GA - SurveyUSA: Ossoff+2, Warnock+7 (user search)
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  GA - SurveyUSA: Ossoff+2, Warnock+7 (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA - SurveyUSA: Ossoff+2, Warnock+7  (Read 4878 times)
OneJ
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« on: December 03, 2020, 01:01:49 PM »

As so many polls did this year, the party ID is to dem, fortunately we have exit polls recently done to compare it to, the poll has a party ID of D+1, the exit polls had it at R+4, is the electorate really going to be a D+1 electorate, I doubt it.

Well you might be right but it’s a mistake to base this upcoming runoff’s turnout on what the electorate’s composition was on the general election. The best thing for us to do is to wait and see on the day of.

I have no problem with these polls, Trump trying overturn Election results are having a devestating impact on GA races
This Poll is totally ridiculous - Period!

It's has a D + 4 Sample! Nowhere near is this true!

Party ID Nov 3rd per CNN Exits (Presidential Race)
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/georgia
D: 34 %
R: 38 %
I: 22 %

SurveyUSA wants us to believe that the Runoff Elections have a more favorable D-leaning Electorate compared to the November 3rd General Election.

What are these frivolous Pollsters smoking here?

The party is actually even at 44-44 if look closer at the poll. It was Biden +4 which is within the margin of error and reasonable is some people don't want to admit voting for the loser.
We are not going to have a Party ID that is 44-44 I can guarantee you that. Also Exits in GA had Black Electorate at 29 % in November, SUSA says it's 32 % in January. This Polls is junk. Black Turnout will not be higher in a Runoff Election.

You don’t really know that though. And it doesn’t look like you took into account that turnout among Asian and Hispanic voters might drop more relative to Black and white turnout. Non-college white share may also drop more relatively speaking as well. In other words, a lot of things can happen.
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