkExpress]

Amo's probably the frontrunner for the Senate now, if Jack Reed decides to retire in 2026 in my opinion.

[Kahane's Grave Is A Gender-Neutral Bathroom]

Glad Regunberg lost. Congress needs fewer people who went to elite colleges.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Amo's probably the frontrunner for the Senate now, if Jack Reed decides to retire in 2026 in my opinion.

I think Magaziner is aiming for that, but I could also seem them both running.

[NerdyBohemian]

I wonder how many more times Regunberg is gonna run and lose in RI elections.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Looks like Providence state senator Ana Quezada will finish ahead of Matos in Providence and Central Falls. What a stunning collapse for Matos. She's barely clinging to 4th place.

[NewYorkExpress]

I wonder how many more times Regunberg is gonna run and lose in RI elections.

I wouldn't be shocked if he ran for Lieutenant Governor in 2026. Assuming Sabrina Matos is eligible for a second full term as Lieutenant Governor, she's definitely vulnerable to a primary challenge now. If not, I think he'd probably run for an open seat.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

I wonder how many more times Regunberg is gonna run and lose in RI elections.

I wouldn't be shocked if he ran for Lieutenant Governor in 2026. Assuming Sabrina Matos is eligible for a second full term as Lieutenant Governor, she's definitely vulnerable to a primary challenge now. If not, I think he'd probably run for an open seat.

She isn't just vulnerable for a primary challenge. She could straight up lose statewide to a Republican at this point. She won by less than 10% last time.

[Atlas Force]

I wonder how many more times Regunberg is gonna run and lose in RI elections.

I wouldn't be shocked if he ran for Lieutenant Governor in 2026. Assuming Sabrina Matos is eligible for a second full term as Lieutenant Governor, she's definitely vulnerable to a primary challenge now. If not, I think he'd probably run for an open seat.

Regunberg already ran for Lieutenant Governor back in 2018. He was only 2,402 votes away from winning too, maybe second time will be the charm for him there.

[Tekken_Guy]

Amo's probably the frontrunner for the Senate now, if Jack Reed decides to retire in 2026 in my opinion.

Magaziner?

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

I wonder how many more times Regunberg is gonna run and lose in RI elections.

I wouldn't be shocked if he ran for Lieutenant Governor in 2026. Assuming Sabrina Matos is eligible for a second full term as Lieutenant Governor, she's definitely vulnerable to a primary challenge now. If not, I think he'd probably run for an open seat.

Regunberg already ran for Lieutenant Governor back in 2018. He was only 2,402 votes away from winning too, maybe second time will be the charm for him there.

I think that was mostly just a protest vote against the office of Lt. Gov. itself. Rhode Islanders have a very cynical view of it, it's widely known for being a completely useless position.

Now that he's more known, I wouldn't expect him to do as well as before.

[Vosem]

Amo's probably the frontrunner for the Senate now, if Jack Reed decides to retire in 2026 in my opinion.

I think Magaziner is aiming for that, but I could also seem them both running.

Feels like Raimondo or McKee both have higher profiles than either man.

Impressive performance for Amo, though; really came out of nowhere. I thought Regunberg had this one.

[Tekken_Guy]

Amo's probably the frontrunner for the Senate now, if Jack Reed decides to retire in 2026 in my opinion.

I think Magaziner is aiming for that, but I could also seem them both running.

Feels like Raimondo or McKee both have higher profiles than either man.

Impressive performance for Amo, though; really came out of nowhere. I thought Regunberg had this one.

It's rare for cabinet secretaries to drop down to the Senate so I don't see Raimondo, and McKee may run again in 2026 and even if he didn't probably just retires given his age.

[NewYorkExpress]

Amo's probably the frontrunner for the Senate now, if Jack Reed decides to retire in 2026 in my opinion.

I think Magaziner is aiming for that, but I could also seem them both running.

Feels like Raimondo or McKee both have higher profiles than either man.

Impressive performance for Amo, though; really came out of nowhere. I thought Regunberg had this one.

I don't think we're going to see a lot of current or former Governors running for the Senate for the forseeable future (also, I really don't think Gina Raimondo can win a Democratic primary anymore. You do realize what her approval ratings were when she left office, right? They were really bad.)

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Alright, Utah time. I've never really paid attention to Utah before, how quickly do they count votes?

Hoping my girl Becky can pull through and make it a 2-0 night

[Atlas Force]

Lmao

42% OF VOTES IN
Candidate   Votes   Percent Pct.
Becky Edwards
17,968   +51.1% 51.1%
Celeste Maloy
9,408   +26.7% 26.7
Bruce Hough
7,817   +22.2% 22.2
Total reported
35,193   

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Ok, Becky Edwards is looking good right now. Dominating on the Wasatch Front and while she's in third in Tooele County it's basically equal between all three.

If she can keep her 1/3 share of the vote in the rest of southern Utah (not sure how likely that is), she has this.

[Minnesota Mike]

Edwards up big early but Salt Lake county (80%) & Davis county (95%) are almost all in. Can she hold on when the rural counties come in?