Is this the future GOP path in Nevada?
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  Is this the future GOP path in Nevada?
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Author Topic: Is this the future GOP path in Nevada?  (Read 485 times)
Chips
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Junior Chimp
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« on: December 08, 2020, 03:39:56 PM »

With Washoe seeming to have moved to the left of the state, It's looking like a future Republican path to win the state is to get 60-70% or more in all rural counties and coming within 5-7% of carrying Clark.

This happened in the 2014 Attorney General race in Nevada. Laxalt was able to win statewide by running up the score in the rural counties and not getting destroyed in Clark. All while narrowly losing Washoe.
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« Reply #1 on: December 08, 2020, 06:15:12 PM »

The easiest way is to flip Clark county, it has a lot of non college educated whites and Hispanics and the county keeps trending Republican, they should aim to outright flip the county in the future.
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AlterEgo
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« Reply #2 on: December 08, 2020, 08:59:57 PM »

The easiest way is to flip Clark county, it has a lot of non college educated whites and Hispanics and the county keeps trending Republican, they should aim to outright flip the county in the future.

Just going to ignore the union influence there?
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #3 on: December 08, 2020, 10:35:24 PM »
« Edited: December 08, 2020, 10:39:44 PM by Skill and Chance »

The easiest way is to flip Clark county, it has a lot of non college educated whites and Hispanics and the county keeps trending Republican, they should aim to outright flip the county in the future.

Just going to ignore the union influence there?

Look at the progress R's have made with private sector unions in the Midwest.  Particularly after Republicans strongly took the side of the hospitality industry during COVID, this isn't as much of a reach as you assume. 

BTW I assume Washoe has some skiier/ski resort influence?  Those areas raced left this year.
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Former President tack50
tack50
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« Reply #4 on: December 09, 2020, 07:41:17 AM »

The easiest way is to flip Clark county, it has a lot of non college educated whites and Hispanics and the county keeps trending Republican, they should aim to outright flip the county in the future.

Republicans probably don't even need to flip Clark outright; even a narrow loss of say, 3-4 points would be more than enough to win Nevada, even if Washoe keeps trending left.

Indeed, one can wonder whether Washoe will eventually vote to the left of Clark.
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AlterEgo
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« Reply #5 on: December 09, 2020, 10:24:32 AM »

The easiest way is to flip Clark county, it has a lot of non college educated whites and Hispanics and the county keeps trending Republican, they should aim to outright flip the county in the future.

Just going to ignore the union influence there?

Look at the progress R's have made with private sector unions in the Midwest.  Particularly after Republicans strongly took the side of the hospitality industry during COVID, this isn't as much of a reach as you assume. 

BTW I assume Washoe has some skiier/ski resort influence?  Those areas raced left this year.

Have R's made "progress" there or has union influence/membership continued to plummet?

As to "Republicans strongly took the side of the hospitality industry during COVID," I think it's way more nuanced than that. Insisting that non-essential hospitality businesses be open is more for the business owners than it is the rank-and-file. Sure, there's some trickle down, but they also saw IT techs, teachers, etc get to work from home while they're told to get back out there and serve some martinis. While things were shut down, it was the Republicans fighting against extending unemployment and railing about all these people "making more money just by sitting at home." Which totally overlooks how lucrative hospitality can be in a tourist place like Vegas. The real reality is, sure, these people are back to work, but they're still struggling because the business isn't there like it should be due to people voluntarily not coming.

If the R's were so on the side of hospitality, the Culinary Union certainly had the ability to thank them for that support in Nov.
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