Does anyone buy the 2 runoffs having results that far apart? CW is they are both within 2%ish either way.
I definitely buy it. Loeffler's been running a distinct campaign, and a much worse campaign, than Perdue. There's also clearly some annoyance from Doug Collins supporters towards her too.
Perdue's stock trade scandal is bad, but I sadly don't think that'll stick. But Loeffler is clearly seen by a lot of people are a bad candidate with weird ads and campaigning with the Qanon lady Greene-Taylor.
I can easily imagine Loeffler running 3 or 4% behind Perdue, and that's enough for her to lose. For now I think I'll keep my original prediction of Perdue winning 52-28 while Warnock squeaks by 51-49.