A lot of talk on if the GOP can improve with suburbanites but not a lot talk about Dems improving in rural areas. The fact is they’ve blown a golden chance with their suburban take over: They’re losing so many rural areas by a 80-20 clip at best. If they could even make that 65-35 you’d see landslides, trend bucking midterm wins and a Dem owning of the White House.
How do Dems become competitive in rural areas and what canidate is best able to do that
The best way for Democrats to compete in rural areas is to run as DINOs, people like Connor Lamb or Joe Manchin can still win over some rural voters but most national Democrats cannot. It's hard because most Democrats who run as DINOs tend to lose to incumbent Republicans in rural areas and therefore don't get anywhere.
Unfortunately, running DINOs doesn't seem to work in rural areas. Just look at Collin Peterson vs Michelle Fischbach.
Peterson's luck ran out.....
That's true, but his overperformance was still pretty sizeable. MN-7 may no longer be winnable, but doing well in places like ME-2, MN-1, or NC-11 could go a long ways. I also think the polarization we saw this election was very unique because of how strong people's feelings were towards Trump; you either thought he was some god-like hero that would save America or someone who would completely tear apart the fabric of our democracy. In don't know if in 2024, for instance, feelings towards Biden, both positive and negative, will be as strong, leaving a bit more room for split ticket voting.