For the fourth election this century.... (user search)
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  For the fourth election this century.... (search mode)
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Author Topic: For the fourth election this century....  (Read 1092 times)
politicallefty
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,246
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -9.22

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« on: November 28, 2020, 02:49:01 PM »

WI likes populist candidates it seems (Obama 2008 and Trump 2016/20).

Trump lost in 2020, and Hillary was simply a bad candidate in 2016/ that allowed Trump to win

Honestly, 2020 kind of vindicates Hillary Clinton. Biden’s win is not especially impressive. He won because he fast-tracked the trends Hillary Clinton started to a larger degree than Trump fast-tracked his own 2016 trends. To me, the single biggest reason Biden won and Clinton didn’t is that voters in 2020 had the benefit of hindsight. That’s not a ringing endorsement of any special qualities Biden brought to the table.

I completely agree that 2020 mostly vindicates Hilary Clinton. Joe Scarborough said right after the election that he and most people owe her an apology.

I'm pretty sure I've said it before, but that's part of what surprised me so much about Pennsylvania in 2016 and why I was otherwise confident in her ability to win the state. I was expecting much stronger numbers for Hillary in SEPA to counter the swings in Central and Western PA. Even Biden's numbers in that area aren't quite I was expecting either this year or four years ago, but obviously in addition to enough swings elsewhere, it was enough to win the state.
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